Journal of Futures Markets

Papers
(The median citation count of Journal of Futures Markets is 1. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2022-06-01 to 2026-06-01.)
ArticleCitations
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Spillovers Into the German Electricity Market From the Gas, Coal, and CO2 Emissions Markets45
A tale of two contracts: Was the SHFE copper futures market disrupted by the listing of INE bonded copper futures?43
Predicting Commodity Returns Through Image‐Based Price Patterns39
Bitcoin futures risk premia36
From Economic Policy Uncertainty to Implied Market Volatility: Nothing to Fear?35
Exploring the unpredictable nature of climate policy uncertainty: An empirical analysis of its impact on commodity futures returns in the United States34
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Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 42, Number 10, October 202228
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 43, Number 10, October 202327
Securitization of assets with payment delay risk: A financial innovation in the real estate market23
Less disagreement, better forecasts: Adjusted risk measures in the energy futures market23
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Detangling Risk Premiums: Common and Idiosyncratic Components of Crude Oil, Corn, and Ethanol Futures20
Geopolitical Risk and Extreme Risk Connectedness Among Energy and Other Strategic Commodities: Fresh Sight Using the High‐Dimensional CoVaR Model18
Commodity Option Return Predictability17
Untangling Market Links: A QVAR‐TVP VAR Analysis of Precious Metals and Oil Amid the Pandemic17
Pricing VIX Futures and Options With Good and Bad Volatility of Volatility16
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 45, Number 5, May 202516
Does Sentiment Measured Through Language Models Encompass a Broader Expanse of Information From the Options Market?15
Dynamic Interaction Networks and Frequency Domain Features of Speculation and Volatility in US Energy Futures Markets15
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 44, Number 2, February 202415
Joint Dynamics for the Underlying Asset and Its Implied Volatility Surface: A New Methodology for Option Risk Management15
Contemporaneous and noncontemporaneous idiosyncratic risk spillovers in commodity futures markets: A novel network topology approach13
Trader Attention and Market Reaction to Fundamental News: Evidence From Natural Gas Futures12
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 44, Number 6, June 202412
Forecasting realized volatility: New evidence from time‐varying jumps in VIX12
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 46, Number 1, January 202612
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Uncovering the Sino‐US Dynamic Risk Spillovers Effects: Evidence From Agricultural Futures Markets11
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Anger in predicting the index futures returns11
Forecasting Oil Price Volatility: Does Oil Price Uncertainty Matter?11
Optimizing Genetic Algorithm With Momentum Strategy for Technical Trading Rules: Evidence From Futures Markets10
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 45, Number 2, February 202510
Transfer‐entropy‐based dynamic feature selection for evaluating Bitcoin price drivers10
The role of option‐based information on StockTwits, options trading volume, and stock returns10
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 44, Number 3, March 202410
Information Flow Across the Futures Term Structure: Evidence From Chinese Corn Futures Market10
Wisdom of crowds and commodity pricing10
An Interconnected Multilayer Network Perspective: Extreme Risk Spillovers in Commodity and Stock Markets10
Why Do Hedgers Hedge? The Role of Ambiguity10
Modeling the Implied Volatility Smirk in China: Do Non‐Affine Two‐Factor Stochastic Volatility Models Work?9
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Market Maker or Informed Trader: Who Drive the Relationship Between Option Trading and Underlying Returns? Evidence From Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 ETF Options9
Editor's Note9
The Dollar's Double Life: Not All Dollar Appreciations Are Born Equal for the Cross‐Currency Basis9
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Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 44, Number 10, October 20248
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 43, Number 4, April 20238
Pricing multiasset time‐varying double‐barrier options with time‐dependent parameters8
