Earths Future

Papers
(The TQCC of Earths Future is 16. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2022-06-01 to 2026-06-01.)
ArticleCitations
Issue Information234
Marine Heatwaves Contribute More to Changing Air‐Water Exchange of Semi‐Volatile Organic Compounds Than Mean Sea Surface Temperature Rise192
Issue Information138
Discovering the Multisectoral Impacts of Global Energy Sector Outcomes Through Multiple Ensemble Aggregation Measures120
Sustainable Development Pathways for Chinese Cities: An Assessment of the Advanced Inclusive Wealth Index112
The Role of Anthropogenic Forcings on Historical Sea‐Level Change in the Indo‐Pacific Warm Pool Region111
Irreversible Land Water Availability Changes From a Potential ITCZ Shift During Temperature Overshoot104
Multi‐Centennial Variability of Yangtze Delta Growth Over the Last 2000 Years: Interplay of Climate and People101
Wetland Gain and Loss in the Mississippi River Bird‐Foot Delta99
The Weight of New York City: Possible Contributions to Subsidence From Anthropogenic Sources94
Early Achieving Carbon Neutrality Will Greatly Reduce Unequal Risk to Humid Heatwave in a Warming World93
Rapid Intensification and Relative Sea‐Level Rise Amplify Compound Flooding From Hurricanes Harvey and Beryl90
Future Extreme Climate Events Threaten Alpine and Subalpine Woody Plants in China89
Quantifying the Impact of Climate Change and Forest Management on Swedish Forest Ecosystems Using the Dynamic Vegetation Model LPJ‐GUESS88
Inorganic Nitrogen Nutrition in Boreal Plants Is Underestimated and Insensitive to Environmental Changes86
Is Reservoir Storage Effectively Utilized in the Southeastern US? A Regional Assessment to Improve Water Supply Availability Considering Potential Storage and Flood Scenarios84
Fusion of Probabilistic Projections of Sea‐Level Rise84
Is There Sufficient Information to Reliably Estimate Return Periods for Very Rare Heat Extremes in Event Attribution?83
Drivers of Contrasting Changes in Streamflow in the Indus and Ganga River Basins83
Delimiting China's Urban Growth Boundaries Under Localized Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Various Urban Expansion Modes81
Projecting Changes in the Drivers of Compound Flooding in Europe Using CMIP6 Models80
Marine Cloud Brightening to Cool the Arctic: An Earth System Model Comparison78
Forest Carbon Storage in the Western United States: Distribution, Drivers, and Trends75
Has Hydropower Made the World More Flood‐Prone?75
Revisiting the Global Methane Cycle Through Expert Opinion72
Large Divergence of Projected High Latitude Vegetation Composition and Productivity Due To Functional Trait Uncertainty71
Past Precipitation Stored in Deep Soils Sustains Greening of Dryland Tree Plantations in Northern China70
Changes in Compound Extreme Events and Their Impacts on Cropland Productivity in China, 1985–201969
Vegetation Greening Mitigates the Impacts of Increasing Extreme Rainfall on Runoff Events69
Understanding Interannual Variability of Brahmaputra River Basin Flows Through Bayesian Causal Networks66
Fielding Floods for Flourishing Farms: A Framework for Assessing the Reuse of Small Flood Reservoirs as Irrigation Reservoirs64
The Untapped Hydropower Potential of World's Cities64
Quantifying Asymmetries in the Societal Impact of Mass Loss From the Antarctic and Greenland Ice Sheets63
Poleward Shift of Arctic Oceanic CO 2 Uptake From Asymmetric Seasonal Changes Under Climate Warming63
Combined Meteorological and Hydrologic Uncertainties Shape Projections of Future Soil Moisture in the Eastern United States62
Distinguishing Direct Human‐Driven Effects on the Global Terrestrial Water Cycle62
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Historical and Projected Cropland Impacts of Heatwaves in Central Asia Under Climate Change61
Assessing the Time of Emergence of Marine Ecosystems From Global to Local Scales Using IPSL‐CM6A‐LR/APECOSM Climate‐To‐Fish Ensemble Simulations60
Issue Information60
Characterizing Compound Inland Flooding Mechanisms and Risks in North America Under Climate Change59
