Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences

Papers
(The TQCC of Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences is 10. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2021-12-01 to 2025-12-01.)
ArticleCitations
Qualitative risk assessment of sensitive infrastructures at the local level: flooding and heavy rainfall96
The 2017 Split wildfire in Croatia: evolution and the role of meteorological conditions86
Transferability of machine-learning-based modeling frameworks across flood events for hindcasting maximum river water depths in coastal watersheds84
Modeling of indoor 222 Rn in data-scarce regions: an interactive dashboard approach for Bogotá, Colombia74
Insights into thunderstorm characteristics from geostationary lightning jump and dive observations69
Temporal persistence of postfire flood hazards under present and future climate conditions in southern Arizona, USA69
Seismic signal characterization of snow avalanches using distributed acoustic sensing in Grasdalen, western Norway65
Extreme heat and mortality in the state of Rio de Janeiro in November 2023: attribution to climate change and ENSO59
Mind the gap: misalignment between drought monitoring and community realities58
Severe beach erosion induced by shoreline deformation after a large-scale reclamation project for the Samcheok liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal in South Korea56
A new regionally consistent exposure database for Central Asia: population and residential buildings55
Insights into tectonic zonation models from the clustering analysis of seismicity in southern and south-eastern Spain53
Reask UTC: a machine learning modeling framework to generate climate-connected tropical cyclone event sets globally53
Ground motion variability in Israel from 3-D simulations of M  6 and M  7 earthquakes51
Brief communication: Western Europe flood in 2021 – mapping agriculture flood exposure from synthetic aperture radar (SAR)50
Assessing flooding impact to riverine bridges: an integrated analysis50
Temporal changes in rainfall intensity–duration thresholds for post-wildfire flash floods in southern California49
Wind-wave characteristics and extremes along the Emilia-Romagna coast47
The Cambodian Mekong floodplain under future development plans and climate change45
Storm surge hazard over Bengal delta: a probabilistic–deterministic modelling approach45
The influence of aftershocks on seismic hazard analysis: a case study from Xichang and the surrounding areas45
GTDI: a game-theory-based integrated drought index implying hazard-causing and hazard-bearing impact change43
Characterizing hail-prone environments using convection-permitting reanalysis and overshooting top detections over south-central Europe42
Does a convection-permitting regional climate model bring new perspectives on the projection of Mediterranean floods?42
Climatology of large hail in Europe: characteristics of the European Severe Weather Database40
Uncovering the veil of night light changes in times of catastrophe39
Assessing flood hazard changes using climate model forcing36
Changing sea level, changing shorelines: integration of remote-sensing observations at the Terschelling barrier island35
Characteristics of precipitation extremes over the Nordic region: added value of convection-permitting modeling34
Automated determination of landslide locations after large trigger events: advantages and disadvantages compared to manual mapping33
Dynamic response and breakage of trees subject to a landslide-induced air blast33
Insights into the vulnerability of vegetation to tephra fallouts from interpretable machine learning and big Earth observation data32
Assessing the relationship between weather conditions and rockfall using terrestrial laser scanning to improve risk management32
Semi-automatic mapping of shallow landslides using free Sentinel-2 images and Google Earth Engine32
Storm characteristics influence nitrogen removal in an urban estuarine environment32
Invited perspectives: “Natural hazard management, professional development and gender equity: let's get down to business”32
A coupled hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling approach for estimating rainfall thresholds of debris-flow occurrence32
Addressing class imbalance in soil movement predictions31
A globally applicable framework for compound flood hazard modeling30
Amplified potential for vegetation stress under climate-change-induced intensifying compound extreme events in the Greater Mediterranean Region30
Reconstructing hail days in Switzerland with statistical models (1959–2022)29
Disaster management following the great Kahramanmaraş earthquakes in 2023, Türkiye29
Precipitation extremes in Ukraine from 1979 to 2019: climatology, large-scale flow conditions, and moisture sources28
Individual flood risk adaptation in Germany: exploring the role of different types of flooding28
Review article: Physical vulnerability database for critical infrastructure hazard risk assessments – a systematic review and data collection28
Review article: Fire emissions in the Brazilian Cerrado – dynamics, estimates, management, and their role in the global carbon budget27
The record-breaking precipitation event of December 2022 in Portugal27
Are heavy-rainfall events a major trigger of associated natural hazards along the German rail network?27
