Epidemics

Papers
(The TQCC of Epidemics is 10. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2021-11-01 to 2025-11-01.)
ArticleCitations
Quantifying individual-level heterogeneity in infectiousness and susceptibility through household studies184
A prospective real-time transfer learning approach to estimate influenza hospitalizations with limited data100
Collaborative forecasting of influenza-like illness in Italy: The Influcast experience69
Data pipelines in a public health emergency: The human in the machine41
Modeling the population-level impact of treatment on COVID-19 disease and SARS-CoV-2 transmission40
Seasonality as a driver of pH1N12009 influenza vaccination campaign impact40
Accounting for historical injustices in mathematical models of infectious disease transmission: An analytic overview39
Asymptomatic but infectious – The silent driver of pathogen transmission. A pragmatic review38
Modelling the COVID-19 pandemic: Focusing on the case of Greece30
Realtime case study simulations of transmission of Pancreas Disease (PD) in Norwegian salmonid farming for disease control purposes29
Contribution and quality of mathematical modeling evidence in World Health Organization guidelines: A systematic review27
Age-time-specific transmission of hand-foot-and-mouth disease enterovirus serotypes in Vietnam: A catalytic model with maternal immunity27
A method to estimate the serial interval distribution under partially-sampled data25
Mumps epidemic dynamics in the United States before vaccination (1923–1932)24
The effective reproductive number: Modeling and prediction with application to the multi-wave Covid-19 pandemic24
Modelling COVID-19 in the North American region with a metapopulation network and Kalman filter23
A phenomenological approach to predicting tuberculosis cases with an assessment of measurement errors22
Education data needs and challenges for building back from COVID-1922
Modelling outbreak response impact in human vaccine-preventable diseases: A systematic review of differences in practices between collaboration types before COVID-1922
Ensemble 21
Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 in British Columbia: An age-structured model with time-dependent contact rates21
Estimating the impact of test–trace–isolate–quarantine systems on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Australia21
Modelling: Understanding pandemics and how to control them21
Inference for a spatio-temporal model with partial spatial data: African horse sickness virus in Morocco21
Epidemiological characteristics and transmissibility of HPV infection: A long-term retrospective study in Hokkien Golden Triangle, China, 2013–202120
The impact of household size on measles transmission: A long-term perspective20
Serodynamics: A primer and synthetic review of methods for epidemiological inference using serological data20
The triple epidemics of arboviruses in Feira de Santana, Brazilian Northeast: Epidemiological characteristics and diffusion patterns20
Extending EpiEstim to estimate the transmission advantage of pathogen variants in real-time: SARS-CoV-2 as a case-study19
Building in-house capabilities in health agencies and outsourcing to academia or industry: Considerations for effective infectious disease modelling19
A model for reconstructing trends and distribution in age at first sex from multiple household surveys with reporting biases18
Estimating transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 at different intraspatial levels in an institutional outbreak18
Ceasing sampling at wastewater treatment plants where viral dynamics are most predictable18
Understanding MRSA clonal competition within a UK hospital; the possible importance of density dependence18
A wastewater-based epidemic model for SARS-CoV-2 with application to three Canadian cities18
A Cluster-Aggregate-Pool (CAP) ensemble algorithm for improved forecast performance of influenza-like illness17
Optimizing spatial distribution of wastewater-based epidemiology to advance health equity17
Modelling the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 during the first 14 days of infection17
The effects of HIV self-testing on HIV incidence and awareness of status among men who have sex with men in the United States: Insights from a novel compartmental model17
First wave of SARS-CoV-2 in Santiago Chile: Seroprevalence, asymptomatic infection and infection fatality rate16
Estimating COVID-19 cases and deaths prevented by non-pharmaceutical interventions, and the impact of individual actions: A retrospective model-based analysis16
Coordinated support for local action: Modeling strategies to facilitate behavior adoption in urban-poor communities of Liberia for sustained COVID-19 suppression16
Learning associations of COVID-19 hospitalizations with wastewater viral signals by Markov modulated models15
Projecting the population-level impact of norovirus vaccines15
Public health impact of the U.S. Scenario Modeling Hub15
Sequential Monte Carlo Squared for online inference in stochastic epidemic models15
Complex model calibration through emulation, a worked example for a stochastic epidemic model14
Variation in pneumococcal invasiveness metrics is driven by serotype carriage duration and initial risk of disease14
Demonstrating multi-country calibration of a tuberculosis model using new history matching and emulation package - hmer14
Dynamic network strategies for SARS-CoV-2 control on a cruise ship14
Investigating the impact of edge weight selection on the pig trade network topology13
Outbreak reconstruction with a slowly evolving multi-host pathogen: A comparative study of three existing methods on Mycobacterium bovis outbreaks13
Modelling lymphatic filariasis elimination in American Samoa: GEOFIL predicts need for new targets and six rounds of mass drug administration13
A simulation-based approach for estimating the time-dependent reproduction number from temporally aggregated disease incidence time series data13
Preface of the African swine fever modelling challenge special issue13
Retrospective modelling of the disease and mortality burden of the 1918–1920 influenza pandemic in Zurich, Switzerland13
RAMPVIS: Answering the challenges of building visualisation capabilities for large-scale emergency responses13
Machine learning approaches for real-time ZIP code and county-level estimation of state-wide infectious disease hospitalizations using local health system data12
Wastewater-based epidemiology for COVID-19 surveillance and beyond: A survey12
Agent-based modeling of the COVID-19 pandemic in Florida12
Verifying infectious disease scenario planning for geographically diverse populations12
Advancing genomic epidemiology by addressing the bioinformatics bottleneck: Challenges, design principles, and a Swiss example12
Impact of vaccination and non-pharmaceutical interventions on SARS-CoV-2 dynamics in Switzerland12
Effective strategies to promote HIV self-testing for men who have sex with men: Evidence from a mathematical model12
SARS-CoV-2 transmission patterns in educational settings during the Alpha wave in Reggio-Emilia, Italy12
Estimating measures to reduce the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Australia to guide a ‘National Plan’ to reopening12
Appropriately smoothing prevalence data to inform estimates of growth rate and reproduction number12
Considering waning immunity to better explain dengue dynamics12
Applying mixture model methods to SARS-CoV-2 serosurvey data from Geneva11
A quantitative assessment of epidemiological parameters required to investigate COVID-19 burden11
Transmission dynamics of an antimicrobial resistant Campylobacter jejuni lineage in New Zealand’s commercial poultry network11
A country-specific model of COVID-19 vaccination coverage needed for herd immunity in adult only or population wide vaccination programme11
Explaining the stable coexistence of drug-resistant and -susceptible pathogens: the resistance acquisition purifying selection model11
Bayesian monitoring of COVID-19 in Sweden11
Does spatial information improve forecasting of influenza-like illness?11
The risk of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant emergence in low and middle-income countries (LMICs)11
Challenges in evaluating risks and policy options around endemic establishment or elimination of novel pathogens10
Scenario design for infectious disease projections: Integrating concepts from decision analysis and experimental design10
Estimating age-stratified transmission and reproduction numbers during the early exponential phase of an epidemic: A case study with COVID-19 data10
Coughs, colds and “freshers’ flu” survey in the University of Cambridge, 2007–200810
Lives saved by public health restrictions over the Victorian COVID-19 Delta variant epidemic wave, Aug-Nov 202110
In the shadow of privacy: Overlooked ethical concerns in COVID-19 digital epidemiology10
Assessing the risk of cascading COVID-19 outbreaks from prison-to-prison transfers10
Reconstructing the first COVID-19 pandemic wave with minimal data in England10
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