Weather and Forecasting

Article	Citations
Prediction Skill of GEFSv12 for Southwest Summer Monsoon Rainfall and Associated Extreme Rainfall Events on Extended Range Scale over India	150
A Forecast Cycle–Based Evaluation for Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Forecasts by the Operational HWRF Model	62
An Objective Method for Clustering Observed Vertical Thermodynamic Profiles by Their Boundary Layer Structure	54
Simulated QLCS Vortices in a High-Shear, Low-CAPE Environment	44
Learning from Precipitation Events in the Wider Domain to Improve the Performance of a Deep Learning–Based Precipitation Nowcasting Model	35
Assessing NOAA Rip-Current Hazard Likelihood Predictions: Comparison with Lifeguard Observations and Parameterizations of Bathymetric and Transient Rip-Current Types	31
A Bayesian Framework for the Probabilistic Interpretation of Radar Observations and Severe Hailstorm Reports	23
Forecasting High Wind Events in the HRRR Model over Wyoming and Colorado. Part I: Evaluation of Wind Speeds and Gusts	19
Reorganization of Snowfall beneath Cloud Top within the Comma Head Region of Two Extreme U.S. East Coast Winter Cyclones	18
A Comparative Study of Various Approaches for Producing Probabilistic Forecasts of Upper-Level Aviation Turbulence	17
Machine Learning–Derived Severe Weather Probabilities from a Warn-on-Forecast System	15
Machine Learning–Based Hurricane Wind Reconstruction	15
Development and Validation of NOAA’s 20-Year Global Wave Ensemble Reforecast	13
Evaluating Snowfall Forecasts over the Midwestern and Eastern United States in the GFDL C-SHiELD Model	13
Estimating Current Tropical Cyclone Intensity from 183-GHz Microwave Satellite Observations Using a Convolutional Neural Network	12
Lidar-Based Evaluation of HRRR Performance in California’s Diablo Range	12
Forecasting U.S. Tornado Outbreak Activity and Associated Environments in the Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS)	11
Forecasting Capability Verification of the Pangu-Weather and IFS HRES for the 2022 Summer Weather in Jiangsu Province, China	11
Characteristics of Warm Season Heavy Rainfall in Minnesota	11
Parametric Postprocessing of Dual-Resolution Precipitation Forecasts	11
Assessment of an Experimental Version of fvGFS for TC Genesis Forecasting Ability in the Western North Pacific	11
Equity, Inclusion, and Justice: An Opportunity for Action for AMS Publications Stakeholders	10
The Development of the NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System Version 12	10
Results from a Pseudo-Real-Time Next-Generation 1-km Warn-on-Forecast System Prototype	10
Evaluating the Performance of Microphysics Schemes against Observations during High-Impact Lake-Effect Snow Events	10

Predictable and unpredictable components of wave-like pattern along the Asian jet in JMA/MRI-CPS3 seasonal forecasts	9
The Forecast Skill of Tropical Cyclone Genesis in Two Global Ensembles	9
A Deep Learning Model for Precipitation Nowcasting Using Multiple Optical Flow Algorithms	9
Winter Precipitation Type from Microwave Radiometers in New York State Mesonet Profiler Network	9
Comparison of 2018–22 Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts before and after NOAA G-IV Missions	9
Journal Information and Table of Contents	9
An Analysis of the Spatial and Temporal Synergy between Profiles of Aircraft-Based Observations and Operational Radiosonde Reports over the United States	8
Analyzing Tornado Warning Performance during Individual Storm Life Cycles	8
Bias Correction of Tropical Cyclone Intensity for Ensemble Forecasts Using the XGBoost Method	8
Effects of Prognostic Number Concentrations of Snow and Graupel on the Simulated Precipitation over the Korean Peninsula	8
Short-Term Weather Forecast Skill of Artificial Neural Networks	8
Center-fixing of tropical cyclones using uncertainty-aware deep learning applied to high-temporal-resolution geostationary satellite imagery	8
Development of a Wave Model Component in the First Coupled Global Ensemble Forecast System at NOAA	8
Deterministic Rapid Intensity Forecast Guidance for the Joint Typhoon Warning Center’s Area of Responsibility	8
