Weather and Forecasting

Article	Citations
Prediction Skill of GEFSv12 for Southwest Summer Monsoon Rainfall and Associated Extreme Rainfall Events on Extended Range Scale over India	160
An Objective Method for Clustering Observed Vertical Thermodynamic Profiles by Their Boundary Layer Structure	65
Simulated QLCS Vortices in a High-Shear, Low-CAPE Environment	59
Assessing NOAA Rip-Current Hazard Likelihood Predictions: Comparison with Lifeguard Observations and Parameterizations of Bathymetric and Transient Rip-Current Types	44
A Bayesian Framework for the Probabilistic Interpretation of Radar Observations and Severe Hailstorm Reports	36
Forecasting High Wind Events in the HRRR Model over Wyoming and Colorado. Part I: Evaluation of Wind Speeds and Gusts	32
Machine Learning–Based Hurricane Wind Reconstruction	27
Evaluating Snowfall Forecasts over the Midwestern and Eastern United States in the GFDL C-SHiELD Model	19
Machine Learning–Derived Severe Weather Probabilities from a Warn-on-Forecast System	19
Estimating Current Tropical Cyclone Intensity from 183-GHz Microwave Satellite Observations Using a Convolutional Neural Network	18
The Physical Mechanisms of Hurricane Ida’s Extreme Rainfall in NYC: Insights from the Warn-on-Forecast System	15
Lidar-Based Evaluation of HRRR Performance in California’s Diablo Range	15
A Forecast Cycle–Based Evaluation for Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Forecasts by the Operational HWRF Model	15
Learning from Precipitation Events in the Wider Domain to Improve the Performance of a Deep Learning–Based Precipitation Nowcasting Model	14
Evaluating the Performance of Microphysics Schemes against Observations during High-Impact Lake-Effect Snow Events	14
Reorganization of Snowfall beneath Cloud Top within the Comma Head Region of Two Extreme U.S. East Coast Winter Cyclones	13
Characteristics of Warm Season Heavy Rainfall in Minnesota	12
Assessment of an Experimental Version of fvGFS for TC Genesis Forecasting Ability in the Western North Pacific	11
Forecasting Capability Verification of the Pangu-Weather and IFS HRES for the 2022 Summer Weather in Jiangsu Province, China	11
Evaluating Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts from HAFS Using Satellite-Derived Ocean Profiles	11
Forecasting U.S. Tornado Outbreak Activity and Associated Environments in the Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS)	11
The Development of the NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System Version 12	11
Development and Validation of NOAA’s 20-Year Global Wave Ensemble Reforecast	11
Parametric Postprocessing of Dual-Resolution Precipitation Forecasts	11
A Comparative Study of Various Approaches for Producing Probabilistic Forecasts of Upper-Level Aviation Turbulence	11

A Deep Learning Model for Precipitation Nowcasting Using Multiple Optical Flow Algorithms	10
Winter Precipitation Type from Microwave Radiometers in New York State Mesonet Profiler Network	10
Journal Information and Table of Contents	10
Results from a Pseudo-Real-Time Next-Generation 1-km Warn-on-Forecast System Prototype	10
The Forecast Skill of Tropical Cyclone Genesis in Two Global Ensembles	10
Equity, Inclusion, and Justice: An Opportunity for Action for AMS Publications Stakeholders	10
Deterministic Rapid Intensity Forecast Guidance for the Joint Typhoon Warning Center’s Area of Responsibility	9
Short-Term Weather Forecast Skill of Artificial Neural Networks	9
Center-fixing of tropical cyclones using uncertainty-aware deep learning applied to high-temporal-resolution geostationary satellite imagery	9
An Analysis of the Spatial and Temporal Synergy between Profiles of Aircraft-Based Observations and Operational Radiosonde Reports over the United States	9
Performance of 2020 Real-Time Atlantic Hurricane Forecasts from High-Resolution Global-Nested Hurricane Models: HAFS-globalnest and GFDL T-SHiELD	9
Predictable and Unpredictable Components of Wave-Like Pattern along the Asian Jet in JMA/MRI-CPS3 Seasonal Forecasts	8
Effects of Prognostic Number Concentrations of Snow and Graupel on the Simulated Precipitation over the Korean Peninsula	8
Development of a Wave Model Component in the First Coupled Global Ensemble Forecast System at NOAA	8
Satellite-Based Nowcasting of West African Mesoscale Storms Has Skill at up to 4-h Lead Time	8