Review article: Towards improved drought prediction in the Mediterranean region – modeling approaches and future directions27
Mapping forest-covered landslides using Geographic Object-Based Image Analysis (GEOBIA), Jena region, Germany26
Improving pluvial flood simulations with a multi-source digital elevation model super-resolution method26
Idealized simulations of Mei-yu rainfall in Taiwan under uniform southwesterly flow using a cloud-resolving model26
Using machine learning algorithms to identify predictors of social vulnerability in the event of a hazard: Istanbul case study26
Book review: Over the seawall: tsunamis, cyclones, drought, and the delusion of controlling nature25
Preface on “Natural hazards' impact on natural and built heritage and infrastructure in urban and rural zones”25
Scoring and ranking probabilistic seismic hazard models: an application based on macroseismic intensity data24
Tracing the evolving actor network: a social network analysis of the 2018 Mayotte crisis in the press24
Evaluation of debris-flow building damage forecasts24
More than one landslide per road kilometer – surveying and modeling mass movements along the Rishikesh–Joshimath (NH-7) highway, Uttarakhand, India24
A user perspective on the avalanche danger scale – insights from North America24
Estimating emergency costs for earthquakes and floods in Central Asia based on modelled losses24
Revisiting regression methods for estimating long-term trends in sea surface temperature23
Enhancement of state response capability and famine mitigation: a comparative analysis of two drought events in northern China during the Ming dynasty23
Climatic characteristics of the Jianghuai cyclone and its linkage with precipitation during the Meiyu period from 1961 to 202023
Assessing Typhoon Soulik-induced morphodynamics over the Mokpo coastal region in South Korea based on a geospatial approach23
Submarine landslide source modeling using the 3D slope stability analysis method for the 2018 Palu, Sulawesi, tsunami22
Brief communication: SWM – stochastic weather model for precipitation-related hazard assessments using ERA5-Land data22
Meteotsunami in the United Kingdom: the hidden hazard22
InSAR-informed in situ monitoring for deep-seated landslides: insights from El Forn (Andorra)22
Time of emergence of compound events: contribution of univariate and dependence properties22
Subseasonal forecasts of heat waves in West African cities22
Impact-based flood forecasting in the Greater Horn of Africa22
Towards a global impact-based forecasting model for tropical cyclones22
Probabilistic assessment of postfire debris-flow inundation in response to forecast rainfall22
Assessment of wind–damage relations for Norway using 36 years of daily insurance data22
Study on seismic risk assessment model of water supply systems in mainland China21
Mapping current and future flood exposure using a 5 m flood model and climate change projections21
Extreme precipitation and flooding in Berlin under climate change and effects of selected grey and blue-green measures21
Comparison of conditioning factor classification criteria in large-scale statistically based landslide susceptibility models21
Review article: Drought as a continuum – memory effects in interlinked hydrological, ecological, and social systems21
Differences in volcanic risk perception among Goma's population before the Nyiragongo eruption of May 2021, Virunga volcanic province (DR Congo)21
The Earthquake Risk Model of Switzerland, ERM-CH2320
A participatory approach to determine the use of road cut slope design guidelines in Nepal to lessen landslides20
Comparing components for seismic risk modelling using data from the 2019 Le Teil (France) earthquake20
High-resolution data assimilation for two maritime extreme weather events: a comparison between 3D-Var and EnKF20
Historical changes in drought characteristics and their impact on vegetation cover over Madagascar20
Rapid tsunami force prediction by mode-decomposition-based surrogate modeling19
Proglacial lake development and outburst flood hazard at Fjallsjökull glacier, southeast Iceland19
Comparison of machine learning techniques for reservoir outflow forecasting19
Strategies for comparison of modern probabilistic seismic hazard models and insights from the Germany and France border region19
A simulation–optimization framework for post-disaster allocation of mental health resources19
Ground motion prediction maps using seismic-microzonation data and machine learning19
The probabilistic skill of extended-range heat wave forecasts over Europe19
Bayesian extreme value analysis of extreme sea levels along the German Baltic coast using historical information19
Machine learning models to predict myocardial infarctions from past climatic and environmental conditions19
Landslide initiation thresholds in data-sparse regions: application to landslide early warning criteria in Sitka, Alaska, USA18
Brief communication: On the extremeness of the July 2021 precipitation event in western Germany18
Modelling seismic ground motion and its uncertainty in different tectonic contexts: challenges and application to the 2020 European Seismic Hazard Model (ESHM20)18
Groundwater recharge in Brandenburg is declining – but why?18