Satellite-Based Nowcasting of West African Mesoscale Storms Has Skill at up to 4-h Lead Time	8
Performance of 2020 Real-Time Atlantic Hurricane Forecasts from High-Resolution Global-Nested Hurricane Models: HAFS-globalnest and GFDL T-SHiELD	8
Regional Cloud Forecast Verification Using Standard, Spatial, and Object-Oriented Methods	7
A Simple Model for Predicting Tropical Cyclone Minimum Central Pressure from Intensity and Size	7
Journal Information and Table of Contents	7
Developing a Hail and Wind Damage Swath Event Database from Daily MODIS True Color Imagery and Storm Reports for Impact Analysis and Applications	7
A Multivariable Convolutional Neural Network for Forecasting Synoptic-Scale Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies in the South China Sea	7
Differences in the Effects of 10–30-Day Oscillations on Persistent Precipitation across Diverse Mei-Yu Climate Regions in China	7
A Wind Speed Probability–Based Error Swath	7
The Development of a Consensus Machine Learning Model for Hurricane Rapid Intensification Forecasts with Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) Data	7
Enhancing Seasonal Forecast Skills by Optimally Weighting the Ensemble from Fresh Data	7
Masthead	6
The Meteorology of the Tathra Bushfire	6
Subseasonal Earth System Prediction with CESM2	6
Investigating the Potential of Using Mixdown Altitudes to Forecast Peak Wind Gusts	6
Advantages to Writing Shorter Articles	6
Leveraging Data-Driven Weather Models for Improving Numerical Weather Prediction Skill through Large-Scale Spectral Nudging	6
Development of a Two-Step EOF Statistical Postprocessing Algorithm to Identify Patterns of Systematic Error and Variance within GEFSv12 Reforecasts	6
Masthead	6
Evaluation of 0–6-Hour Forecasts from the Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System and the Hybrid Analysis and Forecast System for Real-Time Cases in 2021	6
Masthead	6
Sources of Tropical Cyclone Track Bifurcation in the COAMPS-TC and GFS Ensembles	6
National Weather Service Field Testing of the Flash Flood Severity Index: A Retroactive Analysis from 2018 to 2022	6
Initialized Seasonal Prediction with the NCAR Models in the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME)	6
Masthead	6
ProxyVis—A Proxy for Nighttime Visible Imagery Applicable to Geostationary Satellite Observations	6
Prediction Skill of GEFSv12 in Depicting Monthly Rainfall and Associated Extreme Events over Taiwan during the Summer Monsoon	6
Quantifying the Uncertainty in the Weather Research and Forecasting Model under Sea Breeze and Low-Level Jet Conditions in the New York Bight: Importance to Offshore Wind Energy	6
Differences in Near-Storm Parameters Useful for Forecasting Intensity of Nocturnal and Diurnal Bow Echo Winds	6
Dynamically Adapting Mesh Refinement in an Unstructured Grid Global Model for Numerical Weather Prediction	6
Using NOAA Satellite Imagery to Detect and Track Hazardous Sea Spray in the High Latitudes	6
Random Forest Approach for Improving Nonconvective High Wind Forecasting across Southeast Wyoming	5
Evaluating the Multiscale Implementation of Valid Time Shifting within a Real-Time EnVar Data Assimilation and Forecast System for the 2022 HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment	5
A study of Tropical Cyclone strike probability forecasts in Three Ensemble Prediction Systems	5
Masthead	5
Comparison of the Performance of the Observation-Based Hybrid EDMF and EDMF-TKE PBL Schemes in 2020 Tropical Cyclone Forecasts from the Global-Nested Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System	5

Weather to subseasonal prediction from the UFS coupled Global Ensemble Forecast System	5
Masthead	5
Impact of Adjustments in Surface–Atmosphere Coupling for Model Forecasts in Stable Conditions	5
A Hybrid Ultra-short-term and Short-term Wind Speed Forecasting Method based on CEEMDAN and GA-BPNN	5
ProbSevere Version 3: Improved Exploitation of Data Fusion and Machine Learning for Nowcasting Severe Weather	5
Masthead	5
Forecasting Northern Australian Summer Rainfall Bursts Using a Seasonal Prediction System	5