Analyzing Tornado Warning Performance during Individual Storm Life Cycles	8
Comparison of 2018–22 Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts before and after NOAA G-IV Missions	8
Bias Correction of Tropical Cyclone Intensity for Ensemble Forecasts Using the XGBoost Method	8
Regional Cloud Forecast Verification Using Standard, Spatial, and Object-Oriented Methods	7
A Simple Model for Predicting Tropical Cyclone Minimum Central Pressure from Intensity and Size	7
Journal Information and Table of Contents	7
Masthead	7
A Wind Speed Probability–Based Error Swath	7
ProxyVis—A Proxy for Nighttime Visible Imagery Applicable to Geostationary Satellite Observations	7
Differences in the Effects of 10–30-Day Oscillations on Persistent Precipitation across Diverse Mei-Yu Climate Regions in China	7
Enhancing Seasonal Forecast Skills by Optimally Weighting the Ensemble from Fresh Data	7
A Multivariable Convolutional Neural Network for Forecasting Synoptic-Scale Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies in the South China Sea	7
The Development of a Consensus Machine Learning Model for Hurricane Rapid Intensification Forecasts with Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) Data	7
Developing a Hail and Wind Damage Swath Event Database from Daily MODIS True Color Imagery and Storm Reports for Impact Analysis and Applications	7
Evaluation of 0–6-Hour Forecasts from the Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System and the Hybrid Analysis and Forecast System for Real-Time Cases in 2021	7
Development of a Two-Step EOF Statistical Postprocessing Algorithm to Identify Patterns of Systematic Error and Variance within GEFSv12 Reforecasts	6
Sources of Tropical Cyclone Track Bifurcation in the COAMPS-TC and GFS Ensembles	6
Leveraging Data-Driven Weather Models for Improving Numerical Weather Prediction Skill through Large-Scale Spectral Nudging	6
National Weather Service Field Testing of the Flash Flood Severity Index: A Retroactive Analysis from 2018 to 2022	6
A Study of Tropical Cyclone Strike Probability Forecasts in Three Ensemble Prediction Systems	6
Subseasonal Earth System Prediction with CESM2	6
Masthead	6
Prediction Skill of GEFSv12 in Depicting Monthly Rainfall and Associated Extreme Events over Taiwan during the Summer Monsoon	6
Initialized Seasonal Prediction with the NCAR Models in the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME)	6
A Markov Model Approach for Statistical Tropical Cyclone Wind Radii Baseline Forecasts	6
Direct Assimilation of GOES-16 ABI All-Sky Radiances in HAFS Self-Cycled Dual-Resolution 3DEnVar System: System Description and a Case Study of Hurricane Laura (2020)	6
Advantages to Writing Shorter Articles	6
The Meteorology of the Tathra Bushfire	6
Quantifying the Uncertainty in the Weather Research and Forecasting Model under Sea Breeze and Low-Level Jet Conditions in the New York Bight: Importance to Offshore Wind Energy	6
Masthead	6
Dynamically Adapting Mesh Refinement in an Unstructured Grid Global Model for Numerical Weather Prediction	6
A Hybrid Ultra-short-term and Short-term Wind Speed Forecasting Method based on CEEMDAN and GA-BPNN	6
Differences in Near-Storm Parameters Useful for Forecasting Intensity of Nocturnal and Diurnal Bow Echo Winds	6
Investigating the Potential of Using Mixdown Altitudes to Forecast Peak Wind Gusts	6
Masthead	6

Nowcasting Applications of Geostationary Satellite Hourly Surface PM2.5 Data	5
Weather to subseasonal prediction from the UFS coupled Global Ensemble Forecast System	5
ProbSevere Version 3: Improved Exploitation of Data Fusion and Machine Learning for Nowcasting Severe Weather	5
Impact of Adjustments in Surface–Atmosphere Coupling for Model Forecasts in Stable Conditions	5
Assimilation of Doppler Radial Velocity Measurements of Biomass Burning Debris into the Warn-on-Forecast System	5
Using NOAA Satellite Imagery to Detect and Track Hazardous Sea Spray in the High Latitudes	5
Documenting the Progressions of Secondary Eyewall Formations	5
Revisiting Environmental Wind and Moisture Calculations in the Context of Tropical Cyclone Intensification	5
Forecasting Northern Australian Summer Rainfall Bursts Using a Seasonal Prediction System	5
Masthead	5
Random Forest Approach for Improving Nonconvective High Wind Forecasting across Southeast Wyoming	5
Masthead	5
