Journal of Futures Markets

Papers
(The median citation count of Journal of Futures Markets is 1. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2021-09-01 to 2025-09-01.)
ArticleCitations
Bitcoin futures risk premia38
38
37
Can a rational expectation storage model explain the USDA ending grain stocks forecast errors?35
From Economic Policy Uncertainty to Implied Market Volatility: Nothing to Fear?31
A tale of two contracts: Was the SHFE copper futures market disrupted by the listing of INE bonded copper futures?30
Financialization, common stochastic trends, and commodity prices27
Exploring the unpredictable nature of climate policy uncertainty: An empirical analysis of its impact on commodity futures returns in the United States26
Spillovers Into the German Electricity Market From the Gas, Coal, and CO2 Emissions Markets26
24
In Memorium: Jayaram Muthuswamy24
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 42, Number 10, October 202221
20
A systemic change of measure from central clearing20
Beta and size equity premia following a high‐VIX threshold20
Securitization of assets with payment delay risk: A financial innovation in the real estate market19
Less disagreement, better forecasts: Adjusted risk measures in the energy futures market17
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 43, Number 10, October 202317
16
Commodity Option Return Predictability16
Geopolitical Risk and Extreme Risk Connectedness Among Energy and Other Strategic Commodities: Fresh Sight Using the High‐Dimensional CoVaR Model15
Detangling Risk Premiums: Common and Idiosyncratic Components of Crude Oil, Corn, and Ethanol Futures15
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 44, Number 2, February 202414
Pricing VXX options by modeling VIX directly13
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 45, Number 5, May 202513
Dynamic Interaction Networks and Frequency Domain Features of Speculation and Volatility in US Energy Futures Markets13
Pricing VIX Futures and Options With Good and Bad Volatility of Volatility12
Volatility spillovers in commodity futures markets: A network approach12
The man in the middle—liquidity provision under central clearing in the credit default swap market: A regression discontinuity approach12
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 44, Number 6, June 202412
Contemporaneous and noncontemporaneous idiosyncratic risk spillovers in commodity futures markets: A novel network topology approach11
Recovering subjective probability distributions10
10
Forecasting realized volatility: New evidence from time‐varying jumps in VIX10
Information Flow Across the Futures Term Structure: Evidence From Chinese Corn Futures Market9
9
Forecasting Oil Price Volatility: Does Oil Price Uncertainty Matter?9
Anger in predicting the index futures returns9
Do enhanced derivative disclosures work? An informational perspective9
Transfer‐entropy‐based dynamic feature selection for evaluating Bitcoin price drivers9
Investment horizon and option market activity9
Uncovering the Sino‐US Dynamic Risk Spillovers Effects: Evidence From Agricultural Futures Markets9
9
Market uncertainty and sentiment around USDA announcements9
The role of option‐based information on StockTwits, options trading volume, and stock returns8
Optimizing Genetic Algorithm With Momentum Strategy for Technical Trading Rules: Evidence From Futures Markets8
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 44, Number 3, March 20248
Modeling the Implied Volatility Smirk in China: Do Non‐Affine Two‐Factor Stochastic Volatility Models Work?8
Speculation or hedging?—Options trading prior to FOMC announcements8
8
Wisdom of crowds and commodity pricing8
Risk‐neutral skewness and commodity futures pricing8
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 45, Number 2, February 20258
7
EPU spillovers and sovereign CDS spreads: A cross‐country study7
7
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 43, Number 4, April 20237
7
Price Discovery and Efficiency in Uniswap Liquidity Pools7
Unveiling Bidirectional Forecasting Between Volatility of VIX and Stock Market: Insights From Asymmetric Jumps and Cojumps7
Editor's Note7
7
Commodity Futures Market Conditions and Climate Policy Risk: Evidence From Energy and Metals Markets7
A tale of two contracts: Examining the behavior of bid–ask spreads of corn futures in China6
Optimal futures hedging by using realized semicovariances: The information contained in signed high‐frequency returns6
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 44, Number 10, October 20246
Derivative disclosures and managerial opportunism6
Trades or quotes: Which drives price discovery? Evidence from Chinese index futures markets6
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 45, Number 8, August 20256
The Bitcoin price and Bitcoin price uncertainty: Evidence of Bitcoin price volatility6
6
Liquidity and Price Informativeness of Options: Evidence From Extended Trading Hours6
Dynamic Returns Connectedness: Portfolio Hedging Implications During the COVID‐19 Pandemic and the Russia–Ukraine War6
6
Lottery Preference and Skewness Risk Premium: Evidence From the Chinese Market6
Pricing of American Parisian option as executive option based on the least‐squares Monte Carlo approach6
6
Analytically Pricing Variance Swaps Under the Hawkes Jump‐Diffusion Process With Liquidity Risks6
Pricing multiasset time‐varying double‐barrier options with time‐dependent parameters6
Harvesting the volatility smile in a large emerging market: A Dynamic Nelson–Siegel approach6
Pricing risky corporate bonds: An empirical study5