Climate‐Driven Hydraulic Traits Shift in Natural and Planted Forests: Patterns, Drivers, and Future Acclimation59
Issue Information59
Measuring and Attributing Sedimentary and Geomorphic Responses to Modern Climate Change: Challenges and Opportunities59
Unlocking the Impact of Temperature and Salinity on Greenhouse Gas Emissions From Estuarine Salt Marsh Soils59
A Convergence Science Approach to Understanding the Changing Arctic59
Climate‐Driven Sea Level Rise Exacerbates Alaskan and Cascadian Tsunami Hazards in Southern California: Implications to Design Parameters59
Issue Information59
Quantifying the Impact of Internal Variability on the CESM2 Control Algorithm for Stratospheric Aerosol Injection57
Knowns and Unknowns in Future Human Pressures on the Ocean57
Large‐Scale Evaluation of Beach Morphodynamic Evolution and Environmental Drivers Along China's Eastern Coast Through Long‐Term Landsat Analysis57
Evaluating Adaptation Pathways in a Complex Multi‐Risk System56
Hysteretic Behavior of Global to Regional Monsoon Area Under CO2 Ramp‐Up and Ramp‐Down55
Aotearoa New Zealand's 21st‐Century Wildfire Climate54
Temporal Scaling Characteristics of Sub‐Daily Precipitation in Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau53
Global Lake Health in the Anthropocene: Societal Implications and Treatment Strategies53
Research Priorities for Climate Litigation53
Controls of Ecohydrological Grassland Dynamics in Agrivoltaic Systems53
The Need for Multi‐Century Projections of Sea Level Rise52
Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Could Prevent Future Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Decline, But Injection Location is Key52
A Demonstration of a Simple Methodology of Flood Prediction for a Coastal City Under Threat of Sea Level Rise: The Case of Norfolk, VA, USA51
Quantifying the Sea Level and Estuary Contributions to Changing High Water Levels in Four Major Australian Estuaries51
New Climate Change Center of Saudi Arabia: Advancing Understanding and Prediction for the Arabian Peninsula Climate51
High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Preserve the Arctic51
Widespread Unquantified Conversion of Old Boreal Forests to Plantations49
Balancing Physical and Human‐Driven Morphodynamic Changes: Insights From the Pearl River Estuary49
Different Strategies of Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Would Significantly Affect Climate Extreme Mitigation49
Globally Increasing Atmospheric Aridity Over the 21st Century49
Using Machine Learning to Cut the Cost of Dynamical Downscaling48
Weather Index Insurance Can Offset Heat‐Induced Rice Losses Under Global Warming47
Issue Information47
Escalating High Tide Flooding Along the Atlantic and Gulf Coast of the United States Due To Sea Level Rise46
Predicting Food‐Security Crises in the Horn of Africa Using Machine Learning46
Issue Information46
Methane Emissions in Asian Wetlands During 2010–2020: Insights From an Online‐Coupled Microbial Functional‐Group‐Based Model46
Challenges and Opportunities for National‐Scale Projections of Future Coastal Landscape Change45
Rainfall and Salinity Effects on Future Pacific Climate Change44
Climate and Anthropogenic Perturbations Impact Stream Geochemistry43
Balancing Productivity and Climate Impact: A Framework to Assess Climate‐Smart Irrigation43
Global and Regional Drivers of Power Plant CO2Emissions Over the Last Three Decades Revealed From Unit‐Based Database43
Integrating Multi‐Level Sustainability and Ecosystem Integrity for Adaptive Scenario Planning in China43
Extension of Large Fire Emissions From Summer to Autumn and Its Drivers in the Western US42
Water Availability in China's Oases Decreased Between 1987 and 201742
Changes in the Frequency of Flood Events Across the United States Detectable by the Middle of This Century42
Projecting Future Chronic Coastal Hazard Impacts, Hotspots, and Uncertainty at Regional Scale42
Relationship of Atmospheric Nitrogen Deposition to Soil Nitrogen Cycling Along an Elevation Gradient in the Colorado Front Range41
Increased Aerosols From Siberian Wildfires Buffered Arctic Warming During 2013–201941
