OOIR: Observatory of International Research

Papers

(The TQCC of Epidemics is 8. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2022-08-01 to 2026-08-01.)

Article	Citations
Seasonality as a driver of pH1N12009 influenza vaccination campaign impact	48
Accounting for historical injustices in mathematical models of infectious disease transmission: An analytic overview	38
Modelling the COVID-19 pandemic: Focusing on the case of Greece	36
Sequential federated analysis of early outbreak data applied to incubation period estimation	33
Data pipelines in a public health emergency: The human in the machine	33
Quantifying individual-level heterogeneity in infectiousness and susceptibility through household studies	29
Collaborative forecasting of influenza-like illness in Italy: The Influcast experience	28
Modelling serological cross-reactivity to disentangle the dynamics of West Nile and Usutu viruses in an emerging area	28
A method to estimate the serial interval distribution under partially-sampled data	27
Asymptomatic but infectious – The silent driver of pathogen transmission. A pragmatic review	27
A prospective real-time transfer learning approach to estimate influenza hospitalizations with limited data	27
Age-time-specific transmission of hand-foot-and-mouth disease enterovirus serotypes in Vietnam: A catalytic model with maternal immunity	26
Supporting LGBTQ+ epidemiologists in the UK during research-related travel and international collaboration	26
Spatio-temporal agent-based modelling of malaria	25
A phenomenological approach to predicting tuberculosis cases with an assessment of measurement errors	25
Education data needs and challenges for building back from COVID-19	24
Mumps epidemic dynamics in the United States before vaccination (1923–1932)	23
The impact of household size on measles transmission: A long-term perspective	23
Estimating the impact of test–trace–isolate–quarantine systems on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Australia	21
Modelling outbreak response impact in human vaccine-preventable diseases: A systematic review of differences in practices between collaboration types before COVID-19	19
Epidemiological characteristics and transmissibility of HPV infection: A long-term retrospective study in Hokkien Golden Triangle, China, 2013–2021	19
The effective reproductive number: Modeling and prediction with application to the multi-wave Covid-19 pandemic	19
Ensemble	18
Estimating transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 at different intraspatial levels in an institutional outbreak	18
Modelling COVID-19 in the North American region with a metapopulation network and Kalman filter	18

