OOIR: Observatory of International Research

Papers

(The TQCC of Epidemics is 8. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2021-04-01 to 2025-04-01.)

Article	Citations
Filtering and improved Uncertainty Quantification in the dynamic estimation of effective reproduction numbers	178
Modeling the population-level impact of treatment on COVID-19 disease and SARS-CoV-2 transmission	83
Seasonality as a driver of pH1N12009 influenza vaccination campaign impact	65
Publisher's note	59
Preface of the African swine fever modelling challenge special issue	56
Contact patterns and HPV-genotype interactions yield heterogeneous HPV-vaccine impacts depending on sexual behaviors: An individual-based model	51
Synchronized spread of COVID-19 in the cities of Bahia, Brazil	47
Epidemiological and genomic findings of the first documented Italian outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 Alpha variant of concern	37
Modelling lymphatic filariasis elimination in American Samoa: GEOFIL predicts need for new targets and six rounds of mass drug administration	33
RAMPVIS: Answering the challenges of building visualisation capabilities for large-scale emergency responses	31
Response to COVID-19 during the Tokyo Olympic Games: Did we properly assess the risk?	29
Data pipelines in a public health emergency: The human in the machine	28
Modelling the COVID-19 pandemic: Focusing on the case of Greece	26
Precautionary breaks: Planned, limited duration circuit breaks to control the prevalence of SARS-CoV2 and the burden of COVID-19 disease	24
Social mixing patterns relevant to infectious diseases spread by close contact in urban Blantyre, Malawi	23
Bayesian sequential data assimilation for COVID-19 forecasting	23
Mathematical modelling Treponema infection in free-ranging Olive baboons (Papio anubis) in Tanzania	21
Association between pertussis vaccination coverage and other sociodemographic factors and pertussis incidence using surveillance data	21
A novel method to jointly estimate transmission rate and decay rate parameters in environmental transmission models	20
Complementary roles of wild boar and red deer to animal tuberculosis maintenance in multi-host communities	20
The impact of inaccurate assumptions about antibody test accuracy on the parametrisation and results of infectious disease models of epidemics	19
COVSIM: A stochastic agent-based COVID-19 SIMulation model for North Carolina	19
Limited impact of contact tracing in a University setting for COVID-19 due to asymptomatic transmission and social distancing	19
Accounting for historical injustices in mathematical models of infectious disease transmission: An analytic overview	19
Optimizing age specific strategies of vaccination for prevention of cytomegalovirus infection in the US using agent-based simulation	18