Recent Acceleration of Wetland Accretion and Carbon Accumulation Along the U.S. East Coast41
Drivers of Future Indian Ocean Warming and Its Spatial Pattern in CMIP Models40
Enhancing Urban Thermal Environment and Energy Sustainability With Temperature‐Adaptive Radiative Roofs40
Quantifying Meltwater Contributions and Socio‐Economy Impacts of Future Third Pole Transboundary Fluvial Floods40
Impact of Green Infrastructure Morphology on Compound PM 2.5 and Heat Exposure Risk39
Deep Root Loss and Regeneration in the Anthropocene Drive Continental‐Scale Changes in Deep Soil Structure39
Initial Estimates of Soil Mercury Emissions Induced by Soil Heating During Global Wildfires39
High‐Temperature Exposure and Land Transactions in China39
Heat and Moisture Anomalies During Crop Failure Events in the Southeastern Australian Wheat Belt39
Top‐Down Versus Bottom‐Up Atmospheric Emission Estimates From Oil and Natural Gas Operations38
Measurement of Gas Fraction and Gas Permeability of Thawing Permafrost Caused by Climate Change38
Current and Future Patterns of Global Wildfire Based on Deep Neural Networks38
Reply to Comment by Darwish on “Soaring Building Collapses in Southern Mediterranean Coasts: Hydroclimatic Drivers and Adaptive Landscape Mitigations”38
Quantifying the Safe Operating Space for Land‐System SDG Achievement via Machine Learning and Scenario Discovery38
Interacting Sea‐Level Rise, Sea‐Ice Loss, Storm Flooding, Erosion, and Permafrost Thaw Threaten Ecosystems, Wildlife, and Communities on the Yukon‐Kuskokwim Delta37
Natural Hazards in a Changing World: Methods for Analyzing Trends and Non‐Linear Changes37
El Niño Intensified Fog Formation in the Namib Desert37
Antarctic Biosecurity Policy Effectively Manages the Rates of Alien Introductions37
Soil Moisture Memory of Land Surface Models Utilized in Major Reanalyses Differ Significantly From SMAP Observation37
Mass Extinctions and Their Relationship With Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Concentration: Implications for Earth's Future36
Accounting for Compound Flooding Can Prevent Maladaptation—A Baltic Sea Case Study36
Incorporating Intensity Distance Attenuation Into PLUM Ground‐Motion‐Based Earthquake Early Warning in the United States: The APPLES Configuration36
Ice Sheet and Climate Processes Driving the Uncertainty in Projections of Future Sea Level Rise: Findings From a Structured Expert Judgement Approach36
Estimating the Global Influence of Cover Crops on Ecosystem Service Indicators in Croplands With the LPJ‐GUESS Model36
Projecting Multiscale River Flood Changes Across Japan at +2°C and +4°C Climates36
The Contribution of Microrefugia to Landscape Thermal Inertia for Climate‐Adaptive Conservation Strategies36
Active Layer Thickness and Permafrost Area Projections for the 21st Century35
Storylines for Global Hydrologic Drought Within CMIP635
The Critical Role of Hydrological Distance in Shaping Nutrient Dynamics Along the Watershed‐Lake Continuum35
Predicting the Start of the Growing Season in Boreal Forest Under High and Low Emission Scenarios35
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Comment on “Improved Water Savings and Reduction in Moist Heat Stress Caused by Efficient Irrigation” by Anukesh Krishnankutty Ambika and Vimal Mishra34
The Limited Effect of Reduced Typhoon Frequency on Stream Hydrochemistry in a Subtropical Forest Watershed34
Small Ponds as Carbon Emission and Burial Hotspots in Lowland Agricultural Landscape33
Inflated Negative Impacts of Temperature On Global Agricultural Yields Due To Ozone Omission33
An Analytical Framework for Determining the Ecological Risks of Wastewater Discharges in River Networks Under Climate Change33
Projected Changes to Characteristics of El Niño‐Southern Oscillation, Indian Ocean Dipole, and Southern Annular Mode Events in the CMIP6 Models33
Performance of Fire Danger Indices and Their Utility in Predicting Future Wildfire Danger Over the Conterminous United States33
The Importance of Accounting for Stakeholder Values, Power Relationships and Language in Constructing Relevant and Trustworthy Climate Information33
