Weather and Forecasting

Article	Citations
Prediction Skill of GEFSv12 for Southwest Summer Monsoon Rainfall and Associated Extreme Rainfall Events on Extended Range Scale over India	132
Forecasting High Wind Events in the HRRR Model over Wyoming and Colorado. Part I: Evaluation of Wind Speeds and Gusts	55
Reorganization of Snowfall beneath Cloud Top within the Comma Head Region of Two Extreme U.S. East Coast Winter Cyclones	47
Development and Validation of NOAA’s 20-Year Global Wave Ensemble Reforecast	38
A Comparative Study of Various Approaches for Producing Probabilistic Forecasts of Upper-Level Aviation Turbulence	34
A Bayesian Framework for the Probabilistic Interpretation of Radar Observations and Severe Hailstorm Reports	30
An Objective Method for Clustering Observed Vertical Thermodynamic Profiles by Their Boundary Layer Structure	24
Simulated QLCS Vortices in a High-Shear, Low-CAPE Environment	23
Assessing NOAA Rip-Current Hazard Likelihood Predictions: Comparison with Lifeguard Observations and Parameterizations of Bathymetric and Transient Rip-Current Types	22
Machine Learning–Based Hurricane Wind Reconstruction	17
Parametric Postprocessing of Dual-Resolution Precipitation Forecasts	16
Learning from Precipitation Events in the Wider Domain to Improve the Performance of a Deep Learning–Based Precipitation Nowcasting Model	16
Forecasting Capability Verification of the Pangu-Weather and IFS HRES for the 2022 Summer Weather in Jiangsu Province, China	16
Machine Learning–Derived Severe Weather Probabilities from a Warn-on-Forecast System	15
Estimating Current Tropical Cyclone Intensity from 183-GHz Microwave Satellite Observations using a Convolutional Neural Network	13
Assessment of an Experimental Version of fvGFS for TC Genesis Forecasting Ability in the Western North Pacific	12
Lidar-based evaluation of HRRR performance in California’s Diablo Range	12
Characteristics of Warm Season Heavy Rainfall in Minnesota	11
Forecasting U.S. Tornado Outbreak Activity and Associated Environments in the Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS)	11
A Forecast Cycle–Based Evaluation for Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Forecasts by the Operational HWRF Model	11
Evaluating Snowfall Forecasts Over the Midwestern and Eastern United States in the GFDL C-SHiELD Model	11
The Development of the NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System Version 12	11
Equity, Inclusion, and Justice: An Opportunity for Action for AMS Publications Stakeholders	10
Effects of Prognostic Number Concentrations of Snow and Graupel on the Simulated Precipitation over the Korean Peninsula	10
The Forecast Skill of Tropical Cyclone Genesis in Two Global Ensembles	9

Satellite-Based Nowcasting of West African Mesoscale Storms Has Skill at up to 4-h Lead Time	9
Results from a Pseudo-Real-Time Next-Generation 1-km Warn-on-Forecast System Prototype	9
Development of a Wave Model Component in the First Coupled Global Ensemble Forecast System at NOAA	9
An Analysis of the Spatial and Temporal Synergy between Profiles of Aircraft-Based Observations and Operational Radiosonde Reports over the United States	9
Comparison of 2018–22 Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts before and after NOAA G-IV Missions	9
Analyzing Tornado Warning Performance during Individual Storm Life Cycles	8
Deterministic Rapid Intensity Forecast Guidance for the Joint Typhoon Warning Center’s Area of Responsibility	8
Masthead	8
Performance of 2020 Real-Time Atlantic Hurricane Forecasts from High-Resolution Global-Nested Hurricane Models: HAFS-globalnest and GFDL T-SHiELD	8
Short-Term Weather Forecast Skill of Artificial Neural Networks	8
A Deep Learning Model for Precipitation Nowcasting Using Multiple Optical Flow Algorithms	8
Developing a Hail and Wind Damage Swath Event Database from Daily MODIS True Color Imagery and Storm Reports for Impact Analysis and Applications	8
Winter Precipitation Type from Microwave Radiometers in New York State Mesonet Profiler Network	8