Extending EpiEstim to estimate the transmission advantage of pathogen variants in real-time: SARS-CoV-2 as a case-study	17
A binary prototype for time-series surveillance and intervention	17
A model for reconstructing trends and distribution in age at first sex from multiple household surveys with reporting biases	17
Building in-house capabilities in health agencies and outsourcing to academia or industry: Considerations for effective infectious disease modelling	16
A Cluster-Aggregate-Pool (CAP) ensemble algorithm for improved forecast performance of influenza-like illness	16
Granular insights: A wastewater-based machine learning approach for localized COVID-19 hospitalization forecasting	16
Serodynamics: A primer and synthetic review of methods for epidemiological inference using serological data	16
Population-level associations in the spread of co-circulating respiratory viruses: A multi-method statistical investigation using incidence data	16
Wastewater-based surveillance for influenza and respiratory syncytial virus: Insights from a 21-month study in Oklahoma	16
Optimizing spatial distribution of wastewater-based epidemiology to advance health equity	15
First wave of SARS-CoV-2 in Santiago Chile: Seroprevalence, asymptomatic infection and infection fatality rate	15
The effects of HIV self-testing on HIV incidence and awareness of status among men who have sex with men in the United States: Insights from a novel compartmental model	15
Demonstrating multi-country calibration of a tuberculosis model using new history matching and emulation package - hmer	14
Modelling the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 during the first 14 days of infection	14
Investigating the impact of edge weight selection on the pig trade network topology	14
Ceasing sampling at wastewater treatment plants where viral dynamics are most predictable	14
Variation in pneumococcal invasiveness metrics is driven by serotype carriage duration and initial risk of disease	14
Modelling the transmission and impact of Omicron variants of Covid-19 in different ethnicity groups in Aotearoa New Zealand	14
Learning associations of COVID-19 hospitalizations with wastewater viral signals by Markov modulated models	13
A simulation-based approach for estimating the time-dependent reproduction number from temporally aggregated disease incidence time series data	13
Retrospective modelling of the disease and mortality burden of the 1918–1920 influenza pandemic in Zurich, Switzerland	13
Sequential Monte Carlo Squared for online inference in stochastic epidemic models	13
Outbreak reconstruction with a slowly evolving multi-host pathogen: A comparative study of three existing methods on Mycobacterium bovis outbreaks	13
Public health impact of the U.S. Scenario Modeling Hub	13
Wastewater surveillance: From COVID-19 emergency response to a pillar of continuous public health	13
Projecting the population-level impact of norovirus vaccines	13
Preface of the African swine fever modelling challenge special issue	12
Verifying infectious disease scenario planning for geographically diverse populations	12
Foundation models for time series forecasting and policy evaluation in infectious disease epidemics	12
Modelling lymphatic filariasis elimination in American Samoa: GEOFIL predicts need for new targets and six rounds of mass drug administration	12
Agent-based modeling of the COVID-19 pandemic in Florida	12
Considering waning immunity to better explain dengue dynamics	11
Short term forecast of new daily pandemic hospitalizations: A time series model for a single hospital	11
SARS-CoV-2 transmission patterns in educational settings during the Alpha wave in Reggio-Emilia, Italy	11
Machine learning approaches for real-time ZIP code and county-level estimation of state-wide infectious disease hospitalizations using local health system data	11
Categorical short-term forecasts of respiratory pathogens in Europe	11
Using wastewater surveillance to improve infectious disease control in correctional facilities and congregate living settings: A modeling perspective	11
Wastewater-based epidemiology for COVID-19 surveillance and beyond: A survey	10
Maternal immunity drives age-related patterns of RSV disease	10
Bayesian monitoring of COVID-19 in Sweden	10
Characterizing co-circulating respiratory virus genomic diversity in Switzerland with hybrid-capture sequencing and phylogenetic reconstructions: Insights into the 2023/24 season	10
The risk of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant emergence in low and middle-income countries (LMICs)	10
Estimating measures to reduce the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Australia to guide a ‘National Plan’ to reopening	10
Appropriately smoothing prevalence data to inform estimates of growth rate and reproduction number	10
Does spatial information improve forecasting of influenza-like illness?	9
Coughs, colds and “freshers’ flu” survey in the University of Cambridge, 2007–2008	9
In the shadow of privacy: Overlooked ethical concerns in COVID-19 digital epidemiology	9
Estimating age-stratified transmission and reproduction numbers during the early exponential phase of an epidemic: A case study with COVID-19 data	9
From survey to solutions: Tackling diversity and inclusion gaps through an inclusion task force	9
Explaining the stable coexistence of drug-resistant and -susceptible pathogens: the resistance acquisition purifying selection model	9

Reconstructing the first COVID-19 pandemic wave with minimal data in England	9
Modeling the transmission of antibiotic-resistant Enterobacterales in the community: A systematic review	9
The bridge between two worlds: Global South researchers' journeys through Global North academic training and beyond	9
Pseudo-time reconstruction for analyzing transmission direction in COVID-19 contact-tracing data	8
Some mathematical reasons why meta-analyses of nonpharmaceutical interventions like facemasks could be inaccurate	8
Nationally representative social contact patterns among U.S. adults, August 2020-April 2021	8
Infectious disease dynamics and restrictions on social gathering size	8
A combination of probabilistic and mechanistic approaches for predicting the spread of African swine fever on Merry Island	8
Dose response for Salmonella Typhimurium and Enteritidis and other nontyphoid enteric salmonellae	8
Lives saved by public health restrictions over the Victorian COVID-19 Delta variant epidemic wave, Aug-Nov 2021	8
Inferring transmission routes for foot-and-mouth disease virus within a cattle herd using approximate Bayesian computation	8
A case for ongoing structural support to maximise infectious disease modelling efficiency for future public health emergencies: A modelling perspective	8
Modeling the impact of different PrEP targeting strategies combined with a clinic-based HIV-1 nucleic acid testing intervention in Kenya	8
The impact of reactive case detection on malaria transmission in Zanzibar in the presence of human mobility	8
Malaria temporal dynamic clustering for surveillance and intervention planning	8
Direct and indirect effects of hepatitis B vaccination in four low- and middle-income countries	8
Scenario design for infectious disease projections: Integrating concepts from decision analysis and experimental design	8
Estimating influenza transmission parameters: Comparing two study designs, 2023–2024	8
COVID-19 in Scottish care homes: A metapopulation model of spread among residents and staff	8
A comparison of COVID-19 outbreaks across US Combined Statistical Areas using new methods for estimating	8