Liquidity and Price Informativeness of Options: Evidence From Extended Trading Hours8
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Virtual Commodities and Futures Markets of Tangible Commodities7
Analytically Pricing Variance Swaps Under the Hawkes Jump‐Diffusion Process With Liquidity Risks7
EPU spillovers and sovereign CDS spreads: A cross‐country study7
Derivative disclosures and managerial opportunism7
Dynamic Returns Connectedness: Portfolio Hedging Implications During the COVID‐19 Pandemic and the Russia–Ukraine War7
Unveiling Bidirectional Forecasting Between Volatility of VIX and Stock Market: Insights From Asymmetric Jumps and Cojumps7
Commodity Futures Market Conditions and Climate Policy Risk: Evidence From Energy and Metals Markets7
Harvesting the volatility smile in a large emerging market: A Dynamic Nelson–Siegel approach6
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 45, Number 8, August 20256
Optimal futures hedging by using realized semicovariances: The information contained in signed high‐frequency returns6
Pricing risky corporate bonds: An empirical study6
Price Discovery and Efficiency in Uniswap Liquidity Pools6
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Understanding the Factors Driving the Demand of Structured Investment Products6
What the Night Tells the Day: Forecasting Realized Volatility in Chinese Commodity Markets6
A tale of two contracts: Examining the behavior of bid–ask spreads of corn futures in China6
Trades or quotes: Which drives price discovery? Evidence from Chinese index futures markets6
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Lottery Preference and Skewness Risk Premium: Evidence From the Chinese Market6
A New Star Is Born: Does the VIX1D Render Common Volatility Forecasting Models for the US Equity Market Obsolete?6
Pricing of American Parisian option as executive option based on the least‐squares Monte Carlo approach5
Why Don't Farmers Use Futures and Options for Hedging? An Examination of Historical Basis Risk and Cash Constraints5
Pricing arithmetic Asian and Amerasian options: A diffusion operator integral expansion approach5
Dynamic Debt With Intensity‐Based Models5
Term Structure and Risk Premiums of Commodity Futures With Linear Regressions5
Editor's note5
Climate Risks in Main Producing Areas and Realized Volatility in Agricultural Futures: Machine Learning Methods Based on High‐Frequency Data5
Optimal Versus Naive Diversification in Commodity Futures Markets5
Determinants of Price Discovery in Option Markets: An Interpretable Machine Learning Perspective5
The Bitcoin price and Bitcoin price uncertainty: Evidence of Bitcoin price volatility5
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 43, Number 5, May 20235
VIX Term Structure in the Rough Heston Model via Markovian Approximation5
A deep learning‐based financial hedging approach for the effective management of commodity risks5
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 42, Number 7, July 20225
Dynamic connectedness between energy markets and the Brazilian cash market: An empirical analysis pre‐ and post‐COVID‐194
Analytically pricing exchange options with stochastic liquidity and regime switching4
Editor's Note4
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 44, Number 5, May 20244
Pricing Basket Spread Options With Default Risk Under GARCH‐Jump Models4
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Hedging Climate Change News With Commodity Futures: An Index‐Tracking Approach4
Overnight Reversals of Implied Higher Moments and Their Put‐Call Spreads4
SOFR term structure dynamics—Discontinuous short rates and stochastic volatility forward rates4
Sequential Itô–Taylor expansions and characteristic functions of stochastic volatility models4
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 43, Number 6, June 20234
Option‐Implied Ambiguity and Equity Return Predictability4
Investor Attention and Carbon Prices: Evidence From European Union and China4
Option features and price discovery in convertible bonds4
Quantile and Time–Frequency Risk Spillover Between Climate Policy Uncertainty and Grains Commodity Markets4
Predictability of commodity futures returns with machine learning models4
Informed Option Trading of Target Firms' Rivals Prior to M&A Announcements3
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 44, Number 11, November 20243
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 46, Number 4, April 20263
Geopolitical Risk and the Volatility of the International Grain Futures Market3