Brief communication: The crucial assessment of possible significant vertical movements preceding the 28 December 1908, M w 18
Still normal? Near-real-time evaluation of storm surge events in the context of climate change18
Nonlinear processes in tsunami simulations for the Peruvian coast with focus on Lima and Callao18
Improvements to the detection and analysis of external surges in the North Sea18
A non-extensive approach to probabilistic seismic hazard analysis18
Variable hydrograph inputs for a numerical debris-flow runout model18
Linking reported drought impacts with drought indices, water scarcity and aridity: the case of Kenya18
Insights into ground strike point properties in Europe through the EUCLID lightning location system18
Assessing agriculture's vulnerability to drought in European pre-Alpine regions17
Monte Carlo-based sensitivity analysis of the RIM2D hydrodynamic model for the 2021 flood event in western Germany17
Invited perspectives: how does climate change affect the risk of natural hazards? Challenges and step changes from the reinsurance perspective17
Estimating the mass of tephra accumulated on roads to best manage the impact of volcanic eruptions: the example of Mt Etna, Italy17
Constraining landslide frequency across the United States to inform county-level risk reduction17
The role of heat wave events in the occurrence and persistence of thermal stratification in the southern North Sea17
Potential tsunami hazard of the southern Vanuatu subduction zone: tectonics, case study of the Matthew Island tsunami of 10 February 2021 and implication in regional hazard assessment17
Regional seismic risk assessment based on ground conditions in Uzbekistan17
Temporal dynamic vulnerability – impact of antecedent events on residential building losses to wind storm events in Germany17
Simulation of cold-powder snow avalanches considering daily snowpack and weather situations17
Assessing minimum pyroclastic density current mass to impact critical infrastructures: example from Aso caldera (Japan)17
CRHyME (Climatic Rainfall Hydrogeological Modelling Experiment): a new model for geo-hydrological hazard assessment at the basin scale17
VADUGS: a neural network for the remote sensing of volcanic ash with MSG/SEVIRI trained with synthetic thermal satellite observations simulated with a radiative transfer model16
Post-wildfire sediment source and transport modeling, empirical observations, and applied mitigation: an Arizona, USA, case study16
Brief communication: The Lahaina Fire disaster – how models can be used to understand and predict wildfires16
Assessing human-caused wildfire ignition likelihood across Europe16
Rainfall thresholds estimation for shallow landslides in Peru from gridded daily data16
Assessing the coastal hazard of Medicane Ianos through ensemble modelling16
Reconstruction of wind and surge of the 1906 storm tide at the German North Sea coast16
Applying machine learning for drought prediction in a perfect model framework using data from a large ensemble of climate simulations16
Review article: A European perspective on wind and storm damage – from the meteorological background to index-based approaches to assess impacts16
Rescuing historical weather observations improves quantification of severe windstorm risks16
Brief communication: Seismological analysis of flood dynamics and hydrologically triggered earthquake swarms associated with Storm Alex16
The impact of long-term changes in ocean waves and storm surge on coastal shoreline change: a case study of Bass Strait and south-east Australia16
Update on the seismogenic potential of the Upper Rhine Graben southern region16
Brief communication: Impact forecasting could substantially improve the emergency management of deadly floods: case study July 2021 floods in Germany16
An open-source radar-based hail damage model for buildings and cars16
Nearshore tsunami amplitudes across the Maldives archipelago due to worst-case seismic scenarios in the Indian Ocean15
Development of damage curves for buildings near La Rochelle during storm Xynthia based on insurance claims and hydrodynamic simulations15
Brief communication: The potential use of low-cost acoustic sensors to detect rainfall for short-term urban flood warnings15
Brief communication: Landslide activity on the Argentinian Santa Cruz River mega dam works confirmed by PSI DInSAR15
A predictive equation for wave setup using genetic programming15
Capture of near-critical debris flows by flexible barriers: an experimental investigation15
Characteristics of consecutive tsunamis and resulting tsunami behaviors in southern Taiwan induced by the Hengchun earthquake doublet on 26 December 200615
Multi-scale hydraulic graph neural networks for flood modelling15
Invited perspectives: Challenges and step changes for natural hazard – perspectives from the German Committee for Disaster Reduction (DKKV)15
Bayesian hierarchical modelling of sea-level extremes in the Finnish coastal region15
Lessons learned about the importance of raising risk awareness in the Mediterranean region (north Morocco and west Sardinia, Italy)15
A methodological framework for the evaluation of short-range flash-flood hydrometeorological forecasts at the event scale15
Modelling flood losses of micro-businesses in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam15
