Epidemics

Papers
(The TQCC of Epidemics is 9. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2021-06-01 to 2025-06-01.)
ArticleCitations
Modeling the population-level impact of treatment on COVID-19 disease and SARS-CoV-2 transmission179
Accounting for historical injustices in mathematical models of infectious disease transmission: An analytic overview90
Data pipelines in a public health emergency: The human in the machine65
Seasonality as a driver of pH1N12009 influenza vaccination campaign impact62
Modelling the COVID-19 pandemic: Focusing on the case of Greece60
Quantifying individual-level heterogeneity in infectiousness and susceptibility through household studies54
A prospective real-time transfer learning approach to estimate influenza hospitalizations with limited data49
Asymptomatic but infectious – The silent driver of pathogen transmission. A pragmatic review38
Collaborative forecasting of influenza-like illness in Italy: The Influcast experience38
Contribution and quality of mathematical modeling evidence in World Health Organization guidelines: A systematic review36
Age-time-specific transmission of hand-foot-and-mouth disease enterovirus serotypes in Vietnam: A catalytic model with maternal immunity33
Assessing the nationwide impact of COVID-19 mitigation policies on the transmission rate of SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil32
A method to estimate the serial interval distribution under partially-sampled data31
Modelling: Understanding pandemics and how to control them28
Realtime case study simulations of transmission of Pancreas Disease (PD) in Norwegian salmonid farming for disease control purposes28
Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 in British Columbia: An age-structured model with time-dependent contact rates25
Modelling outbreak response impact in human vaccine-preventable diseases: A systematic review of differences in practices between collaboration types before COVID-1924
The effective reproductive number: Modeling and prediction with application to the multi-wave Covid-19 pandemic22
A phenomenological approach to predicting tuberculosis cases with an assessment of measurement errors21
Epidemiological characteristics and transmissibility of HPV infection: A long-term retrospective study in Hokkien Golden Triangle, China, 2013–202121
The impact of household size on measles transmission: A long-term perspective20
Education data needs and challenges for building back from COVID-1920
The triple epidemics of arboviruses in Feira de Santana, Brazilian Northeast: Epidemiological characteristics and diffusion patterns20
Inference for a spatio-temporal model with partial spatial data: African horse sickness virus in Morocco20
Estimating the impact of test–trace–isolate–quarantine systems on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Australia20
A model for reconstructing trends and distribution in age at first sex from multiple household surveys with reporting biases19
Modelling COVID-19 in the North American region with a metapopulation network and Kalman filter19
Estimating transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 at different intraspatial levels in an institutional outbreak19
Ensemble2: Scen19
Building in-house capabilities in health agencies and outsourcing to academia or industry: Considerations for effective infectious disease modelling19
Mumps epidemic dynamics in the United States before vaccination (1923–1932)19
Modelling SARS-CoV-2 transmission in a UK university setting18
Extending EpiEstim to estimate the transmission advantage of pathogen variants in real-time: SARS-CoV-2 as a case-study18
Understanding MRSA clonal competition within a UK hospital; the possible importance of density dependence18
Serodynamics: A primer and synthetic review of methods for epidemiological inference using serological data18
Estimating COVID-19 cases and deaths prevented by non-pharmaceutical interventions, and the impact of individual actions: A retrospective model-based analysis17
A wastewater-based epidemic model for SARS-CoV-2 with application to three Canadian cities17
Optimizing spatial distribution of wastewater-based epidemiology to advance health equity17
First wave of SARS-CoV-2 in Santiago Chile: Seroprevalence, asymptomatic infection and infection fatality rate17
Estimating the global reduction in transmission and rise in detection capacity of the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 in early 202016
Coordinated support for local action: Modeling strategies to facilitate behavior adoption in urban-poor communities of Liberia for sustained COVID-19 suppression16
The effects of HIV self-testing on HIV incidence and awareness of status among men who have sex with men in the United States: Insights from a novel compartmental model16
Ceasing sampling at wastewater treatment plants where viral dynamics are most predictable16
Retrospective modelling of the disease and mortality burden of the 1918–1920 influenza pandemic in Zurich, Switzerland15