Unraveling the Interplay: Intensive Solar Radiation Amplifies Maize Yield Reduction Under Dry‐Heat Stress33
A Comparative Study of the Argo‐Era Ocean Heat Content Among Four Different Types of Data Sets33
Reply to Comment on “Improved Water Savings and Reduction in Moist Heat Stress Caused by Efficient Irrigation” by Meetpal S. Kukal33
Analyzing the Spatiotemporal Patterns of Forests Carbon Sink and Sources Between 2000 and 201933
Anthropogenic Climate Change Negatively Impacts Vegetation and Forage Conditions in the Greater Four Corners Region33
Responses of the Natural Phytoplankton Assemblage to Patagonian Dust Input and Anthropogenic Changes in the Southern Ocean33
Disentangling the Roles of Microbial Traits and Mineral Protection in Regulating Temperature Sensitivity of Soil Carbon Decomposition in Eroded and Depositional Agricultural Soils32
The Anthropocene Is More Than a Time Interval32
Land Cover Changes Redistribute China's Water Resources Through Atmospheric Moisture Recycling32
Dryland Watersheds in Flux: How Nitrogen Deposition and Changing Precipitation Regimes Shape Nitrogen Export32
STAR‐ESDM: A Generalizable Approach to Generating High‐Resolution Climate Projections Through Signal Decomposition32
Freshwater Availability in the Mississippi River Basin and Adjacent Texas Aquifers Under Human and Climate Pressures32
Increased Streamflow Intermittence in Europe Due To Climate Change Projected by Combining Global Hydrological Modeling and Machine Learning32
Understanding Europe's Forest Harvesting Regimes31
2021 Heatwave Over Western North America: Structural Uncertainty and Internal Variability in GCM Projections of Humidex and Temperature Extremes31
Large Ensemble Exploration of Global Energy Transitions Under National Emissions Pledges31
Warming Drives Streamflow Reductions and Intensifies Hydrologic Whiplash, Threatening California's Water Supply30
Forest Dieback in Drinking Water Protection Areas—A Hidden Threat to Water Quality30
A Review of Advances in Flash Drought Research: Challenges and Future Directions30
Understanding the Drivers of Coastal Flood Exposure and Risk From 1860 to 210030
Pervasive Permafrost Thaw Exacerbates Future Risk of Water Shortage Across the Tibetan Plateau30
Old‐Growth Forest Area Projected to Increase on United States Federal Lands Under Alternative Future Scenarios30
Pan‐Arctic Assessment of Coastal Settlements and Infrastructure Vulnerable to Coastal Erosion, Sea‐Level Rise, and Permafrost Thaw29
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Reduced Crop Yield Stability Is More Likely to Be Associated With Heat Than With Moisture Extremes in the US Midwest29
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The Earth's Terrestrial Biodiversity Hotspots in Land Use Debt29
A High‐End Estimate of Sea Level Rise for Practitioners29
Thank You to Our 2024 Reviewers29
Climate Change Likely to Intensify Storm‐Driven Compound Flooding in an Exemplar UK Estuary29
Geophysical Uncertainties in Air Pollution Exposure and Benefits of Emissions Reductions for Global Health29
Evaluating Extreme Storm Events in an Ensemble of High‐Resolution Projections29
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Upper Bounds of Maximum Land Surface Temperatures in a Warming Climate and Limits to Plant Growth29
Issue Information29
Tracking Interprovincial Flows of Atmospheric PAH Emissions Through Downscaling Estimates With Province‐Specific Emission Factors29
Assessment of Global Dengue Transmission Risk Under Future Climate Scenarios29
Recent Accelerated Decadal Shift in Winter North American Temperature Patterns Under Pacific‐Atlantic Decadal Variability29
Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Stabilize Northern Hemisphere Terrestrial Permafrost Under the ARISE‐SAI‐1.5 Scenario28
Potential Vorticity Dynamics Explain How Extratropical Oceans and the Arctic Modulate Wintertime Land‐Temperature Variations28
Impacts of Policy Design and Risk Management on Groundwater Conservation Program Effectiveness28
