OOIR: Observatory of International Research

Papers

(The TQCC of Earth System Dynamics is 11. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2021-09-01 to 2025-09-01.)

Article	Citations
Carbon cycle and climate feedbacks under CO₂ and non-CO₂ overshoot pathways	258
Impact of Greenland Ice Sheet disintegration on atmosphere and ocean disentangled	196
Impact of volcanic eruptions on CMIP6 decadal predictions: a multi-model analysis	163
Constraining uncertainty in projected precipitation over land with causal discovery	160
Atmospheric teleconnections between the Arctic and the Baltic Sea region as simulated by CESM1-LE	104
Extending MESMER-X: a spatially resolved Earth system model emulator for fire weather and soil moisture	81
Beyond tipping points: risks, equity, and the ethics of intervention	79
Exploration of diverse solutions for the calibration of imperfect climate models	77
Applying global warming levels of emergence to highlight the increasing population exposure to temperature and precipitation extremes	71
Extreme weather and societal impacts in the eastern Mediterranean	70
Uncertainty in the projected Antarctic contribution to sea level due to internal climate variability	66
An overview of the E3SM version 2 large ensemble and comparison to other E3SM and CESM large ensembles	61
Sedimentary microplankton distributions are shaped by oceanographically connected areas	61
Modelling forest ruin due to climate hazards	55
Human impacts and their interactions in the Baltic Sea region	54
The link between European warm-temperature extremes and atmospheric persistence	54
ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world	50
Contrasting projections of the ENSO-driven CO₂ flux variability in the equatorial Pacific under high-warming scenario	39
Biogeochemical functioning of the Baltic Sea	38
Evaluating uncertainty in aerosol forcing of tropical precipitation shifts	36
Exploring the relationship between temperature forecast errors and Earth system variables	35
Ocean biogeochemical reconstructions to estimate historical ocean CO₂ uptake	34
Combining machine learning and SMILEs to classify, better understand, and project changes in ENSO events	34
Widespread greening suggests increased dry-season plant water availability in the Rio Santa valley, Peruvian Andes	34
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictability in equilibrated warmer climates	34

Estimating lateral nitrogen transfers over the last century through the global river network using a land surface model	33
Changes in apparent temperature and PM_2.5 around the Beijing–Tianjin megalopolis under greenhouse gas and stratospheric aerosol intervention scenarios	32
Driving sustainability transitions through financial tipping points	32
Biogeochemical versus biogeophysical temperature effects of historical land-use change in CMIP6	30
The European summer heatwave of 2019 – a regional storyline perspective	30
Investigation of the extreme wet–cold compound events changes between 2025–2049 and 1980–2004 using regional simulations in Greece	29
Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review	25
Variability and predictability of a reduced-order land–atmosphere coupled model	24
Similar North Pacific variability despite suppressed El Niño variability in the warm mid-Pliocene climate	23
Regionally optimized high-resolution input datasets enhance the representation of snow cover in CLM5	23
Natural hazards and extreme events in the Baltic Sea region	23
Agricultural management effects on mean and extreme temperature trends	22
Impact of groundwater representation on heat events in regional climate simulations over Europe	22
Scaling artificial heat islands to enhance precipitation in the United Arab Emirates	22
Global relevance of atmospheric and land surface drivers for hot temperature extremes	21
Emit now, mitigate later? Earth system reversibility under overshoots of different magnitudes and durations	21
Earth's future climate and its variability simulated at 9 km global resolution	20
Future changes in regional inter-monthly precipitation patterns of the East Asian summer monsoon and associated uncertainty factors	19
Derailment risk: A systems analysis that identifies risks which could derail the sustainability transition	18
Compensatory effects conceal large uncertainties in the modelled processes behind the relationship between the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and CO₂	18
Freshwater input from glacier melt outside Greenland alters modeled northern high-latitude ocean circulation	18
Potential for bias in effective climate sensitivity from state-dependent energetic imbalance	18
PInc-PanTher estimates of Arctic permafrost soil carbon under the GeoMIP G6solar and G6sulfur experiments	16
Impact of an acceleration of ice sheet melting on monsoon systems	16
Present and future synoptic circulation patterns associated with cold and snowy spells over Italy	16
Regional irreversibility of mean and extreme surface air temperature and precipitation in CMIP6 overshoot scenarios associated with interhemispheric temperature asymmetries	16
The carbonate pump feedback on alkalinity and the carbon cycle in the 21st century and beyond	16
Potential effect of the marine carbon cycle on the multiple equilibria window of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation	16
Process-based analysis of terrestrial carbon flux predictability	15
Evaluating nitrogen cycling in terrestrial biosphere models: a disconnect between the carbon and nitrogen cycles	15
Ubiquity of human-induced changes in climate variability	15
Reduced-complexity model for the impact of anthropogenic CO₂ emissions on future glacial cycles	15
The sensitivity of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation to volcanic aerosol spatial distribution in the MPI Grand Ensemble	15
Paleogeographic numerical modeling of marginal seas for the Holocene – an exemplary study of the Baltic Sea	14
High probability of triggering climate tipping points under current policies modestly amplified by Amazon dieback and permafrost thaw	14
An enhanced Standardized Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) drought-monitoring method integrating land surface characteristics	13
A missing link in the carbon cycle: phytoplankton light absorption under RCP emission scenarios	13
A quantitative assessment of air–sea heat flux trends from ERA5 since 1950 in the North Atlantic basin	13
Quantifying the feedback between Antarctic meltwater release and subsurface Southern Ocean warming	12
Quantifying memory and persistence in the atmosphere–land and ocean carbon system	12
Tracing the Snowball bifurcation of aquaplanets through time reveals a fundamental shift in critical-state dynamics	12
CO₂ surface variability: from the stratosphere or not?	12
Balanced estimate and uncertainty assessment of European climate change using the large EURO-CORDEX regional climate model ensemble	12
Lotka's wheel and the long arm of history: how does the distant past determine today's global rate of energy consumption?	12
Cross-scale causal information flow from the El Niño–Southern Oscillation to precipitation in eastern China	11
Equity and justice should underpin the discourse on tipping points	11
Direct and indirect application of univariate and multivariate bias corrections on heat-stress indices based on multiple regional-climate-model simulations	11
Solar radiation modification challenges decarbonization with renewable solar energy	11
Impact of Atlantic multidecadal variability on rainfall intensity distribution and timing of the West African monsoon	11
The impacts of elevated CO₂ on forest growth, mortality, and recovery in the Amazon rainforest	11

The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends	11
Persistent La Niñas drive joint soybean harvest failures in North and South America	11