Bias Correction of Tropical Cyclone Intensity for Ensemble Forecasts Using the XGBoost Method	8
Journal Information and Table of Contents	8
The Meteorology of the Tathra Bushfire	8
The Development of a Consensus Machine Learning Model for Hurricane Rapid Intensification Forecasts with Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) Data	7
Regional Cloud Forecast Verification Using Standard, Spatial, and Object-Oriented Methods	7
Journal Information and Table of Contents	7
Differences in the effects of 10-30-day oscillations on persistent precipitation across diverse Meiyu climate regions in China	7
Evaluation of 0–6-Hour Forecasts from the Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System and the Hybrid Analysis and Forecast System for Real-Time Cases in 2021	7
Enhancing Seasonal Forecast Skills by Optimally Weighting the Ensemble from Fresh Data	7
A Simple Model for Predicting Tropical Cyclone Minimum Central Pressure from Intensity and Size	6
Masthead	6
A Hybrid Ultra-short-term and Short-term Wind Speed Forecasting Method based on CEEMDAN and GA-BPNN	6
A Wind Speed Probability–Based Error Swath	6
A Multivariable Convolutional Neural Network for Forecasting Synoptic-Scale Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies in the South China Sea	6
Investigating the Potential of Using Mixdown Altitudes to Forecast Peak Wind Gusts	6
Quantifying the Uncertainty in the Weather Research and Forecasting Model under Sea Breeze and Low-Level Jet Conditions in the New York Bight: Importance to Offshore Wind Energy	6
ProxyVis—A Proxy for Nighttime Visible Imagery Applicable to Geostationary Satellite Observations	6
Masthead	6
Sources of Tropical Cyclone Track Bifurcation in the COAMPS-TC and GFS Ensembles	6
Subseasonal Earth System Prediction with CESM2	6
Toward the Development of an Impact-Based Decision Support Tool for Surface-Transportation Hazards. Part I: Tying Weather Variables to Road Hazards and Quantifying Impacts	5
Leveraging data-driven weather models for improving numerical weather prediction skill through large-scale spectral nudging	5
Differences in Near-Storm Parameters Useful for Forecasting Intensity of Nocturnal and Diurnal Bow Echo Winds	5
Masthead	5
Comparison of the Performance of the Observation-Based Hybrid EDMF and EDMF-TKE PBL Schemes in 2020 Tropical Cyclone Forecasts from the Global-Nested Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System	5
Evaluating the Multiscale Implementation of Valid Time Shifting within a Real-Time EnVar Data Assimilation and Forecast System for the 2022 HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment	5
Just What Is “Good”? Musings on Hail Forecast Verification through Evaluation of FV3-HAILCAST Hail Forecasts	5
Using NOAA Satellite Imagery to Detect and Track Hazardous Sea Spray in the High Latitudes	5
Forecast Applications of GLM Gridded Products: A Data Fusion Perspective	5
Hybrid Numerical Weather Prediction: Downscaling GraphCast AI Forecasts for Downslope Windstorms	5
Masthead	5
Dynamically Adapting Mesh Refinement in an Unstructured Grid Global Model for Numerical Weather Prediction	5
Prediction Skill of GEFSv12 in Depicting Monthly Rainfall and Associated Extreme Events over Taiwan during the Summer Monsoon	5
Initialized Seasonal Prediction with the NCAR Models in the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME)	5
Forecasting Northern Australian Summer Rainfall Bursts Using a Seasonal Prediction System	5
A Machine Learning Tutorial for Operational Meteorology. Part I: Traditional Machine Learning	5
Revisiting Environmental Wind and Moisture Calculations in the Context of Tropical Cyclone Intensification	5

CORRIGENDUM	5
Impact of SST and Surface Waves on Hurricane Florence (2018): A Coupled Modeling Investigation	5
Nowcasting Applications of Geostationary Satellite Hourly Surface PM2.5 Data	5
Design and Evaluation of Calibrated and Seamless Ensemble Weather Forecasts for Crop Protection Applications	5
Masthead	5
ProbSevere Version 3: Improved Exploitation of Data Fusion and Machine Learning for Nowcasting Severe Weather	5