Brief communication: Depth-averaging of 3D depth-resolved MPM simulation results of geophysical flows for GIS visualization15
Gridded flood depth estimates from satellite-derived inundations15
Impact of topography on in situ soil wetness measurements for regional landslide early warning – a case study from the Swiss Alpine Foreland15
Identifying the drivers of private flood precautionary measures in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam15
Predicting Soil Salinity in the Red River Delta (Vietnam) Using Machine Learning and Assessing Farmers' Adaptive Capacity15
Development of a wind-based storm surge model for the German Bight15
Global application of a regional frequency analysis to extreme sea levels14
Identifying plausible historical scenarios for coupled lake level and seismicity rate changes: the case for the Dead Sea during the last 2 millennia14
Apparent contradiction in the projected climatic water balance for Austria: wetter conditions on average versus higher probability of meteorological droughts14
Sedimentary record of historical seismicity in a small, southern Oregon lake14
Estimating return intervals for extreme climate conditions related to winter disasters and livestock mortality in Mongolia14
Dynamical changes in seismic properties prior to, during, and after the 2014–2015 Holuhraun eruption, Iceland14
Using integrated hydrological–hydraulic modelling and global data sources to analyse the February 2023 floods in the Umbeluzi Catchment (Mozambique)14
The influence of infragravity waves on the safety of coastal defences: a case study of the Dutch Wadden Sea14
Predicting drought and subsidence risks in France13
Intense rains in Israel associated with the train effect13
Joint probability analysis of storm surges and waves caused by tropical cyclones for the estimation of protection standard: a case study on the eastern coast of the Leizhou Peninsula and the island of13
Future heat extremes and impacts in a convection-permitting climate ensemble over Germany13
Real-time urban rainstorm and waterlogging disaster detection by Weibo users13
Hydrometeorological analysis of the 12 and 13 September 2019 widespread flash flooding in eastern Spain13
Assessing the impact of early warning and evacuation on human losses during the 2021 Ahr Valley flood in Germany using agent-based modelling13
Brief communication: Forecasting extreme precipitation from atmospheric rivers in New Zealand13
Landslides triggered by the 2015 M w  6.0 Sabah (Malaysia) earthquake: inventory and ESI-07 intensity assignment13
Back analysis of a building collapse under snow and rain loads in a Mediterranean area13
Rapid estimation of seismic intensities by analyzing early aftershock sequences using the robust locally weighted regression program (LOWESS)13
Predicting deep-seated landslide displacement on Taiwan's Lushan through the integration of convolutional neural networks and the Age of Exploration-Inspired Optimizer13
Using network science to evaluate landslide hazards on Big Sur Coast, California, USA12
Estimating ground motion intensities using simulation-based estimates of local crustal seismic response12
Forecasting large hail and lightning using additive logistic regression models and the ECMWF reforecasts12
Geographic information system models with fuzzy logic for susceptibility maps of debris flow using multiple types of parameters: a case study in Pinggu District of Beijing, China12
Quantifying the potential benefits of risk-mitigation strategies on future flood losses in Kathmandu Valley, Nepal12
Skillful decadal prediction of German Bight storm activity12
Grain size modulates volcanic ash retention on crop foliage and potential yield loss12
Decoupling urban and non-urban landslides for susceptibility mapping in transitional landscapes: a case study from Southwestern Constantine, Algeria12
Examining the Eastern European extreme summer temperatures of 2023 from a long-term perspective: the role of natural variability vs. anthropogenic factors12
Importance of non-stationary analysis for assessing extreme sea levels under sea level rise12
Landslide activation during deglaciation in a fjord-dominated landscape: observations from southern Alaska (1984–2022)12
Propagation from meteorological to hydrological drought in the Horn of Africa using both standardized and threshold-based indices12
Brief communication: Inclusiveness in designing an early warning system for flood resilience12
Assessing tropical cyclone compound flood risk using hydrodynamic modelling: a case study in Haikou City, China12
The footprint of a historical paleoearthquake: the sixth-century-CE event in the European western Southern Alps12
Precursors and pathways: dynamically informed extreme event forecasting demonstrated on the historic Emilia-Romagna 2023 flood12
Demonstrating the use of UNSEEN climate data for hydrological applications: case studies for extreme floods and droughts in England12
Review article: Applicability and effectiveness of structural measures for subsidence (risk) reduction in urban areas12
Dynamic fragility of a slender rock pillar in a carbonate rock mass12
Rapid assessment of abrupt urban mega-gully and landslide events with structure-from-motion photogrammetric techniques validates link to water resources infrastructure failures in an urban periphery12