Dynamic network strategies for SARS-CoV-2 control on a cruise ship15
Variation in pneumococcal invasiveness metrics is driven by serotype carriage duration and initial risk of disease15
Public health impact of the U.S. Scenario Modeling Hub15
Demonstrating multi-country calibration of a tuberculosis model using new history matching and emulation package - hmer14
Complex model calibration through emulation, a worked example for a stochastic epidemic model14
Social contact patterns among employees in 3 U.S. companies during early phases of the COVID-19 pandemic, April to June 202014
A simulation-based approach for estimating the time-dependent reproduction number from temporally aggregated disease incidence time series data13
RAMPVIS: Answering the challenges of building visualisation capabilities for large-scale emergency responses13
Preface of the African swine fever modelling challenge special issue13
Advancing genomic epidemiology by addressing the bioinformatics bottleneck: Challenges, design principles, and a Swiss example13
Outbreak reconstruction with a slowly evolving multi-host pathogen: A comparative study of three existing methods on Mycobacterium bovis outbreaks13
Modelling lymphatic filariasis elimination in American Samoa: GEOFIL predicts need for new targets and six rounds of mass drug administration13
Agent-based modeling of the COVID-19 pandemic in Florida12
Effective strategies to promote HIV self-testing for men who have sex with men: Evidence from a mathematical model12
Machine learning approaches for real-time ZIP code and county-level estimation of state-wide infectious disease hospitalizations using local health system data12
Considering waning immunity to better explain dengue dynamics12
SARS-CoV-2 transmission patterns in educational settings during the Alpha wave in Reggio-Emilia, Italy12
The risk of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant emergence in low and middle-income countries (LMICs)11
Bayesian monitoring of COVID-19 in Sweden11
Wastewater-based epidemiology for COVID-19 surveillance and beyond: A survey11
Impact of vaccination and non-pharmaceutical interventions on SARS-CoV-2 dynamics in Switzerland11
A quantitative assessment of epidemiological parameters required to investigate COVID-19 burden11
Appropriately smoothing prevalence data to inform estimates of growth rate and reproduction number11
Transmission dynamics of an antimicrobial resistant Campylobacter jejuni lineage in New Zealand’s commercial poultry network11
Using video-analysis technology to estimate social mixing and simulate influenza transmission at a mass gathering11
A country-specific model of COVID-19 vaccination coverage needed for herd immunity in adult only or population wide vaccination programme11
Applying mixture model methods to SARS-CoV-2 serosurvey data from Geneva11
Estimating measures to reduce the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Australia to guide a ‘National Plan’ to reopening11
Challenges in evaluating risks and policy options around endemic establishment or elimination of novel pathogens11
Coughs, colds and “freshers’ flu” survey in the University of Cambridge, 2007–200810
Does spatial information improve forecasting of influenza-like illness?10
Modeling the transmission of antibiotic-resistant Enterobacterales in the community: A systematic review10
Estimating age-stratified transmission and reproduction numbers during the early exponential phase of an epidemic: A case study with COVID-19 data10
Lives saved by public health restrictions over the Victorian COVID-19 Delta variant epidemic wave, Aug-Nov 202110
Scenario design for infectious disease projections: Integrating concepts from decision analysis and experimental design10
Assessing the risk of cascading COVID-19 outbreaks from prison-to-prison transfers10
COVID-19 in Scottish care homes: A metapopulation model of spread among residents and staff9
Malaria temporal dynamic clustering for surveillance and intervention planning9
Reconstructing the first COVID-19 pandemic wave with minimal data in England9
Globally local: Hyper-local modeling for accurate forecast of COVID-199
Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics9
In the shadow of privacy: Overlooked ethical concerns in COVID-19 digital epidemiology9
A new logistic growth model applied to COVID-19 fatality data9
Challenges on the interaction of models and policy for pandemic control9
A case for ongoing structural support to maximise infectious disease modelling efficiency for future public health emergencies: A modelling perspective9
The confounding effect of multi-type human papillomavirus infections on type-specific natural history parameter identification9
Dose response for Salmonella Typhimurium and Enteritidis and other nontyphoid enteric salmonellae9
Nationally representative social contact patterns among U.S. adults, August 2020-April 20219
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