OOIR: Observatory of International Research

Papers

(The TQCC of Epidemics is 8. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2022-06-01 to 2026-06-01.)

Article	Citations
Data pipelines in a public health emergency: The human in the machine	108
Seasonality as a driver of pH1N12009 influenza vaccination campaign impact	45
Accounting for historical injustices in mathematical models of infectious disease transmission: An analytic overview	35
Modeling the population-level impact of treatment on COVID-19 disease and SARS-CoV-2 transmission	31
Modelling the COVID-19 pandemic: Focusing on the case of Greece	31
Quantifying individual-level heterogeneity in infectiousness and susceptibility through household studies	29
A prospective real-time transfer learning approach to estimate influenza hospitalizations with limited data	28
Collaborative forecasting of influenza-like illness in Italy: The Influcast experience	28
Asymptomatic but infectious – The silent driver of pathogen transmission. A pragmatic review	27
Contribution and quality of mathematical modeling evidence in World Health Organization guidelines: A systematic review	27
Sequential federated analysis of early outbreak data applied to incubation period estimation	27
Supporting LGBTQ+ epidemiologists in the UK during research-related travel and international collaboration	25
Spatio-temporal agent-based modelling of malaria	25
A method to estimate the serial interval distribution under partially-sampled data	25
Age-time-specific transmission of hand-foot-and-mouth disease enterovirus serotypes in Vietnam: A catalytic model with maternal immunity	24
Modelling COVID-19 in the North American region with a metapopulation network and Kalman filter	23
A phenomenological approach to predicting tuberculosis cases with an assessment of measurement errors	23
Inference for a spatio-temporal model with partial spatial data: African horse sickness virus in Morocco	22
Education data needs and challenges for building back from COVID-19	22
The impact of household size on measles transmission: A long-term perspective	21
Epidemiological characteristics and transmissibility of HPV infection: A long-term retrospective study in Hokkien Golden Triangle, China, 2013–2021	21
Mumps epidemic dynamics in the United States before vaccination (1923–1932)	20
Estimating the impact of test–trace–isolate–quarantine systems on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Australia	19
The effective reproductive number: Modeling and prediction with application to the multi-wave Covid-19 pandemic	19
Modelling outbreak response impact in human vaccine-preventable diseases: A systematic review of differences in practices between collaboration types before COVID-19	19

