Weather and Forecasting

Article	Citations
Prediction Skill of GEFSv12 for Southwest Summer Monsoon Rainfall and Associated Extreme Rainfall Events on Extended Range Scale over India	140
Forecasting High Wind Events in the HRRR Model over Wyoming and Colorado. Part I: Evaluation of Wind Speeds and Gusts	59
Reorganization of Snowfall beneath Cloud Top within the Comma Head Region of Two Extreme U.S. East Coast Winter Cyclones	49
Development and Validation of NOAA’s 20-Year Global Wave Ensemble Reforecast	41
A Comparative Study of Various Approaches for Producing Probabilistic Forecasts of Upper-Level Aviation Turbulence	34
A Bayesian Framework for the Probabilistic Interpretation of Radar Observations and Severe Hailstorm Reports	31
Assessing NOAA Rip-Current Hazard Likelihood Predictions: Comparison with Lifeguard Observations and Parameterizations of Bathymetric and Transient Rip-Current Types	23
Machine Learning–Based Hurricane Wind Reconstruction	17
Forecasting Capability Verification of the Pangu-Weather and IFS HRES for the 2022 Summer Weather in Jiangsu Province, China	16
Machine Learning–Derived Severe Weather Probabilities from a Warn-on-Forecast System	16
Estimating Current Tropical Cyclone Intensity from 183-GHz Microwave Satellite Observations using a Convolutional Neural Network	16
An Objective Method for Clustering Observed Vertical Thermodynamic Profiles by Their Boundary Layer Structure	13
Parametric Postprocessing of Dual-Resolution Precipitation Forecasts	13
Learning from Precipitation Events in the Wider Domain to Improve the Performance of a Deep Learning–Based Precipitation Nowcasting Model	12
Simulated QLCS Vortices in a High-Shear, Low-CAPE Environment	12
Assessment of an Experimental Version of fvGFS for TC Genesis Forecasting Ability in the Western North Pacific	11
Characteristics of Warm Season Heavy Rainfall in Minnesota	11
Evaluating the Performance of Microphysics Schemes Against Observations During High-Impact Lake-effect Snow Events	11
A Forecast Cycle–Based Evaluation for Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Forecasts by the Operational HWRF Model	11
Forecasting U.S. Tornado Outbreak Activity and Associated Environments in the Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS)	11
Evaluating Snowfall Forecasts over the Midwestern and Eastern United States in the GFDL C-SHiELD Model	10
A Deep Learning Model for Precipitation Nowcasting Using Multiple Optical Flow Algorithms	9
Satellite-Based Nowcasting of West African Mesoscale Storms Has Skill at up to 4-h Lead Time	9
Bias Correction of Tropical Cyclone Intensity for Ensemble Forecasts Using the XGBoost Method	9
Equity, Inclusion, and Justice: An Opportunity for Action for AMS Publications Stakeholders	9

Development of a Wave Model Component in the First Coupled Global Ensemble Forecast System at NOAA	9
Comparison of 2018–22 Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts before and after NOAA G-IV Missions	9
The Development of the NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System Version 12	9
An Analysis of the Spatial and Temporal Synergy between Profiles of Aircraft-Based Observations and Operational Radiosonde Reports over the United States	8
Winter Precipitation Type from Microwave Radiometers in New York State Mesonet Profiler Network	8
Journal Information and Table of Contents	8
Masthead	8
Results from a Pseudo-Real-Time Next-Generation 1-km Warn-on-Forecast System Prototype	8
Analyzing Tornado Warning Performance during Individual Storm Life Cycles	8
Performance of 2020 Real-Time Atlantic Hurricane Forecasts from High-Resolution Global-Nested Hurricane Models: HAFS-globalnest and GFDL T-SHiELD	8
Deterministic Rapid Intensity Forecast Guidance for the Joint Typhoon Warning Center’s Area of Responsibility	8
The Forecast Skill of Tropical Cyclone Genesis in Two Global Ensembles	8
Short-Term Weather Forecast Skill of Artificial Neural Networks	8