Effectiveness of interventions to reduce COVID-19 transmission in schools	18
Mathematical methods for scaling from within-host to population-scale in infectious disease systems	18
The aquaculture disease network model (AquaNet-Mod): A simulation model to evaluate disease spread and controls for the salmonid industry in England and Wales	18
Modelling plausible scenarios for the Omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant from early-stage surveillance	18
Enhancing seasonal influenza projections: A mechanistic metapopulation model for long-term scenario planning	18
Predicting the impact of COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical intervention on short- and medium-term dynamics of enterovirus D68 in the US	18
Outbreak reconstruction with a slowly evolving multi-host pathogen: A comparative study of three existing methods on Mycobacterium bovis outbreaks	17
Real-time estimates of the emergence and dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern: A modeling approach	16
Forecasting SARS-CoV-2 epidemic dynamic in Poland with the pDyn agent-based model	16
A prospective real-time transfer learning approach to estimate influenza hospitalizations with limited data	15
The US COVID-19 and Influenza Scenario Modeling Hubs: Delivering long-term projections to guide policy	15
Collaborative forecasting of influenza-like illness in Italy: The Influcast experience	15
Social contact patterns following the COVID-19 pandemic: a snapshot of post-pandemic behaviour from the CoMix study	15
Quantifying individual-level heterogeneity in infectiousness and susceptibility through household studies	15
Asymptomatic but infectious – The silent driver of pathogen transmission. A pragmatic review	15
Quantification of the spread of SARS-CoV-2 variant B.1.1.7 in Switzerland	15
Using an agent-based sexual-network model to analyze the impact of mitigation efforts for controlling chlamydia	14
Cross-sectional cycle threshold values reflect epidemic dynamics of COVID-19 in Madagascar	14
The early phase of the COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy	14
Optimal allocation of PCR tests to minimise disease transmission through contact tracing and quarantine	14
How time-scale differences in asymptomatic and symptomatic transmission shape SARS-CoV-2 outbreak dynamics	13
Estimating pathogen spread using structured coalescent and birth–death models: A quantitative comparison	13
Considering waning immunity to better explain dengue dynamics	12
Influence of setting-dependent contacts and protective behaviours on asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection amongst members of a UK university	12
Hospital population density and risk of respiratory infection: Is close contact density dependent?	12
Projecting Omicron scenarios in the US while tracking population-level immunity	12
A mixed methods analysis of participation in a social contact survey	12
Preface: COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hubs	12
Unveiling ecological/evolutionary insights in HIV viral load dynamics: Allowing random slopes to observe correlational changes to CpG-contents and other molecular and clinical predictors	11
Modelling how face masks and symptoms-based quarantine synergistically and cost-effectively reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Bangladesh	11
A method to estimate the serial interval distribution under partially-sampled data	11
Testing a simple and frugal model of health protective behaviour in epidemic times	11
Flusion: Integrating multiple data sources for accurate influenza predictions	11
An exploration of within-herd dynamics of a transboundary livestock disease: A foot and mouth disease case study	11
Assessing population-level target product profiles of universal human influenza A vaccines	11
Epidemiological characteristics and dynamic transmissions of COVID-19 pandemics in Chinese mainland: A trajectory clustering perspective analysis	11
Small area population denominators for improved disease surveillance and response	11
Estimation of the incubation period of COVID-19 using viral load data	11
Recalibrating the notion of modelling for policymaking during pandemics	10
How much leeway is there to relax COVID-19 control measures?	10
Preface: Challenges for future pandemics	10
Estimation of R(t) based on illness onset data: An analysis of 1907–1908 smallpox epidemic in Tokyo	10
Bayesian validation framework for dynamic epidemic models	10
Risk heterogeneity in compartmental HIV transmission models of ART as prevention in Sub-Saharan Africa: A scoping review	10
Ecology and public health burden of Keystone virus in Florida	10
Assessing the nationwide impact of COVID-19 mitigation policies on the transmission rate of SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil	10
Insight into Delta variant dominated second wave of COVID-19 in Nepal	9
Optimal environmental testing frequency for outbreak surveillance	9
Density forecasting of conjunctivitis burden using high-dimensional environmental time series data	9
Realtime case study simulations of transmission of Pancreas Disease (PD) in Norwegian salmonid farming for disease control purposes	9

Modeling nation-wide U.S. swine movement networks at the resolution of the individual premises	9
Advancing genomic epidemiology by addressing the bioinformatics bottleneck: Challenges, design principles, and a Swiss example	9
Trypanosoma cruzi infection in dogs along the US-Mexico border: R changes with vector species composition	9
Agent-based modeling of the COVID-19 pandemic in Florida	8
Network models and the interpretation of prolonged infection plateaus in the COVID19 pandemic	8
A quantitative assessment of epidemiological parameters required to investigate COVID-19 burden	8
Mathematical modelling of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in low- and middle-income countries: A systematic review	8
Effective strategies to promote HIV self-testing for men who have sex with men: Evidence from a mathematical model	8
Seroprevalence and incidence of Puumala orthohantavirus in its bank vole (Myodes glareolus) host population in northeastern France: Between-site and seasonal variability	8
The triple epidemics of arboviruses in Feira de Santana, Brazilian Northeast: Epidemiological characteristics and diffusion patterns	8
Age-time-specific transmission of hand-foot-and-mouth disease enterovirus serotypes in Vietnam: A catalytic model with maternal immunity	8
Policy-driven mathematical modeling for COVID-19 pandemic response in the Philippines	8
Small area population denominators for improved disease surveillance and response	8
Simulated effects of increasing salmonid production on sea lice populations in Norway	8
Challenges in modeling the emergence of novel pathogens	8
SARS-CoV-2 transmission patterns in educational settings during the Alpha wave in Reggio-Emilia, Italy	8
Contribution and quality of mathematical modeling evidence in World Health Organization guidelines: A systematic review	8