OOIR: Observatory of International Research

Papers

(The TQCC of Earth System Dynamics is 13. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2020-04-01 to 2024-04-01.)

Article	Citations
Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6	238
Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6	233
Interacting tipping elements increase risk of climate domino effects under global warming	209
Reduced global warming from CMIP6 projections when weighting models by performance and independence	134
Ubiquity of human-induced changes in climate variability	129
Emergent constraints on transient climate response (TCR) and equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) from historical warming in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models	98
Robust increase of Indian monsoon rainfall and its variability under future warming in CMIP6 models	89
The Mediterranean climate change hotspot in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 projections	88
Climate change in the Baltic Sea region: a summary	75
Rapid attribution analysis of the extraordinary heat wave on the Pacific coast of the US and Canada in June 2021	73
How large does a large ensemble need to be?	71
Multivariate bias corrections of climate simulations: which benefits for which losses?	68
Emergent constraints on equilibrium climate sensitivity in CMIP5: do they hold for CMIP6?	60
Large ensemble climate model simulations: introduction, overview, and future prospects for utilising multiple types of large ensemble	53
Compound warm–dry and cold–wet events over the Mediterranean	51
Vulnerability of European ecosystems to two compound dry and hot summers in 2018 and 2019	50
Reaching 1.5 and 2.0 °C global surface temperature targets using stratospheric aerosol geoengineering	49
Coupling human and natural systems for sustainability: experience from China's Loess Plateau	48
Evaluating the dependence structure of compound precipitation and wind speed extremes	45
Sea level dynamics and coastal erosion in the Baltic Sea region	43
Climate change in the High Mountain Asia in CMIP6	40
An investigation of weighting schemes suitable for incorporating large ensembles into multi-model ensembles	37
Salinity dynamics of the Baltic Sea	35
Natural hazards and extreme events in the Baltic Sea region	35
Oceanographic regional climate projections for the Baltic Sea until 2100	34

Groundwater storage dynamics in the world's large aquifer systems from GRACE: uncertainty and role of extreme precipitation	34
Extreme weather and societal impacts in the eastern Mediterranean	33
Impact of precipitation and increasing temperatures on drought trends in eastern Africa	32
Earth system modeling with endogenous and dynamic human societies: the copan:CORE open World–Earth modeling framework	31
Storylines of the 2018 Northern Hemisphere heatwave at pre-industrial and higher global warming levels	31
Modelled land use and land cover change emissions – a spatio-temporal comparison of different approaches	29
Incremental improvements of 2030 targets insufficient to achieve the Paris Agreement goals	29
Global climate change and the Baltic Sea ecosystem: direct and indirect effects on species, communities and ecosystem functioning	29
Identifying meteorological drivers of extreme impacts: an application to simulated crop yields	28
Storylines of weather-induced crop failure events under climate change	27
Assessment of a full-field initialized decadal climate prediction system with the CMIP6 version of EC-Earth	27
Human impacts and their interactions in the Baltic Sea region	25
The extremely warm summer of 2018 in Sweden – set in a historical context	24
Climate change impacts on solar power generation and its spatial variability in Europe based on CMIP6	23
A continued role of short-lived climate forcers under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways	23
Comparison of uncertainties in land-use change fluxes from bookkeeping model parameterisation	22
Biogeochemical functioning of the Baltic Sea	22
Atmospheric regional climate projections for the Baltic Sea region until 2100	22
Expanding the design space of stratospheric aerosol geoengineering to include precipitation-based objectives and explore trade-offs	22
Comparing interannual variability in three regional single-model initial-condition large ensembles (SMILEs) over Europe	22
Climate–groundwater dynamics inferred from GRACE and the role of hydraulic memory	22
Variability of surface climate in simulations of past and future	20
The impact of regional climate model formulation and resolution on simulated precipitation in Africa	19
Long-term variance of heavy precipitation across central Europe using a large ensemble of regional climate model simulations	19
Exploring how groundwater buffers the influence of heatwaves on vegetation function during multi-year droughts	19
Intensification of the hydrological cycle expected in West Africa over the 21st century	19
The potential for structural errors in emergent constraints	18
Balanced estimate and uncertainty assessment of European climate change using the large EURO-CORDEX regional climate model ensemble	18
Impacts of compound hot–dry extremes on US soybean yields	18
A dynamical systems characterization of atmospheric jet regimes	17
Multi-century dynamics of the climate and carbon cycle under both high and net negative emissions scenarios	17
A new view of heat wave dynamics and predictability over the eastern Mediterranean	16
Eurasian autumn snow link to winter North Atlantic Oscillation is strongest for Arctic warming periods	16
Taxonomies for structuring models for World–Earth systems analysis of the Anthropocene: subsystems, their interactions and social–ecological feedback loops	16
Synchronized spatial shifts of Hadley and Walker circulations	15
Semi-equilibrated global sea-level change projections for the next 10 000 years	15
An updated assessment of past and future warming over France based on a regional observational constraint	15
Coupled regional Earth system modeling in the Baltic Sea region	14
Contrasting projections of the ENSO-driven CO₂flux variability in the equatorial Pacific under high-warming scenario	14
Historical and future anthropogenic warming effects on droughts, fires and fire emissions of CO<sub>2</sub> and PM<sub>2.5</sub> in equatorial A	14
How modelling paradigms affect simulated future land use change	14
Labrador Sea subsurface density as a precursor of multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic: a multi-model study	14
Space–time dependence of compound hot–dry events in the United States: assessment using a multi-site multi-variable weather generator	13
Soil organic carbon dynamics from agricultural management practices under climate change	13
Spatiotemporal patterns of synchronous heavy rainfall events in East Asia during the Baiu season	13
Comparison of CMIP6 historical climate simulations and future projected warming to an empirical model of global climate	13
Historical and future contributions of inland waters to the Congo Basin carbon balance	13