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 43, Number 5, May 20235
Analyst rating matters for index futures5
SOFR term structure dynamics—Discontinuous short rates and stochastic volatility forward rates5
Dynamic connectedness between energy markets and the Brazilian cash market: An empirical analysis pre‐ and post‐COVID‐195
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 42, Number 7, July 20225
Why Don't Farmers Use Futures and Options for Hedging? An Examination of Historical Basis Risk and Cash Constraints5
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 42, Number 6, June 20225
Understanding the Factors Driving the Demand of Structured Investment Products5
Editor's note5
Climate Risks in Main Producing Areas and Realized Volatility in Agricultural Futures: Machine Learning Methods Based on High‐Frequency Data5
Does offshore NDF market influence onshore forex market? Evidence from India5
Term Structure and Risk Premiums of Commodity Futures With Linear Regressions5
GARCH pricing and hedging of VIX options5
Optimal Versus Naive Diversification in Commodity Futures Markets5
Pricing arithmetic Asian and Amerasian options: A diffusion operator integral expansion approach5
Approximate pricing of American exchange options with jumps5
A deep learning‐based financial hedging approach for the effective management of commodity risks5
Directly pricing VIX futures with observable dynamic jumps based on high‐frequency VIX5
Market inefficiencies surrounding energy announcements5
Editor's Note5
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 42, Number 2, February 20225
A New Star Is Born: Does the VIX1D Render Common Volatility Forecasting Models for the US Equity Market Obsolete?5
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 44, Number 5, May 20244
Option features and price discovery in convertible bonds4
Option pricing with state‐dependent pricing kernel4
Price discovery and long‐memory property: Simulation and empirical evidence from the bitcoin market4
Estimation of rare disaster concerns from option prices—An arbitrage‐free RND‐based smile construction approach4
4
Hedging Climate Change News With Commodity Futures: An Index‐Tracking Approach4
Option‐Implied Ambiguity and Equity Return Predictability4
Overnight returns of industry exchange‐traded funds, investor sentiment, and futures market returns4
Pricing Basket Spread Options With Default Risk Under GARCH‐Jump Models4
4
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 43, Number 6, June 20234
Analytically pricing exchange options with stochastic liquidity and regime switching4
Sequential Itô–Taylor expansions and characteristic functions of stochastic volatility models4
Petroleum market volatility tracker in China4
Are option traders more informed than Twitter users? A PVAR analysis4
Bakshi, Kapadia, and Madan (2003) risk‐neutral moment estimators: An affine jump‐diffusion approach3
Informed Option Trading of Target Firms' Rivals Prior to M&A Announcements3
Unveiling Mispricing Risks: Nonlarge Homogeneous Portfolio Factor Copula Models for Enhanced Valuation of Subordinated Loan Securitization3
Quantile and Time–Frequency Risk Spillover Between Climate Policy Uncertainty and Grains Commodity Markets3
A trend factor in commodity futures markets: Any economic gains from using information over investment horizons?3
A stochastic‐volatility equity‐price tree for pricing convertible bonds with endogenous firm values and default risks determined by the first‐passage default model3
3
Realized bipower variation, jump components, and option valuation3
The Economics of Liquid Staking Derivatives: Basis Determinants and Price Discovery3
3
Predictability of commodity futures returns with machine learning models3
Evaluating robust determinants of the WTI/Brent oil price differential: A dynamic model averaging analysis3
3
3
Nonlinear limits to arbitrage3
Dynamic correlations and volatility spillovers between subsectoral clean‐energy stocks and commodity futures markets: A hedging perspective3
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 42, Number 9, September 20223
The Silent Disco—Speculation in Bearish Commodity Markets and the Role of Liquidity3
Do Corn Options Update Volatility Expectations in the Wake of USDA Reports?3
Stock–Commodity Correlations, Optimal Hedging, and Climate Risks3
Option pricing with dynamic conditional skewness2
Global climate change and commodity markets: A hedging perspective2
Volatility of Volatility and VIX Forecasting: New Evidence Based on Jumps, the Short‐Term and Long‐Term Volatility2
Do VIX futures contribute to the valuation of VIX options?2
Assessing the asymmetric volatility linkages of energy and agricultural commodity futures during low and high volatility regimes2
The Role of Policy on Commodity Markets: From the Perspective of Narrative News Based on NLP2
2
Forecasting swap rate volatility with information from swaptions2
The information content of the volatility index options trading volume2
Tighter Bounds for Implied Volatility With the Dirac Delta Family Method2
Bitcoin Price Direction Forecasting and Market Variables2
2
Power‐type derivatives for rough volatility with jumps2
The dynamics of crude oil future prices on China's energy markets: Quantile‐on‐quantile and casualty‐in‐quantiles approaches2
The impact of Sino–US trade war on price discovery of soybean: A double‐edged sword?2
2
Drilling and DUCs in the Permian Basin2
Warrants in the financial management decisions of innovative firms2
Temperature, storage, and natural gas futures prices2
The impact of COVID‐19 on the interdependence between US and Chinese oil futures markets2