National Weather Service Field Testing of the Flash Flood Severity Index: A Retroactive Analysis from 2018 to 2022	5
Advantages to Writing Shorter Articles	5
Development of a Two-Step EOF Statistical Postprocessing Algorithm to Identify Patterns of Systematic Error and Variance within GEFSv12 Reforecasts	5
A Markov Model Approach for Statistical Tropical Cyclone Wind Radii Baseline Forecasts	5
Masthead	5
Impact of Adjustments in Surface–Atmosphere Coupling for Model Forecasts in Stable Conditions	5
Evaluation of Probabilistic Snow Forecasts for Winter Weather Operations at Intermountain West Airports	5
Weather to subseasonal prediction from the UFS coupled Global Ensemble Forecast System	5
Random Forest Approach for Improving Nonconvective High Wind Forecasting across Southeast Wyoming	5
The Roles of Chaos Seeding and Multiple Perturbations in Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecasting over Southern China	4
Warm-Season Extreme Precipitation Forecast Performance in the HREF Means	4
Masthead	4
Improving Afternoon Thunderstorm Prediction over Complex Terrain with the Assimilation of Dense Ground-Based Observations: Four Cases in the Taipei Basin	4
History and Development of the USAF Agriculture Meteorology Modeling System and Resulting USAF–NASA Strategic Partnership	4
Validation of HWRF-based Probabilistic TC Wind and Precipitation forecasts	4
A Probabilistic Prediction of Rogue Waves from a WAVEWATCH III Model for the Northeast Pacific	4
The Impact of Analysis Correction-Based Additive Inflation on Subseasonal Tropical Prediction in the Navy Earth System Prediction Capability	4
Documenting the Progressions of Secondary Eyewall Formations	4
Weather Associated with Rapid-Growth California Wildfires	4
Quantifying Observation Representativeness Errors Using a Spatial Verification Method: A Lightning-Based Illustration	4
Using Radiosonde Observations to Assess the “Three Ingredients Method” to Forecast QLCS Mesovortices	4
Environmental Evolution of Long-Lived Supercell Thunderstorms in the Great Plains	4
Spatial Aligned Mean: A Method to Improve Consensus Forecasts of Precipitation from Convection-Allowing Model Ensembles	4
Evaluation of HRRR Wind Speed Forecast and WindNinja Downscaling Accuracy during Santa Ana Wind Events in Southern California	4
Masthead	4
Impact of Horizontal Grid Resolution from Ten-Kilometric to Hectometric Scales on Radiation Fog Forecasting over North China Plain	4
Unified ensemble mean forecasting of tropical cyclones based on the feature-oriented mean method	4
Bias Correction, Anonymization, and Analysis of Smartphone Pressure Observations Using Machine Learning and Multiresolution Kriging	4
TCIC-SC-RNet: A Hybrid Model for TC Intensity Estimation Based on Transfer Learning	4
Masthead	4
The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR): An Hourly Updating Convection-Allowing Forecast Model. Part II: Forecast Performance	4
A Comparison of the Impacts of Inner-Core, In-Vortex, and Environmental Dropsondes on Tropical Cyclone Forecasts during the 2017–20 Hurricane Seasons	4
A Comparison between 2D and 3D Rescaling Masks of Initial Condition Perturbation in a 3-km Storm-Scale Ensemble Prediction System	4
The Statistical Relationship of Lightning Activity and Short-Duration Rainfall Events over Guangzhou, China, in 2017	3
Storm-Scale Predictability and Analysis of the 13 April 2020 Central Savannah River Area Tornado Outbreak	3
Quantification of QLCS Tornadogenesis, Associated Characteristics, and Environments across a Large Sample	3
Improved Short-Term Surface Wind Speed Forecasts Using Random Forests Approach with Sliding-Time-Window and Region Regression	3
A Simple Bias and Uncertainty Scheme for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change Forecasts	3
Evaluating Medium-Range Forecast Performance of Regional-Scale Circulation Patterns	3
Improving Precipitation Forecasts with Convolutional Neural Networks	3
On the utility of individual tendency output: Revealing interactions between parameterised processes during a marine cold air outbreak	3