Unveiling Mispricing Risks: Nonlarge Homogeneous Portfolio Factor Copula Models for Enhanced Valuation of Subordinated Loan Securitization3
Evaluating robust determinants of the WTI/Brent oil price differential: A dynamic model averaging analysis3
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 42, Number 9, September 20223
Price discovery and long‐memory property: Simulation and empirical evidence from the bitcoin market3
Stock–Commodity Correlations, Optimal Hedging, and Climate Risks3
The Silent Disco—Speculation in Bearish Commodity Markets and the Role of Liquidity3
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Dynamic correlations and volatility spillovers between subsectoral clean‐energy stocks and commodity futures markets: A hedging perspective3
Overseas Impact of USDA Reports: Evidence From Chinese Soybean Complex Futures3
Tighter Bounds for Implied Volatility With the Dirac Delta Family Method3
Futures Commission Merchants Concentration and Commodity Futures Market Microstructure: Empirical Evidence3
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 45, Number 11, November 20253
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Connectedness Across Healthcare Cryptocurrencies, DeFi, and NFTs Tokens: Which Global Risk Factors Should Be Given More Attention?3
Do Corn Options Update Volatility Expectations in the Wake of USDA Reports?3
Estimation of rare disaster concerns from option prices—An arbitrage‐free RND‐based smile construction approach3
Downside Risk and Agriculture Commodity Futures Returns: A Study Using Self‐Organizing Maps3
Effects of Social Media‐Based Peer Opinions on the Prices of Cryptocurrency Options3
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Bitcoin Price Direction Forecasting and Market Variables3
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A stochastic‐volatility equity‐price tree for pricing convertible bonds with endogenous firm values and default risks determined by the first‐passage default model3
Pricing VIX Futures Under a Markov‐Switching GARCH Framework3
The Economics of Liquid Staking Derivatives: Basis Determinants and Price Discovery3
The dynamics of crude oil future prices on China's energy markets: Quantile‐on‐quantile and casualty‐in‐quantiles approaches2
USD Interest Rate Swaption Strategies During the Unconventional Monetary Policy and Pandemic Eras2
Global climate change and commodity markets: A hedging perspective2
Temperature, storage, and natural gas futures prices2
Assessing the asymmetric volatility linkages of energy and agricultural commodity futures during low and high volatility regimes2
Forecasting swap rate volatility with information from swaptions2
A good hedge or safe haven? The hedging ability of China's commodity futures market under extreme market conditions2
Predicting Market Returns Using Covariance Asymmetry Risk Premium2
Skewness Premium for Short‐Term Exposure to Squared Market Returns2
The Role of Policy on Commodity Markets: From the Perspective of Narrative News Based on NLP2
Forecasting Crude Oil Volatility With Geopolitical Risk: The RSV–MIDAS–GPR Model and Its Economic Value2
The impact of Sino–US trade war on price discovery of soybean: A double‐edged sword?2
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Drilling and DUCs in the Permian Basin2
Trading Games: Beating Passive Strategies in the Bullish Crypto Market2
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 45, Number 6, June 20252
Harnessing Sunshine: A Dynamic Spillover Analysis of the Diversification Effects of China's Photovoltaic Weather Index2
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Time‐varying pure contagion effect between energy and nonenergy commodity markets2
Does Cutting Carbon Emissions Reduce Tail Risk Spillovers? A Quantile LSTM‐KAN‐CoVaR Approach2
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 45, Number 10, October 20252
Unspanned macro risks in VIX futures2
Intra‐Industry Transfers of Implied Volatility Information Around Mergers and Acquisitions2
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 45, Number 4, April 20252
Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Forecasting Gold Futures Volatility: Evidence From India2
Volatility of Volatility and VIX Forecasting: New Evidence Based on Jumps, the Short‐Term and Long‐Term Volatility2
Do Price Jumps Matter in Volatility Forecasts of US Treasury Futures?2
Option pricing with dynamic conditional skewness2
Energy‐Related Discussion in Fed Speeches and Options‐Implied Equity Risk Premium2
Managing risk and reaping rewards: Climate‐change futures as a game‐changer for energy futures markets2