Skewness Premium for Short‐Term Exposure to Squared Market Returns2
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 45, Number 4, April 20252
Managing risk and reaping rewards: Climate‐change futures as a game‐changer for energy futures markets2
Unspanned macro risks in VIX futures2
Geopolitical Risk and the Volatility of the International Grain Futures Market2
2
Time‐varying pure contagion effect between energy and nonenergy commodity markets2
Probability weighting in commodity futures markets2
Intra‐Industry Transfers of Implied Volatility Information Around Mergers and Acquisitions2
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 42, Number 5, May 20222
Does clean energy matter? Revisiting the spillovers between energy and foreign exchange markets2
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 45, Number 6, June 20252
Trading Games: Beating Passive Strategies in the Bullish Crypto Market2
Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Forecasting Gold Futures Volatility: Evidence From India2
USD Interest Rate Swaption Strategies During the Unconventional Monetary Policy and Pandemic Eras2
Hedging options in a hidden Markov‐switching local‐volatility model via stochastic flows and a Monte‐Carlo method2
Overseas Impact of USDA Reports: Evidence From Chinese Soybean Complex Futures2
Effects of Social Media‐Based Peer Opinions on the Prices of Cryptocurrency Options2
2
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 44, Number 11, November 20242
A good hedge or safe haven? The hedging ability of China's commodity futures market under extreme market conditions2
The Determinants of Marginal Convenience Yield in Agricultural Commodity Markets1
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 44, Number 4, April 20241
Measuring Real‐Time Economic Condition With Economic Narratives1
Forecasting high‐yield equity and CDS index returns: Does observed cross‐market informational flow have predictive power?1
1
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 43, Number 3, March 20231
Sheep in wolves' clothing: Using false signals of demand to execute a market power manipulation1
Connectedness and risk spillover in China's commodity futures sectors1
Maximum utility portfolio construction in the forward freight agreement markets: Evidence from a multivariate skewed t copula1
Futures Turnover Waves1
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 43, Number 9, September 20231
Do Price Jumps Matter in Volatility Forecasts of US Treasury Futures?1
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 43, Number 11, November 20231
Left‐digit biases: Individual and institutional investors1
Extreme Risk Spillovers From US Soybean Futures Market to China's Soybean‐Linked Futures Markets1
Novel Analytic Representations for Caps, Floors, Collars, and Exchange Options on Continuous Flows, Arbitrage‐Free Relations, and Optimal Investments1
Hedging pressure and liquidity provision in commodity options markets1
Impact of crude oil volatility jumps on sustainable investments: Evidence from India1
Price discovery in the CSI 300 Index derivatives markets1
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 41, Number 12, December 20211
1
Appraising Model Complexity in Option Pricing1
A comment on “Determinants of Nikkei futures mispricing in international markets: Dividend clustering, currency risk, and transaction costs”1
Editor's Note1
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 42, Number 4, April 20221
The impact of air pollution on crude oil futures market1
Journal of Futures Markets: Volume 42, Number 3, March 20221
Reporting delays and the information content of off‐market trades1
Editorial1
Modeling and forecasting stock return volatility using the HARGARCH model with VIX information1
Contagion or flight‐to‐quality? The linkage between oil price and the US dollar based on the local Gaussian approach1
Dynamics in the VIX complex1
Calibration in the “real world” of a partially specified stochastic volatility model1
Intraday liquidity in soybean complex futures markets1
1
Industry variance risk premium, cross‐industry correlation, and expected returns1
Hedging pressure and oil volatility: Insurance versus liquidity demands1
The GameStop short squeeze: Put–call parity and the effect of frictions before, during and after the squeeze1
The impact of high speed quoting on execution risk dynamics: Evidence from interest rate futures markets1
1
Futures Trading and Corporate Financialization: A Quasi‐Natural Experiment From the Launch of China's Crude Oil Futures1
Information and the arrival rate of option trading volume1
A tale of two premiums revisited1
Algorithmic trading and market quality: Evidence from the Taiwan index futures market1
Term spreads of implied volatility smirk and variance risk premium1
Volatility in Carbon Futures Amid Uncertainties: Considering Geopolitical and Economic Policy Factors1
Hedging commodities in times of distress: The case of COVID‐191
Hedging performance analysis of energy markets: Evidence from copula quantile regression1
The influence of oil price uncertainty on stock liquidity1
Forecasting Crude Oil Price Using Secondary Decomposition‐Reconstruction‐Ensemble Model Based on Variational Mode Decomposition1
Arbitrage, contract design, and market structure in Bitcoin futures markets1
Leveraging prices from credit and equity option markets for portfolio risk management1
Futures trading costs and market microstructure invariance: Identifying bet activity1
Use of high‐frequency data to evaluate the performance of dynamic hedging strategies1
0.049950122833252