Epidemics

Papers
(The TQCC of Epidemics is 10. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2021-08-01 to 2025-08-01.)
ArticleCitations
Modeling the population-level impact of treatment on COVID-19 disease and SARS-CoV-2 transmission180
Accounting for historical injustices in mathematical models of infectious disease transmission: An analytic overview92
Asymptomatic but infectious – The silent driver of pathogen transmission. A pragmatic review67
Data pipelines in a public health emergency: The human in the machine64
Seasonality as a driver of pH1N12009 influenza vaccination campaign impact40
Modelling the COVID-19 pandemic: Focusing on the case of Greece38
Collaborative forecasting of influenza-like illness in Italy: The Influcast experience35
Quantifying individual-level heterogeneity in infectiousness and susceptibility through household studies34
A prospective real-time transfer learning approach to estimate influenza hospitalizations with limited data34
Contribution and quality of mathematical modeling evidence in World Health Organization guidelines: A systematic review28
Age-time-specific transmission of hand-foot-and-mouth disease enterovirus serotypes in Vietnam: A catalytic model with maternal immunity28
Realtime case study simulations of transmission of Pancreas Disease (PD) in Norwegian salmonid farming for disease control purposes25
A method to estimate the serial interval distribution under partially-sampled data25
The effective reproductive number: Modeling and prediction with application to the multi-wave Covid-19 pandemic23
Inference for a spatio-temporal model with partial spatial data: African horse sickness virus in Morocco21
The impact of household size on measles transmission: A long-term perspective21
A phenomenological approach to predicting tuberculosis cases with an assessment of measurement errors21
The triple epidemics of arboviruses in Feira de Santana, Brazilian Northeast: Epidemiological characteristics and diffusion patterns21
Modelling: Understanding pandemics and how to control them20
Modelling COVID-19 in the North American region with a metapopulation network and Kalman filter20
Mumps epidemic dynamics in the United States before vaccination (1923–1932)20
Education data needs and challenges for building back from COVID-1920
Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 in British Columbia: An age-structured model with time-dependent contact rates20
Ensemble2: Scen20
Epidemiological characteristics and transmissibility of HPV infection: A long-term retrospective study in Hokkien Golden Triangle, China, 2013–202120
Modelling outbreak response impact in human vaccine-preventable diseases: A systematic review of differences in practices between collaboration types before COVID-1920
A model for reconstructing trends and distribution in age at first sex from multiple household surveys with reporting biases19
Building in-house capabilities in health agencies and outsourcing to academia or industry: Considerations for effective infectious disease modelling19
Estimating the impact of test–trace–isolate–quarantine systems on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Australia19
Modelling SARS-CoV-2 transmission in a UK university setting19
A wastewater-based epidemic model for SARS-CoV-2 with application to three Canadian cities18
Estimating transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 at different intraspatial levels in an institutional outbreak18
Understanding MRSA clonal competition within a UK hospital; the possible importance of density dependence18
Serodynamics: A primer and synthetic review of methods for epidemiological inference using serological data18
First wave of SARS-CoV-2 in Santiago Chile: Seroprevalence, asymptomatic infection and infection fatality rate18
Extending EpiEstim to estimate the transmission advantage of pathogen variants in real-time: SARS-CoV-2 as a case-study18
Coordinated support for local action: Modeling strategies to facilitate behavior adoption in urban-poor communities of Liberia for sustained COVID-19 suppression17
The effects of HIV self-testing on HIV incidence and awareness of status among men who have sex with men in the United States: Insights from a novel compartmental model17
Ceasing sampling at wastewater treatment plants where viral dynamics are most predictable17
Optimizing spatial distribution of wastewater-based epidemiology to advance health equity16
Estimating COVID-19 cases and deaths prevented by non-pharmaceutical interventions, and the impact of individual actions: A retrospective model-based analysis16
Modelling the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 during the first 14 days of infection16
Variation in pneumococcal invasiveness metrics is driven by serotype carriage duration and initial risk of disease16
Complex model calibration through emulation, a worked example for a stochastic epidemic model15
Dynamic network strategies for SARS-CoV-2 control on a cruise ship15
Retrospective modelling of the disease and mortality burden of the 1918–1920 influenza pandemic in Zurich, Switzerland14
Public health impact of the U.S. Scenario Modeling Hub14
A simulation-based approach for estimating the time-dependent reproduction number from temporally aggregated disease incidence time series data13
Preface of the African swine fever modelling challenge special issue13
Demonstrating multi-country calibration of a tuberculosis model using new history matching and emulation package - hmer13
Outbreak reconstruction with a slowly evolving multi-host pathogen: A comparative study of three existing methods on Mycobacterium bovis outbreaks13
Social contact patterns among employees in 3 U.S. companies during early phases of the COVID-19 pandemic, April to June 202013
Advancing genomic epidemiology by addressing the bioinformatics bottleneck: Challenges, design principles, and a Swiss example12
SARS-CoV-2 transmission patterns in educational settings during the Alpha wave in Reggio-Emilia, Italy12
Machine learning approaches for real-time ZIP code and county-level estimation of state-wide infectious disease hospitalizations using local health system data12
Agent-based modeling of the COVID-19 pandemic in Florida12
Considering waning immunity to better explain dengue dynamics12
RAMPVIS: Answering the challenges of building visualisation capabilities for large-scale emergency responses12
Modelling lymphatic filariasis elimination in American Samoa: GEOFIL predicts need for new targets and six rounds of mass drug administration12
A country-specific model of COVID-19 vaccination coverage needed for herd immunity in adult only or population wide vaccination programme11
Bayesian monitoring of COVID-19 in Sweden11
Estimating measures to reduce the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Australia to guide a ‘National Plan’ to reopening11
Transmission dynamics of an antimicrobial resistant Campylobacter jejuni lineage in New Zealand’s commercial poultry network11
The risk of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant emergence in low and middle-income countries (LMICs)11
A quantitative assessment of epidemiological parameters required to investigate COVID-19 burden11
Appropriately smoothing prevalence data to inform estimates of growth rate and reproduction number11
Effective strategies to promote HIV self-testing for men who have sex with men: Evidence from a mathematical model11
Applying mixture model methods to SARS-CoV-2 serosurvey data from Geneva11
Impact of vaccination and non-pharmaceutical interventions on SARS-CoV-2 dynamics in Switzerland11
Wastewater-based epidemiology for COVID-19 surveillance and beyond: A survey11
Scenario design for infectious disease projections: Integrating concepts from decision analysis and experimental design10
Lives saved by public health restrictions over the Victorian COVID-19 Delta variant epidemic wave, Aug-Nov 202110
In the shadow of privacy: Overlooked ethical concerns in COVID-19 digital epidemiology10
Using video-analysis technology to estimate social mixing and simulate influenza transmission at a mass gathering10
Reconstructing the first COVID-19 pandemic wave with minimal data in England10
Does spatial information improve forecasting of influenza-like illness?10
Modeling the transmission of antibiotic-resistant Enterobacterales in the community: A systematic review10
Challenges in evaluating risks and policy options around endemic establishment or elimination of novel pathogens10
Estimating age-stratified transmission and reproduction numbers during the early exponential phase of an epidemic: A case study with COVID-19 data10
Assessing the risk of cascading COVID-19 outbreaks from prison-to-prison transfers10
Coughs, colds and “freshers’ flu” survey in the University of Cambridge, 2007–200810
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