Effects of Prognostic Number Concentrations of Snow and Graupel on the Simulated Precipitation over the Korean Peninsula	8
Enhancing Seasonal Forecast Skills by Optimally Weighting the Ensemble from Fresh Data	7
The Development of a Consensus Machine Learning Model for Hurricane Rapid Intensification Forecasts with Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) Data	7
Developing a Hail and Wind Damage Swath Event Database from Daily MODIS True Color Imagery and Storm Reports for Impact Analysis and Applications	7
The Meteorology of the Tathra Bushfire	7
Evaluation of 0–6-Hour Forecasts from the Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System and the Hybrid Analysis and Forecast System for Real-Time Cases in 2021	7
Regional Cloud Forecast Verification Using Standard, Spatial, and Object-Oriented Methods	7
Journal Information and Table of Contents	7
A Multivariable Convolutional Neural Network for Forecasting Synoptic-Scale Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies in the South China Sea	7
A Simple Model for Predicting Tropical Cyclone Minimum Central Pressure from Intensity and Size	6
ProxyVis—A Proxy for Nighttime Visible Imagery Applicable to Geostationary Satellite Observations	6
Masthead	6
A Hybrid Ultra-short-term and Short-term Wind Speed Forecasting Method based on CEEMDAN and GA-BPNN	6
A Wind Speed Probability–Based Error Swath	6
Masthead	6
Investigating the Potential of Using Mixdown Altitudes to Forecast Peak Wind Gusts	6
Using NOAA Satellite Imagery to Detect and Track Hazardous Sea Spray in the High Latitudes	6
Differences in the Effects of 10–30-Day Oscillations on Persistent Precipitation across Diverse Mei-Yu Climate Regions in China	6
Subseasonal Earth System Prediction with CESM2	6
Quantifying the Uncertainty in the Weather Research and Forecasting Model under Sea Breeze and Low-Level Jet Conditions in the New York Bight: Importance to Offshore Wind Energy	6
Sources of Tropical Cyclone Track Bifurcation in the COAMPS-TC and GFS Ensembles	6
Masthead	6
Forecasting Northern Australian Summer Rainfall Bursts Using a Seasonal Prediction System	5
National Weather Service Field Testing of the Flash Flood Severity Index: A Retroactive Analysis from 2018 to 2022	5
Impact of SST and Surface Waves on Hurricane Florence (2018): A Coupled Modeling Investigation	5
Impact of Adjustments in Surface–Atmosphere Coupling for Model Forecasts in Stable Conditions	5
Weather to subseasonal prediction from the UFS coupled Global Ensemble Forecast System	5
Masthead	5
ProbSevere Version 3: Improved Exploitation of Data Fusion and Machine Learning for Nowcasting Severe Weather	5
A Machine Learning Tutorial for Operational Meteorology. Part I: Traditional Machine Learning	5
Initialized Seasonal Prediction with the NCAR Models in the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME)	5
Advantages to Writing Shorter Articles	5
Masthead	5
Masthead	5
Evaluation of Probabilistic Snow Forecasts for Winter Weather Operations at Intermountain West Airports	5
Hybrid Numerical Weather Prediction: Downscaling GraphCast AI Forecasts for Downslope Windstorms	5
Forecast Applications of GLM Gridded Products: A Data Fusion Perspective	5

Development of a Two-Step EOF Statistical Postprocessing Algorithm to Identify Patterns of Systematic Error and Variance within GEFSv12 Reforecasts	5
Leveraging Data-Driven Weather Models for Improving Numerical Weather Prediction Skill through Large-Scale Spectral Nudging	5
Prediction Skill of GEFSv12 in Depicting Monthly Rainfall and Associated Extreme Events over Taiwan during the Summer Monsoon	5
A Markov Model Approach for Statistical Tropical Cyclone Wind Radii Baseline Forecasts	5
Comparison of the Performance of the Observation-Based Hybrid EDMF and EDMF-TKE PBL Schemes in 2020 Tropical Cyclone Forecasts from the Global-Nested Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System	5
Evaluating the Multiscale Implementation of Valid Time Shifting within a Real-Time EnVar Data Assimilation and Forecast System for the 2022 HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment	5