Nowcasting Applications of Geostationary Satellite Hourly Surface PM2.5 Data	5
Just What Is “Good”? Musings on Hail Forecast Verification through Evaluation of FV3-HAILCAST Hail Forecasts	5
A Machine Learning Tutorial for Operational Meteorology. Part I: Traditional Machine Learning	5
Toward the Development of an Impact-Based Decision Support Tool for Surface-Transportation Hazards. Part I: Tying Weather Variables to Road Hazards and Quantifying Impacts	5
A Markov Model Approach for Statistical Tropical Cyclone Wind Radii Baseline Forecasts	5
CORRIGENDUM	5
Forecast Applications of GLM Gridded Products: A Data Fusion Perspective	5
Spatial Aligned Mean: A Method to Improve Consensus Forecasts of Precipitation from Convection-Allowing Model Ensembles	4
The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR): An Hourly Updating Convection-Allowing Forecast Model. Part II: Forecast Performance	4
Masthead	4
A Comparison between 2D and 3D Rescaling Masks of Initial Condition Perturbation in a 3-km Storm-Scale Ensemble Prediction System	4
Warm-Season Extreme Precipitation Forecast Performance in the HREF Means	4
Impact of Horizontal Grid Resolution from Ten-Kilometric to Hectometric Scales on Radiation Fog Forecasting over North China Plain	4
Evaluation of Probabilistic Snow Forecasts for Winter Weather Operations at Intermountain West Airports	4
Using Radiosonde Observations to Assess the “Three Ingredients Method” to Forecast QLCS Mesovortices	4
Radar Reflectivity–Based Model Initialization Using Specified Latent Heating (Radar-LHI) within a Diabatic Digital Filter or Pre-Forecast Integration	4
Evaluation of NOAA Commercial Radio Occultation Soundings in Global Weather Forecasting	4
History and Development of the USAF Agriculture Meteorology Modeling System and Resulting USAF–NASA Strategic Partnership	4
A Comparison of the Impacts of Inner-Core, In-Vortex, and Environmental Dropsondes on Tropical Cyclone Forecasts during the 2017–20 Hurricane Seasons	4
The Roles of Chaos Seeding and Multiple Perturbations in Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecasting over Southern China	4
TCIC-SC-RNet: A Hybrid Model for TC Intensity Estimation Based on Transfer Learning	4
Masthead	4
Weather Associated with Rapid-Growth California Wildfires	4
Revisiting Environmental Wind and Moisture Calculations in the Context of Tropical Cyclone Intensification	4
Evaluation of HRRR Wind Speed Forecast and WindNinja Downscaling Accuracy during Santa Ana Wind Events in Southern California	4
Evaluation of the Short-Range Weather Application over Taiwan: A Focus on Extreme Precipitation Forecasts	4
Exploring the Usefulness of Machine Learning Severe Weather Guidance in the Warn-on-Forecast System: Results from the 2022 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment	4
Forecast Dropouts in the NAVGEM Model: Characterization with Respect to Other Models, Large-Scale Indices, and Ensemble Forecasts	4
Masthead	4
A Probabilistic Prediction of Rogue Waves from a WAVEWATCH III Model for the Northeast Pacific	4
Improving Afternoon Thunderstorm Prediction over Complex Terrain with the Assimilation of Dense Ground-Based Observations: Four Cases in the Taipei Basin	4
The Statistical Relationship of Lightning Activity and Short-Duration Rainfall Events over Guangzhou, China, in 2017	4
The Impact of Analysis Correction-Based Additive Inflation on Subseasonal Tropical Prediction in the Navy Earth System Prediction Capability	4
Assimilation of Doppler Radial Velocity Measurements of Biomass Burning Debris into the Warn-on-Forecast System	4
Quantifying Observation Representativeness Errors Using a Spatial Verification Method: A Lightning-Based Illustration	4
Hybrid Numerical Weather Prediction: Downscaling GraphCast AI Forecasts for Downslope Windstorms	4
Documenting the Progressions of Secondary Eyewall Formations	4
Comparative Analysis of Ensemble and Deterministic Models for Fire Weather Index (FWI) System Forecasting	4
Storm-Scale Predictability and Analysis of the 13 April 2020 Central Savannah River Area Tornado Outbreak	4