Just What Is “Good”? Musings on Hail Forecast Verification through Evaluation of FV3-HAILCAST Hail Forecasts	5
Masthead	5
Warm-Season Extreme Precipitation Forecast Performance in the HREF Means	5
Weather Associated with Rapid-Growth California Wildfires	5
Toward the Development of an Impact-Based Decision Support Tool for Surface-Transportation Hazards. Part I: Tying Weather Variables to Road Hazards and Quantifying Impacts	5
Impact of Horizontal Grid Resolution from Ten-Kilometric to Hectometric Scales on Radiation Fog Forecasting over North China Plain	5
Forecast Applications of GLM Gridded Products: A Data Fusion Perspective	5
CORRIGENDUM	5
Evaluating the Multiscale Implementation of Valid Time Shifting within a Real-Time EnVar Data Assimilation and Forecast System for the 2022 HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment	5
A Machine Learning Tutorial for Operational Meteorology. Part I: Traditional Machine Learning	5
Comparison of the Performance of the Observation-Based Hybrid EDMF and EDMF-TKE PBL Schemes in 2020 Tropical Cyclone Forecasts from the Global-Nested Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System	5
Evaluation of Probabilistic Snow Forecasts for Winter Weather Operations at Intermountain West Airports	5
Quantifying Observation Representativeness Errors Using a Spatial Verification Method: A Lightning-Based Illustration	5
Masthead	5
Hybrid Numerical Weather Prediction: Downscaling GraphCast AI Forecasts for Downslope Windstorms	5
Journal Information and Table of Contents	4
Storm-Scale Predictability and Analysis of the 13 April 2020 Central Savannah River Area Tornado Outbreak	4
The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR): An Hourly Updating Convection-Allowing Forecast Model. Part II: Forecast Performance	4
Comparative Analysis of Ensemble and Deterministic Models for Fire Weather Index (FWI) System Forecasting	4
Journal Information and Table of Contents	4
Evaluation of HRRR Wind Speed Forecast and WindNinja Downscaling Accuracy during Santa Ana Wind Events in Southern California	4
The Impact of Analysis Correction-Based Additive Inflation on Subseasonal Tropical Prediction in the Navy Earth System Prediction Capability	4
Spatial Aligned Mean: A Method to Improve Consensus Forecasts of Precipitation from Convection-Allowing Model Ensembles	4
Multimodel Forecast Evaluation of the Track and Intensity of Supertyphoon Doksuri in 2023	4
Exploring NWS Forecasters’ Assessment of AI Guidance Trustworthiness	4
The WRF-Based Incremental Analysis Updates and Its Implementation in an Hourly Cycling Data Assimilation System	4
Impact of Ocean Resolution on Navy ESPC Forecast Skill	4
Radar Reflectivity–Based Model Initialization Using Specified Latent Heating (Radar-LHI) within a Diabatic Digital Filter or Pre-Forecast Integration	4
Evaluation of the Short-Range Weather Application over Taiwan: A Focus on Extreme Precipitation Forecasts	4
A Probabilistic Prediction of Rogue Waves from a WAVEWATCH III Model for the Northeast Pacific	4
Improving Afternoon Thunderstorm Prediction over Complex Terrain with the Assimilation of Dense Ground-Based Observations: Four Cases in the Taipei Basin	4
Masthead	4
A Comparison between 2D and 3D Rescaling Masks of Initial Condition Perturbation in a 3-km Storm-Scale Ensemble Prediction System	4
Masthead	4
Direct Radiative Effects of Aerosols on Numerical Weather Forecasts—A Comparison of Two Aerosol Datasets in the NCEP GFS	4
History and Development of the USAF Agriculture Meteorology Modeling System and Resulting USAF–NASA Strategic Partnership	4
The Relationship between Northeast Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures, Synoptic Evolution, and Surface Air Temperatures over the Pacific Northwest	4
Exploring the Usefulness of Machine Learning Severe Weather Guidance in the Warn-on-Forecast System: Results from the 2022 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment	4
Evaluation of NOAA Commercial Radio Occultation Soundings in Global Weather Forecasting	4
A Comparison of the Impacts of Inner-Core, In-Vortex, and Environmental Dropsondes on Tropical Cyclone Forecasts during the 2017–20 Hurricane Seasons	4
Using Radiosonde Observations to Assess the “Three Ingredients Method” to Forecast QLCS Mesovortices	4
TCIC-SC-RNet: A Hybrid Model for TC Intensity Estimation Based on Transfer Learning	4