Nowcasting Applications of Geostationary Satellite Hourly Surface PM2.5 Data	5
CORRIGENDUM	5
Random Forest Approach for Improving Nonconvective High Wind Forecasting across Southeast Wyoming	5
Toward the Development of an Impact-Based Decision Support Tool for Surface-Transportation Hazards. Part I: Tying Weather Variables to Road Hazards and Quantifying Impacts	5
Dynamically Adapting Mesh Refinement in an Unstructured Grid Global Model for Numerical Weather Prediction	5
Differences in Near-Storm Parameters Useful for Forecasting Intensity of Nocturnal and Diurnal Bow Echo Winds	5
A Comparison of the Impacts of Inner-Core, In-Vortex, and Environmental Dropsondes on Tropical Cyclone Forecasts during the 2017–20 Hurricane Seasons	4
The Impact of Analysis Correction-Based Additive Inflation on Subseasonal Tropical Prediction in the Navy Earth System Prediction Capability	4
Warm-Season Extreme Precipitation Forecast Performance in the HREF Means	4
Unified ensemble mean forecasting of tropical cyclones based on the feature-oriented mean method	4
Revisiting Environmental Wind and Moisture Calculations in the Context of Tropical Cyclone Intensification	4
Impact of Horizontal Grid Resolution from Ten-Kilometric to Hectometric Scales on Radiation Fog Forecasting over North China Plain	4
A Probabilistic Prediction of Rogue Waves from a WAVEWATCH III Model for the Northeast Pacific	4
Masthead	4
Exploring NWS Forecasters’ Assessment of AI Guidance Trustworthiness	4
The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR): An Hourly Updating Convection-Allowing Forecast Model. Part II: Forecast Performance	4
Evaluation of HRRR Wind Speed Forecast and WindNinja Downscaling Accuracy during Santa Ana Wind Events in Southern California	4
Masthead	4
Assimilation of Doppler Radial Velocity Measurements of Biomass Burning Debris into the Warn-on-Forecast System	4
Documenting the Progressions of Secondary Eyewall Formations	4
Just What Is “Good”? Musings on Hail Forecast Verification through Evaluation of FV3-HAILCAST Hail Forecasts	4
Using Radiosonde Observations to Assess the “Three Ingredients Method” to Forecast QLCS Mesovortices	4
Bias Correction, Anonymization, and Analysis of Smartphone Pressure Observations Using Machine Learning and Multiresolution Kriging	4
History and Development of the USAF Agriculture Meteorology Modeling System and Resulting USAF–NASA Strategic Partnership	4
Spatial Aligned Mean: A Method to Improve Consensus Forecasts of Precipitation from Convection-Allowing Model Ensembles	4
TCIC-SC-RNet: A Hybrid Model for TC Intensity Estimation Based on Transfer Learning	4
The Roles of Chaos Seeding and Multiple Perturbations in Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecasting over Southern China	4
Quantifying Observation Representativeness Errors Using a Spatial Verification Method: A Lightning-Based Illustration	4
Weather Associated with Rapid-Growth California Wildfires	4
A Comparison between 2D and 3D Rescaling Masks of Initial Condition Perturbation in a 3-km Storm-Scale Ensemble Prediction System	4
Improving Afternoon Thunderstorm Prediction over Complex Terrain with the Assimilation of Dense Ground-Based Observations: Four Cases in the Taipei Basin	4
Direct Radiative Effects of Aerosols on Numerical Weather Forecasts—A Comparison of Two Aerosol Datasets in the NCEP GFS	4
Validation of HWRF-based Probabilistic TC Wind and Precipitation forecasts	4
Methods for Validating HRRR Simulated Cloud Properties for Different Weather Phenomena Using Satellite and Radar Observations	3
Impacts of Sampling and Storm-Motion Estimates on RUC/RAP-Based Discriminations of Nontornadic and Tornadic Supercell Environments	3
Doppler Lidar and Mobile Radiosonde Observation-Based Evaluation of Warn-on-Forecast System Predicted Near-Supercell Environments during TORUS 2019	3