Modelling extreme water levels using intertidal topography and bathymetry derived from multispectral satellite images12
Hurricane Irma: an unprecedented event over the last 3700 years? Geomorphological changes and sedimentological record in Codrington Lagoon, Barbuda12
Comprehensive landslide susceptibility map of Central Asia12
What drives landslide risk? Disaggregating risk analyses, an example from the Franz Josef Glacier and Fox Glacier valleys, New Zealand11
Brief communication: Hydrological and hydraulic investigation of the extreme September 2024 flood on the Lamone River in Emilia-Romagna, Italy11
Forecasting agricultural drought: the Australian Agricultural Drought Indicators11
Modelling ignition probability for human- and lightning-caused wildfires in Victoria, Australia11
Probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis of Batukaras, a tourism village in Indonesia11
Evaluation of liquefaction triggering potential in Italy: a seismic-hazard-based approach11
A data-driven evaluation of post-fire landslide susceptibility11
Urban growth and spatial segregation increase disaster risk: lessons learned from the 2023 disaster on the North Coast of São Paulo, Brazil11
Generating reliable estimates of tropical-cyclone-induced coastal hazards along the Bay of Bengal for current and future climates using synthetic tracks11
Rockfall monitoring with a Doppler radar on an active rockslide complex in Brienz/Brinzauls (Switzerland)11
Anatomy of a Flash Flood in a Hyperarid Environment: From Atmospheric Masses to Sediment Dispersal in the Sea11
Review article: Design and evaluation of weather index insurance for multi-hazard resilience and food insecurity11
Probabilistic hazard analysis of the gas emission of Mefite d'Ansanto, southern Italy11
Earthquake hazard characterization by using entropy: application to northern Chilean earthquakes11
Effective storm surge risk assessment and deep reinforcement learning based evacuation planning: a case study of Daya Bay Petrochemical Industrial Zone11
Effectiveness of Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 for flood detection assessment in Europe11
Long-term hazard assessment of explosive eruptions at Jan Mayen (Norway) and implications for air traffic in the North Atlantic11
Algorithmically detected rain-on-snow flood events in different climate datasets: a case study of the Susquehanna River basin11
Assimilation of temperature and relative humidity observations from personal weather stations in AROME-France11
Geophysical fingerprint of the 4–11 July 2024 eruptive activity at Stromboli volcano, Italy11
Flash flood warnings in context: combining local knowledge and large-scale hydro-meteorological patterns11
Model-based assessment of climate change impact on inland flood risk at the German North Sea coast caused by compounding storm tide and precipitation events11
Identification and ranking of subaerial volcanic tsunami hazard sources in Southeast Asia10
Analyzing the informative value of alternative hazard indicators for monitoring drought hazard for human water supply and river ecosystems at the global scale10
The impact of global navigation satellite system (GNSS) zenith total delay data assimilation on the short-term precipitable water vapor and precipitation forecast over Italy using the Weather Research10
Hydrological drought prediction and its influencing features analysis based on a machine learning model10
Research on the extraction of pre-seismic anomalies in borehole strain data of the Maduo earthquake based on the SVMD-Informer model10
Modelling vegetation-induced wave attenuation: the impact of seagrass seasonal variability and biomechanical flexibility10
Validated probabilistic approach to estimate flood direct impacts on the population and assets on European coastlines10
Climate change impacts on floods in West Africa: new insight from two large-scale hydrological models10
INSYDE-BE: adaptation of the INSYDE model to the Walloon region (Belgium)10
Avalanche size estimation and avalanche outline determination by experts: reliability and implications for practice10
Accelerating compound flood risk assessments through active learning: A case study of Charleston County (USA)10
Testing the 2020 European Seismic Hazard Model (ESHM20) against observations from Romania10
Earthquake forecasting model for Albania: the area source model and the smoothing model10
Is higher resolution always better? A comparison of open-access DEMs for optimized slope unit delineation and regional landslide prediction10
Shrinking lakes, growing concerns: exploring perceptions of lake level decline as a prism for understanding socionatural hazards10
Multi-hazard analysis of flood and tsunamis on the western Mediterranean coast of Turkey10
Modelling tsunami initial conditions due to rapid coseismic seafloor displacement: efficient numerical integration and a tool to build unit source databases10
Compound events in Germany in 2018: drivers and case studies10
Estimating future wildfire burnt area over Greece using the JULES-INFERNO model10
Analysis of borehole strain anomalies before the 2017 Jiuzhaigou M s  7.0 earthquake based on a graph neural network10
Lessons from the 2018–2019 European droughts: a collective need for unifying drought risk management10
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