Quadratic Hedging of American Options Under GARCH Models2
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 45, Number 12, December 20252
Hedging options in a hidden Markov‐switching local‐volatility model via stochastic flows and a Monte‐Carlo method2
Probability weighting in commodity futures markets2
Intraday Liquidity in International Crude Oil Futures Markets: News Impacts, Commonality, and Spillovers1
Hedging pressure and oil volatility: Insurance versus liquidity demands1
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 43, Number 11, November 20231
Greeks‐Neutral Option Excess Returns1
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 43, Number 9, September 20231
The Determinants of Marginal Convenience Yield in Agricultural Commodity Markets1
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Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 43, Number 3, March 20231
Extreme Risk Spillovers From US Soybean Futures Market to China's Soybean‐Linked Futures Markets1
Calibration in the “real world” of a partially specified stochastic volatility model1
Forecasting Crude Oil Price Using Secondary Decomposition‐Reconstruction‐Ensemble Model Based on Variational Mode Decomposition1
Modeling and forecasting stock return volatility using the HARGARCH model with VIX information1
Leveraging prices from credit and equity option markets for portfolio risk management1
Watching the FedWatch1
Volatility Risk and Volatility‐of‐Volatility Risk: State‐Dependent Correlations Between VIX and the S&P 500 Stock Index and Hedging Effectiveness1
The impact of air pollution on crude oil futures market1
Hedging performance analysis of energy markets: Evidence from copula quantile regression1
Enhancing Commodity Futures Price Prediction With Geopolitical Risk Embedding: A Comparative Study of Deep Learning Models1
The “T+1” Trading Rule and Put‐Call Disparity in China1
The Impact of Biodiversity Risk on US Agricultural Futures Markets1
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 44, Number 4, April 20241
Industry variance risk premium, cross‐industry correlation, and expected returns1
Evaluating Trend‐Based Strategies in Chinese Commodity Futures Markets1
Left‐digit biases: Individual and institutional investors1
Maximum utility portfolio construction in the forward freight agreement markets: Evidence from a multivariate skewed t copula1
Hedging commodities in times of distress: The case of COVID‐191
Appraising Model Complexity in Option Pricing1
How Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Reshape Option Pricing?1
The influence of oil price uncertainty on stock liquidity1
Impact of crude oil volatility jumps on sustainable investments: Evidence from India1
Editorial1
Changes in the options contract size and arbitrage opportunities1
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Term spreads of implied volatility smirk and variance risk premium1
A Generalized Error Distribution‐Copula Framework for Pricing Chinese Treasury Bond Futures With Embedded Options1
Connectedness and risk spillover in China's commodity futures sectors1
Fund Extreme Performance and Heterogeneous Investor Choice: Evidence From Smart Beta ETFs1
Volatility in Carbon Futures Amid Uncertainties: Considering Geopolitical and Economic Policy Factors1
Time‐Varying Skewness–Kurtosis Dynamics in Bitcoin Markets1
Futures Trading and Corporate Financialization: A Quasi‐Natural Experiment From the Launch of China's Crude Oil Futures1
Algorithmic trading and market quality: Evidence from the Taiwan index futures market1
Facts and Fantasies About DeFi: Lending, DEX, and Derivatives1
A tale of two premiums revisited1
Signature Decomposition Method Applying to Pair Trading1
Novel Analytic Representations for Caps, Floors, Collars, and Exchange Options on Continuous Flows, Arbitrage‐Free Relations, and Optimal Investments1
The Impact of Derivative Use on Default Probability Among Nonfinancial Firms: Evidence From European Firms1
Futures trading costs and market microstructure invariance: Identifying bet activity1
The GameStop short squeeze: Put–call parity and the effect of frictions before, during and after the squeeze1
Measuring Real‐Time Economic Condition With Economic Narratives1
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Trading Periodicity and Algorithmic Divide in Cryptocurrency Markets1
Futures Turnover Waves1
Equity Market Capital Gains Overhang and Crude Oil Volatility Forecasting: A Cross‐Market Analysis1
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