Multimodel Forecast Evaluation of the Track and Intensity of Supertyphoon Doksuri in 2023	4
Quantification of QLCS Tornadogenesis, Associated Characteristics, and Environments across a Large Sample	3
WoFS and the Wisdom of the Crowd: The Impact of the Warn-on-Forecast System on Hourly Forecasts during the 2021 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment	3
Impact of Ocean Resolution on Navy ESPC Forecast Skill	3
Impacts of Sampling and Storm-Motion Estimates on RUC/RAP-Based Discriminations of Nontornadic and Tornadic Supercell Environments	3
Toward the Development of an Impact-Based Decision Support Tool for Surface-Transportation Hazards. Part II: An Hourly Winter Storm Severity Index	3
The Relationship between Northeast Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures, Synoptic Evolution, and Surface Air Temperatures over the Pacific Northwest	3
The WRF-Based Incremental Analysis Updates and Its Implementation in an Hourly Cycling Data Assimilation System	3
Advancing the Seasonal Outlook of the Wet Seasons of Florida	3
Collaborative Exploration of Storm-Scale Probabilistic Guidance for NWS Forecast Operations	3
Environmental Characteristics Supporting Warm-Season Coastal Convection Initiation near Houston, Texas	3
Masthead	3
Improving Precipitation Forecasts with Convolutional Neural Networks	3
Doppler Lidar and Mobile Radiosonde Observation-Based Evaluation of Warn-on-Forecast System Predicted Near-Supercell Environments during TORUS 2019	3
Evaluating Medium-Range Forecast Performance of Regional-Scale Circulation Patterns	3
A Comparison between Tornadic and Nontornadic QLCS Mesovortices Using a Multiradar Analysis of Operational and Experimental MRMS Products	3
Performance of a Convective-Scale Ensemble Prediction System on 2017 Warm-Season Afternoon Thunderstorms over Taiwan	3
Role of a Pacific Easterly Wave in the Genesis of Hagupit (2008)	3
A Summary of U.S. Watershed Precipitation Forecast Skill and the National Forecast-Informed Reservoir Operations Expansion Pathfinder Effort	3
Exploring NWS Forecasters’ Assessment of AI Guidance Trustworthiness	3
Investigation of Machine Learning Using Satellite-Based Advanced Dvorak Technique Analysis Parameters to Estimate Tropical Cyclone Intensity	3
Journal Information and Table of Contents	3
Masthead	3
Using Artificial Neural Networks to Improve CFS Week-3–4 Precipitation and 2-m Air Temperature Forecasts	3
Flow Dependence of Medium-Range Precipitation Forecast Skill over California	3
Testing Vertical Wind Shear and Nonlinear MJO–ENSO Interactions as Predictors for Subseasonal Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Forecasts	3
Updates in the NCEP GFS PBL and Convection Models with Environmental Wind Shear Effect and Modified Entrainment and Detrainment Rates and Their Impacts on the GFS Hurricane and CAPE Forecasts	3
Improved Short-Term Surface Wind Speed Forecasts Using Random Forest Approach with Sliding Time Window and Region Regression	3
Evaluation of Aerosol Optical Depth Forecasts from NOAA’s Global Aerosol Forecast Model (GEFS-Aerosols)	3
An Evaluation of NOAA Modeled and In Situ Soil Moisture Values and Variability across the Continental United States	3
Severe Convective Storms in Limited Instability Organized by Pattern and Distribution	3
Simulations of Severe Convective Systems Using 1- versus 3-km Grid Spacing	3
Methods for Validating HRRR Simulated Cloud Properties for Different Weather Phenomena Using Satellite and Radar Observations	3
Direct Radiative Effects of Aerosols on Numerical Weather Forecasts—A Comparison of Two Aerosol Datasets in the NCEP GFS	3

Hurricane Forecasting: A Novel Multimodal Machine Learning Framework	3
Storm Displacement Errors in the NSSL Warn-on-Forecast System	3
A Simple Bias and Uncertainty Scheme for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change Forecasts	3
Intensification of Hurricane Sally (2020) over the Mississippi River Plume	3
Improving Best Track Verification of Tropical Cyclones: A New Metric to Identify Forecast Consistency	3
Subbasin Forecasts of Seasonal Atlantic Hurricane Activity: Skill and Challenges	3