Non‐Stationary Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessments Compounding Tides and Sea Level Rise28
Trapped in Irrigation: Future Irrigation Expansion Amplifies Food–Water–Energy Policy Trade‐Offs in Germany28
Land Reclamation Controls on Multi‐Centennial Estuarine Evolution28
Climate Controls on River Chemistry28
Assessing Global and Regional Trends in Spatially Co‐Occurring Hot or Wet Annual Maxima Under Climate Change28
Identifying Robust Decarbonization Pathways for the Western U.S. Electric Power System Under Deep Climate Uncertainty28
Emerging Importance of Compound Flooding in Future Tropical Cyclone Hazard Profiles28
Planning for Climate Migration in Great Lake Legacy Cities27
Discharge Regimes of North American High‐Latitude Rivers27
Potential Impacts on Ozone and Climate From a Proposed Fleet of Supersonic Aircraft27
Street‐to‐Pipe Diagnosis of Compound Rain–Tailwater Flooding in a Coastal Combined Sewer System: Sewer Pre‐Filling and Outfall Throttling27
Advancing the Modeling of Future Climate and Innovation Impacts on Perennial Crops to Support Adaptation: A Case Study of California Almonds27
Persistent Extreme Surface Solar Radiation and Its Implications on Solar Photovoltaics27
Projections of Lightning‐Ignited Wildfire Risk in the Western United States26
Socio‐Ecological Impacts of the Investment of Urban Nature in Heat Mitigation for Two Megacities26
Interpretable Machine Learning Reveals Potential to Overcome Reactive Flood Adaptation in the Continental US26
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Marked Impacts of Pollution Mitigation on Crop Yields in China26
Partitioning the Uncertainties in Compound Hot and Dry Precipitation, Soil Moisture, and Runoff Extremes Projections in CMIP626
Conflict or Coordination? The Spatiotemporal Relationship Between Humans and Nature on the Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau26
Simulated Impact of Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement on Atmospheric CO2 Removal in the Bering Sea26
Understanding Climate Change and Anthropogenic Impacts on the Salinization of Low‐Lying Coastal Groundwater Systems25
Increased Significance of Global Concurrent Hazards From 1981 to 202025
Arctic Ozone Hole and Enhanced Mid‐Latitude Ozone Losses Due To Heterogeneous Halogen Chemistry Following a Regional Nuclear Conflict25
Anthropogenic Dust as a Significant Source of Ice‐Nucleating Particles in the Urban Environment25
An Empirical Social Vulnerability Map for Flood Risk Assessment at Global Scale (“GlobE‐SoVI”)25
Assessing the Effect of Glacier Runoff Changes on Basin Runoff and Agricultural Production in the Indus, Amu Darya, and Tarim Interior Basins25
Undesirable Effects of Biogenic Emissions From Urban Green Spaces on Air Quality Are Counteracted by Their Transpiration and Dry Deposition25
Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Salt Marsh Vegetation Communities in Response to Soil Moisture and Salinity Fluctuations: A Coupled Modeling Approach25
Blue Nitrogen: Global Rates and Economic Importance24
Natural Denudation Versus Anthropogenically Accelerated Erosion in Central Brazil: A Confrontation of Time and Space Scales24
Global Warming Enhances Tropical Cyclone–Induced Extreme Precipitation in the Arabian Sea: Insights From Convection‐Permitting Model Experiments24
The Critical Role of Snowmelt Onset‐Driven Vapor Pressure Deficit Variations in Wildfire Dynamics of Northern Latitudes24
Uncovering the Dynamic Drivers of Floods Through Interpretable Deep Learning24
Elevated Forest Canopy Loss After Wildfires in Moist and Cool Forests in the Pacific Northwest24
Satellite Observed Land Surface Greening in Summer Controlled by the Precipitation Frequency Rather Than Its Total Over Tibetan Plateau24
Impacts of Idealized Land Use and Land Management Changes on Weather Extremes in West Africa24
Evaluating How Climate Adaptation Measures Affect the Interconnected Water‐Energy Resource Systems of the Western United States24
Issue Information24
Investigating Potential Ecological Benefits From Mariculture24