The Early Evening Transition in Southeastern U.S. Tornado Environments	3
Advancing the Seasonal Outlook of the Wet Seasons of Florida	3
Simulations of Severe Convective Systems Using 1- versus 3-km Grid Spacing	3
Collaborative Exploration of Storm-Scale Probabilistic Guidance for NWS Forecast Operations	3
Impact of Ocean Resolution on Navy ESPC Forecast Skill	3
Storm Displacement Errors in the NSSL Warn-on-Forecast System	3
Radar Reflectivity–Based Model Initialization Using Specified Latent Heating (Radar-LHI) within a Diabatic Digital Filter or Pre-Forecast Integration	3
Multimodel Forecast Evaluation of the Track and Intensity of Supertyphoon Doksuri in 2023	3
Forecast Dropouts in the NAVGEM Model: Characterization with Respect to Other Models, Large-Scale Indices, and Ensemble Forecasts	3
An Evaluation of NOAA Modeled and In Situ Soil Moisture Values and Variability across the Continental United States	3
Testing Vertical Wind Shear and Nonlinear MJO–ENSO Interactions as Predictors for Subseasonal Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Forecasts	3
A Summary of U.S. Watershed Precipitation Forecast Skill and the National Forecast-Informed Reservoir Operations Expansion Pathfinder Effort	3
Severe Convective Storms in Limited Instability Organized by Pattern and Distribution	3
Updates in the NCEP GFS PBL and Convection Models with Environmental Wind Shear Effect and Modified Entrainment and Detrainment Rates and Their Impacts on the GFS Hurricane and CAPE Forecasts	3
A Comparison between Tornadic and Nontornadic QLCS Mesovortices Using a Multiradar Analysis of Operational and Experimental MRMS Products	3
Evaluation of Aerosol Optical Depth Forecasts from NOAA’s Global Aerosol Forecast Model (GEFS-Aerosols)	3
Methods for Validating HRRR Simulated Cloud Properties for Different Weather Phenomena Using Satellite and Radar Observations	3
Doppler Lidar and Mobile Radiosonde Observation-Based Evaluation of Warn-on-Forecast System Predicted Near-Supercell Environments during TORUS 2019	3
Using Artificial Neural Networks to Improve CFS Week-3–4 Precipitation and 2-m Air Temperature Forecasts	3
Direct Radiative Effects of Aerosols on Numerical Weather Forecasts—A Comparison of Two Aerosol Datasets in the NCEP GFS	3
Sources of Subseasonal Skill and Predictability in Wintertime California Precipitation Forecasts	3
The WRF-Based Incremental Analysis Updates and Its Implementation in an Hourly Cycling Data Assimilation System	3
Exploring NWS Forecasters’ Assessment of AI Guidance Trustworthiness	3
Exploring the Usefulness of Machine Learning Severe Weather Guidance in the Warn-on-Forecast System: Results from the 2022 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment	3
Hurricane Forecasting: A Novel Multimodal Machine Learning Framework	3
Improving Best Track Verification of Tropical Cyclones: A New Metric to Identify Forecast Consistency	3
Performance of a Convective-Scale Ensemble Prediction System on 2017 Warm-Season Afternoon Thunderstorms over Taiwan	3
Impacts of Sampling and Storm-Motion Estimates on RUC/RAP-Based Discriminations of Nontornadic and Tornadic Supercell Environments	3
WoFS and the Wisdom of the Crowd: The Impact of the Warn-on-Forecast System on Hourly Forecasts during the 2021 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment	3
Toward the Development of an Impact-Based Decision Support Tool for Surface-Transportation Hazards. Part II: An Hourly Winter Storm Severity Index	3
Radar-Based Comparison of Thunderstorm Outflow Boundary Speeds versus Peak Wind Gusts from Automated Stations	3
Role of a Pacific Easterly Wave in the Genesis of Hagupit (2008)	3
The Relationship between Northeast Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures, Synoptic Evolution, and Surface Air Temperatures over the Pacific Northwest	3

Masthead	3
Investigation of Machine Learning Using Satellite-Based Advanced Dvorak Technique Analysis Parameters to Estimate Tropical Cyclone Intensity	3