Ensemble	18
Estimating transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 at different intraspatial levels in an institutional outbreak	18
Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 in British Columbia: An age-structured model with time-dependent contact rates	18
Modelling: Understanding pandemics and how to control them	18
A binary prototype for time-series surveillance and intervention	17
A model for reconstructing trends and distribution in age at first sex from multiple household surveys with reporting biases	16
Granular insights: A wastewater-based machine learning approach for localized COVID-19 hospitalization forecasting	15
Extending EpiEstim to estimate the transmission advantage of pathogen variants in real-time: SARS-CoV-2 as a case-study	15
The effects of HIV self-testing on HIV incidence and awareness of status among men who have sex with men in the United States: Insights from a novel compartmental model	15
A wastewater-based epidemic model for SARS-CoV-2 with application to three Canadian cities	15
Wastewater-based surveillance for influenza and respiratory syncytial virus: Insights from a 21-month study in Oklahoma	15
Serodynamics: A primer and synthetic review of methods for epidemiological inference using serological data	15
Building in-house capabilities in health agencies and outsourcing to academia or industry: Considerations for effective infectious disease modelling	15
Modelling the transmission and impact of Omicron variants of Covid-19 in different ethnicity groups in Aotearoa New Zealand	14
Estimating COVID-19 cases and deaths prevented by non-pharmaceutical interventions, and the impact of individual actions: A retrospective model-based analysis	14
Modelling the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 during the first 14 days of infection	14
Public health impact of the U.S. Scenario Modeling Hub	13
First wave of SARS-CoV-2 in Santiago Chile: Seroprevalence, asymptomatic infection and infection fatality rate	13
Projecting the population-level impact of norovirus vaccines	13
Variation in pneumococcal invasiveness metrics is driven by serotype carriage duration and initial risk of disease	13
Optimizing spatial distribution of wastewater-based epidemiology to advance health equity	13
A Cluster-Aggregate-Pool (CAP) ensemble algorithm for improved forecast performance of influenza-like illness	13
Investigating the impact of edge weight selection on the pig trade network topology	13
Complex model calibration through emulation, a worked example for a stochastic epidemic model	13
Ceasing sampling at wastewater treatment plants where viral dynamics are most predictable	13
Learning associations of COVID-19 hospitalizations with wastewater viral signals by Markov modulated models	13
Wastewater surveillance: From COVID-19 emergency response to a pillar of continuous public health	13
Demonstrating multi-country calibration of a tuberculosis model using new history matching and emulation package - hmer	12
Retrospective modelling of the disease and mortality burden of the 1918–1920 influenza pandemic in Zurich, Switzerland	12
RAMPVIS: Answering the challenges of building visualisation capabilities for large-scale emergency responses	12
Modelling lymphatic filariasis elimination in American Samoa: GEOFIL predicts need for new targets and six rounds of mass drug administration	12
A simulation-based approach for estimating the time-dependent reproduction number from temporally aggregated disease incidence time series data	12
Outbreak reconstruction with a slowly evolving multi-host pathogen: A comparative study of three existing methods on Mycobacterium bovis outbreaks	12
SARS-CoV-2 transmission patterns in educational settings during the Alpha wave in Reggio-Emilia, Italy	12
Sequential Monte Carlo Squared for online inference in stochastic epidemic models	12
Preface of the African swine fever modelling challenge special issue	12
Foundation models for time series forecasting and policy evaluation in infectious disease epidemics	12
Verifying infectious disease scenario planning for geographically diverse populations	11
Considering waning immunity to better explain dengue dynamics	11
Advancing genomic epidemiology by addressing the bioinformatics bottleneck: Challenges, design principles, and a Swiss example	11
Agent-based modeling of the COVID-19 pandemic in Florida	11
Short term forecast of new daily pandemic hospitalizations: A time series model for a single hospital	10
Machine learning approaches for real-time ZIP code and county-level estimation of state-wide infectious disease hospitalizations using local health system data	10
Characterizing co-circulating respiratory virus genomic diversity in Switzerland with hybrid-capture sequencing and phylogenetic reconstructions: Insights into the 2023/24 season	10
The risk of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant emergence in low and middle-income countries (LMICs)	10
A country-specific model of COVID-19 vaccination coverage needed for herd immunity in adult only or population wide vaccination programme	10
Applying mixture model methods to SARS-CoV-2 serosurvey data from Geneva	10
Appropriately smoothing prevalence data to inform estimates of growth rate and reproduction number	10
Using wastewater surveillance to improve infectious disease control in correctional facilities and congregate living settings: A modeling perspective	10
Estimating measures to reduce the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Australia to guide a ‘National Plan’ to reopening	10

Bayesian monitoring of COVID-19 in Sweden	10
Explaining the stable coexistence of drug-resistant and -susceptible pathogens: the resistance acquisition purifying selection model	9
Estimating age-stratified transmission and reproduction numbers during the early exponential phase of an epidemic: A case study with COVID-19 data	9
In the shadow of privacy: Overlooked ethical concerns in COVID-19 digital epidemiology	9
Wastewater-based epidemiology for COVID-19 surveillance and beyond: A survey	9
Reconstructing the first COVID-19 pandemic wave with minimal data in England	9
Scenario design for infectious disease projections: Integrating concepts from decision analysis and experimental design	9
Maternal immunity drives age-related patterns of RSV disease	9
Coughs, colds and “freshers’ flu” survey in the University of Cambridge, 2007–2008	9
Lives saved by public health restrictions over the Victorian COVID-19 Delta variant epidemic wave, Aug-Nov 2021	8
A case for ongoing structural support to maximise infectious disease modelling efficiency for future public health emergencies: A modelling perspective	8
Nationally representative social contact patterns among U.S. adults, August 2020-April 2021	8
Modeling the transmission of antibiotic-resistant Enterobacterales in the community: A systematic review	8
From survey to solutions: Tackling diversity and inclusion gaps through an inclusion task force	8
COVID-19 in Scottish care homes: A metapopulation model of spread among residents and staff	8
Does spatial information improve forecasting of influenza-like illness?	8
Dose response for Salmonella Typhimurium and Enteritidis and other nontyphoid enteric salmonellae	8
Malaria temporal dynamic clustering for surveillance and intervention planning	8
The bridge between two worlds: Global South researchers' journeys through Global North academic training and beyond	8