Collaborative Exploration of Storm-Scale Probabilistic Guidance for NWS Forecast Operations	3
Journal Information and Table of Contents	3
Hurricane Forecasting: A Novel Multimodal Machine Learning Framework	3
Investigation of Machine Learning Using Satellite-Based Advanced Dvorak Technique Analysis Parameters to Estimate Tropical Cyclone Intensity	3
Storm-Scale Predictability and Analysis of the 13 April 2020 Central Savannah River Area Tornado Outbreak	3
The Statistical Relationship of Lightning Activity and Short-Duration Rainfall Events over Guangzhou, China, in 2017	3
An Evaluation of NOAA Modeled and In Situ Soil Moisture Values and Variability across the Continental United States	3
A Comparison between Tornadic and Nontornadic QLCS Mesovortices Using a Multiradar Analysis of Operational and Experimental MRMS Products	3
Testing Vertical Wind Shear and Nonlinear MJO–ENSO Interactions as Predictors for Subseasonal Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Forecasts	3
Sources of Subseasonal Skill and Predictability in Wintertime California Precipitation Forecasts	3
Impact of Ocean Resolution on Navy ESPC Forecast Skill	3
Performance of a Convective-Scale Ensemble Prediction System on 2017 Warm-Season Afternoon Thunderstorms over Taiwan	3
Role of a Pacific Easterly Wave in the Genesis of Hagupit (2008)	3
WoFS and the Wisdom of the Crowd: The Impact of the Warn-on-Forecast System on Hourly Forecasts during the 2021 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment	3
The Relationship between Northeast Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures, Synoptic Evolution, and Surface Air Temperatures over the Pacific Northwest	3
Using Artificial Neural Networks to Improve CFS Week-3–4 Precipitation and 2-m Air Temperature Forecasts	3
Environmental Evolution of Long-Lived Supercell Thunderstorms in the Great Plains	3
Storm Displacement Errors in the NSSL Warn-on-Forecast System	3
Forecast Dropouts in the NAVGEM Model: Characterization with Respect to Other Models, Large-Scale Indices, and Ensemble Forecasts	3
Masthead	3
Toward the Development of an Impact-Based Decision Support Tool for Surface-Transportation Hazards. Part II: An Hourly Winter Storm Severity Index	3
Advancing the Seasonal Outlook of the Wet Seasons of Florida	3
On the ROC Area of Ensemble Forecasts for Rare Events	3
Improving Best Track Verification of Tropical Cyclones: A New Metric to Identify Forecast Consistency	3
A Summary of U.S. Watershed Precipitation Forecast Skill and the National Forecast-Informed Reservoir Operations Expansion Pathfinder Effort	3
Multimodel Forecast Evaluation of the Track and Intensity of Supertyphoon Doksuri in 2023	3
Improved Predictability of Summertime Rossby Wave Breaking Frequency near Japan in JMA/MRI-CPS3 Seasonal Forecasts	3
Simulations of Severe Convective Systems Using 1- versus 3-km Grid Spacing	3
Evaluation of Aerosol Optical Depth Forecasts from NOAA’s Global Aerosol Forecast Model (GEFS-Aerosols)	3
On the utility of individual tendency output: Revealing interactions between parameterised processes during a marine cold air outbreak	3
Masthead	3
Evaluation of Global Wave Probabilities Consistent with Official Forecasts	3
Severe Convective Storms in Limited Instability Organized by Pattern and Distribution	3
The WRF-Based Incremental Analysis Updates and Its Implementation in an Hourly Cycling Data Assimilation System	3
Radar Reflectivity–Based Model Initialization Using Specified Latent Heating (Radar-LHI) within a Diabatic Digital Filter or Pre-Forecast Integration	3
Exploring the Usefulness of Machine Learning Severe Weather Guidance in the Warn-on-Forecast System: Results from the 2022 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment	3
Quantification of QLCS Tornadogenesis, Associated Characteristics, and Environments across a Large Sample	3
Masthead	3

Improving Precipitation Forecasts with Convolutional Neural Networks	3
Evaluating Medium-Range Forecast Performance of Regional-Scale Circulation Patterns	3