Reviving the Aral Sea: A Hydro‐Eco‐Social Perspective24
Building Capacity in an Environmental Management Industry: Investing in Collective Social Capital to Advance Stream Management23
A Global Increase in Nearshore Tropical Cyclone Intensification23
Carbon Cycle Response to Stratospheric Aerosol Injection With Multiple Temperature Stabilization Targets and Strategies23
Sea Level Rise Learning Scenarios for Adaptive Decision‐Making Based on IPCC AR623
Unprecedented Historical Erosion of US Gulf Coast: A Consequence of Accelerated Sea‐Level Rise?23
Sustainability Evaluation of the Doughnut Economics: A Bibliometric Analysis23
Divergent Changes in Oceanic and Terrestrial Surface Water Budgets Under Global Warming: Insights From ERA5 Reanalysis23
Drivers of Future Physical Water Scarcity and Its Economic Impacts in Latin America and the Caribbean23
Characterizing Climatic Socio‐Environmental Tipping Points in Coastal Communities: A Conceptual Framework for Research and Practice23
The Case for the Anthropocene Epoch Is Stronger Than the Case for the Holocene Epoch23
Global‐Scale Shifts in Rooting Depths Due To Anthropocene Land Cover Changes Pose Unexamined Consequences for Critical Zone Functioning23
The Poverty Impacts of Labor Heat Stress in West Africa Under a Warming Climate23
A Climate Science Toolkit for High Impact‐Low Likelihood Climate Risks23
Sensitivity to Data Choice for Index‐Based Flood Insurance23
Systemic Financial Risk Arising From Residential Flood Losses22
Competition Between Accommodation Space and River Sediment Supply in New Zealand Estuaries22
Spatio‐Temporal Dynamics of Aboveground Biomass in China's Oasis Grasslands Between 1989 and 202122
Projected Impact of Increased Global Warming on Heat Stress and Exposed Population Over Africa22
A National‐Scale Coastal Flood Hazard Assessment for the Atoll Nation of Tuvalu22
Projections of Peak Water Timing From the East Rongbuk Glacier, Mt. Everest, Using a Higher‐Order Ice Flow Model22
Regional Impacts Poorly Constrained by Climate Sensitivity22
Caught Between Extremes: Understanding Human‐Water Interactions During Drought‐To‐Flood Events in the Horn of Africa22
Change in Wind Renewable Energy Potential Under Stratospheric Aerosol Injections22
Quantifying Past and Future Terrestrial Water Storage Scarcity Across China Through Midcentury22
Landslide Hazard Is Projected to Increase Across High Mountain Asia22
Adaptation Strategies Strongly Reduce the Future Impacts of Climate Change on Simulated Crop Yields22
Envisioning Farm Power Subsidy for Groundwater Irrigation in India for Attaining SDGs21
Extratropical Climate Change During Periods Before and After an Arctic Ice‐Free Summer21
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Participatory Modeling for Analyzing Interactions Between High‐Priority Sustainable Development Goals to Promote Local Sustainability21
High Spatial Variability of Biomass Burning Emissions Observed at Three Tibetan Plateau Sites21
Exposure of Global Rail and Road Infrastructures in Future Record‐Breaking Climate Extremes21
Thank You to Our 2022 Reviewers21
Relic Groundwater and Prolonged Drought Confound Interpretations of Water Sustainability and Lithium Extraction in Arid Lands21
Melting Alpine Water Towers Aggravate Downstream Low Flows: A Stress‐Test Storyline Approach21
New Insights Into Multi‐Component Atmospheric Wet Deposition Across China: A Multidimensional Analysis21
Centennial Memory of the Arctic Ocean for Future Arctic Climate Recovery in Response to a Carbon Dioxide Removal21
Consumption‐Based Carbon Emissions of 85 Federal Entities in Russia21
Climate Change and Disparities in Extreme Heat Exposure for Socially Vulnerable Areas in the Contiguous United States20
Achieving Harmonized and Integrated Long‐Term Environmental Observation of Essential Ecosystem Variables ‐ The eLTER Framework of Standard Observations20
Key Uncertainties and Modeling Needs for Managing Living Marine Resources in the Future Arctic Ocean20
Future Pathways of Water, Energy, and Food in the Eastern Nile Basin20
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