The Roles of Chaos Seeding and Multiple Perturbations in Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecasting over Southern China	4
Forecast Dropouts in the NAVGEM Model: Characterization with Respect to Other Models, Large-Scale Indices, and Ensemble Forecasts	4
Investigation of Machine Learning Using Satellite-Based Advanced Dvorak Technique Analysis Parameters to Estimate Tropical Cyclone Intensity	4
The Statistical Relationship of Lightning Activity and Short-Duration Rainfall Events over Guangzhou, China, in 2017	4
Improving Best Track Verification of Tropical Cyclones: A New Metric to Identify Forecast Consistency	3
Impacts of Sampling and Storm-Motion Estimates on RUC/RAP-Based Discriminations of Nontornadic and Tornadic Supercell Environments	3
Improving Precipitation Forecasts with Convolutional Neural Networks	3
Simulations of Severe Convective Systems Using 1- versus 3-km Grid Spacing	3
Toward the Development of an Impact-Based Decision Support Tool for Surface-Transportation Hazards. Part II: An Hourly Winter Storm Severity Index	3
Storm Displacement Errors in the NSSL Warn-on-Forecast System	3
Advancing the Seasonal Outlook of the Wet Seasons of Florida	3
WoFS and the Wisdom of the Crowd: The Impact of the Warn-on-Forecast System on Hourly Forecasts during the 2021 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment	3
Using Artificial Neural Networks to Improve CFS Week-3–4 Precipitation and 2-m Air Temperature Forecasts	3
Improved Predictability of Summertime Rossby Wave Breaking Frequency near Japan in JMA/MRI-CPS3 Seasonal Forecasts	3
Updates in the NCEP GFS PBL and Convection Models with Environmental Wind Shear Effect and Modified Entrainment and Detrainment Rates and Their Impacts on the GFS Hurricane and CAPE Forecasts	3
Flow Dependence of Medium-Range Precipitation Forecast Skill over California	3
Quantification of QLCS Tornadogenesis, Associated Characteristics, and Environments across a Large Sample	3
Evaluation of Aerosol Optical Depth Forecasts from NOAA’s Global Aerosol Forecast Model (GEFS-Aerosols)	3
A Summary of U.S. Watershed Precipitation Forecast Skill and the National Forecast-Informed Reservoir Operations Expansion Pathfinder Effort	3
Collaborative Exploration of Storm-Scale Probabilistic Guidance for NWS Forecast Operations	3
Hurricane Forecasting: A Novel Multimodal Machine Learning Framework	3
Methods for Validating HRRR Simulated Cloud Properties for Different Weather Phenomena Using Satellite and Radar Observations	3
Role of a Pacific Easterly Wave in the Genesis of Hagupit (2008)	3
Performance of a Convective-Scale Ensemble Prediction System on 2017 Warm-Season Afternoon Thunderstorms over Taiwan	3
Verification of multimodel temperature seasonal forecasts in Europe	3
Testing Vertical Wind Shear and Nonlinear MJO–ENSO Interactions as Predictors for Subseasonal Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Forecasts	3

Subseasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Precipitation	3
A Simple Bias and Uncertainty Scheme for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change Forecasts	3
Masthead	3
Severe Convective Storms in Limited Instability Organized by Pattern and Distribution	3
Subbasin Forecasts of Seasonal Atlantic Hurricane Activity: Skill and Challenges	3
Environmental Characteristics Supporting Warm-Season Coastal Convection Initiation near Houston, Texas	3
Masthead	3
A Comparison between Tornadic and Nontornadic QLCS Mesovortices Using a Multiradar Analysis of Operational and Experimental MRMS Products	3
Improved Short-Term Surface Wind Speed Forecasts Using Random Forest Approach with Sliding Time Window and Region Regression	3
Doppler Lidar and Mobile Radiosonde Observation-Based Evaluation of Warn-on-Forecast System Predicted Near-Supercell Environments during TORUS 2019	3
An Evaluation of NOAA Modeled and In Situ Soil Moisture Values and Variability across the Continental United States	3
Evaluating Medium-Range Forecast Performance of Regional-Scale Circulation Patterns	3
ProbSevere LightningCast: A Deep-Learning Model for Satellite-Based Lightning Nowcasting	3
Evaluating Machine Learning–Based Probabilistic Convective Hazard Forecasts Using The HRRR: Quantifying Hazard Predictability and Sensitivity to Training Choices	3
Evaluation of an Improved AROME Configuration for Fog Forecasts during the SOFOG3D Campaign	3