Earths Future

Article	Citations
Economic Shock in a Climate Scenario and Its Impact on Surface Temperatures	427
The SDGs Provide Limited Evidence That Environmental Policies Are Delivering Multiple Ecological and Social Benefits	141
A Retrospective and Prospective Examination of the 1960s U.S. Northeast Drought	139
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Quantifying the Impact of Climate Change and Forest Management on Swedish Forest Ecosystems Using the Dynamic Vegetation Model LPJ‐GUESS	117
CMIP6 GCMs Projected Future Koppen‐Geiger Climate Zones on a Global Scale	109
Equity, Diversity, and Community as the Basis for Critical Zone Science and Education	108
Future Extreme Climate Events Threaten Alpine and Subalpine Woody Plants in China	108
The Role of Anthropogenic Forcings on Historical Sea‐Level Change in the Indo‐Pacific Warm Pool Region	104
Heterogeneities in Regional Air Pollutant Emission Mitigation Across China During 2012–2020	100
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Maize Yield Changes Under Sulfate Aerosol Climate Intervention Using Three Global Gridded Crop Models	95
Is Reservoir Storage Effectively Utilized in the Southeastern US? A Regional Assessment to Improve Water Supply Availability Considering Potential Storage and Flood Scenarios	93
Large Divergence in Tropical Hydrological Projections Caused by Model Spread in Vegetation Responses to Elevated CO2	91
Modulation of Land Photosynthesis by the Indian Ocean Dipole: Satellite‐Based Observations and CMIP6 Future Projections	89
Revisiting the Global Methane Cycle Through Expert Opinion	83
Dams and Climate Interact to Alter River Flow Regimes Across the United States	79
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Diverging Trends in Rain‐On‐Snow Over High Mountain Asia	77
Participatory Causal Loop Diagrams Building for Supporting Decision‐Makers Integrating Flood Risk Management in an Urban Regeneration Process	77
Timing and Order of Extreme Drought and Wetness Determine Bioclimatic Sensitivity of Tree Growth	71
Diffuse Radiation Forcing Constraints on Gross Primary Productivity and Global Terrestrial Evapotranspiration	70
Relic Groundwater and Prolonged Drought Confound Interpretations of Water Sustainability and Lithium Extraction in Arid Lands	69
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Tropical Sea Surface Temperature Variability and Its Impact on Oilseed Crop Yields in China	64
Forest Carbon Storage in the Western United States: Distribution, Drivers, and Trends	62
How to Achieve a 50% Reduction in Nutrient Losses From Agricultural Catchments Under Different Climate Trajectories?	62
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Issue Information	59
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Connecting Large‐Scale Meteorological Patterns to Extratropical Cyclones in CMIP6 Climate Models Using Self‐Organizing Maps	58
PM2.5 Exposure and Associated Premature Mortality to 2100 in China Under Climate and Socioeconomic Change Scenarios	57
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Thank You to Our 2022 Reviewers	55
The 3‐Machines Energy Transition Model: Exploring the Energy Frontiers for Restoring a Habitable Climate	54
Trade and Climate Mitigation Interactions Create Agro‐Economic Opportunities With Social and Environmental Trade‐Offs in Latin America and the Caribbean	54
The Future of Developed Barrier Systems: 2. Alongshore Complexities and Emergent Climate Change Dynamics	54
Issue Information	54
Evaluating Seasonal Wildfire Susceptibility and Wildfire Threats to Local Ecosystems in the Largest Forested Area of China	53
Projecting Changes in the Drivers of Compound Flooding in Europe Using CMIP6 Models	51
Marine Heatwaves Contribute More to Changing Air‐Water Exchange of Semi‐Volatile Organic Compounds Than Mean Sea Surface Temperature Rise	50
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Thresholds in Road Network Functioning on US Atlantic and Gulf Barrier Islands	49
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A Comprehensive Assessment of Carbon Dioxide Removal Options for Germany	46
What Does Global Land Climate Look Like at 2°C Warming?	45
A Safety Factor Approach to Designing Urban Infrastructure for Dynamic Conditions	45
Conflicting Changes of Vegetation Greenness Interannual Variability on Half of the Global Vegetated Surface	44
Biochar and Its Potential to Deliver Negative Emissions and Better Soil Quality in Europe	44
Linear and Nonlinear Trend Analyzes in Global Satellite‐Based Precipitation, 1998–2017	43
Sustainable Development Pathways for Chinese Cities: An Assessment of the Advanced Inclusive Wealth Index	43
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Issue Information	43
Participatory Modeling for Analyzing Interactions Between High‐Priority Sustainable Development Goals to Promote Local Sustainability	43
Unveiling the Evolution of Extreme Rainfall Storm Structure Across Space and Time in a Warming Climate	43
Phase Shifts of the PDO and AMO Alter the Translation Distance of Global Tropical Cyclones	42
Extratropical Climate Change During Periods Before and After an Arctic Ice‐Free Summer	42
The Value of Large‐Scale Climatic Indices for Monthly Forecasting Severity of Widespread Flooding Using Dilated Convolutional Neural Networks	42
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Fluvial Flood Losses in the Contiguous United States Under Climate Change	40
Long‐Term Variability in the Arabian Peninsula Droughts Driven by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation	40
Spatial Aggregation of Global Dry and Wet Patterns Based on the Standard Precipitation Index	40
Hydrological Extremes Heighten Vulnerability to Schistosomiasis	39
The Janus‐Faced Role of Renewable Energy Development in Global Carbon Reduction Under Renewable Energy Policies	39
Uncertain Pathways to a Future Safe Climate	39
Evolution Modeling and Protection Scheme for Tidal Flats Under Natural Change and Human Pressure, Central Jiangsu Coast	38
A Prefire Approach for Probabilistic Assessments of Postfire Debris‐Flow Inundation	38
Consumption‐Based Carbon Emissions of 85 Federal Entities in Russia	38
Multi‐Model Simulation of Solar Geoengineering Indicates Avoidable Destabilization of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet	38
Breaking the Ecosystem Balance Over the Tibetan Plateau	37
Arctic Sea Ice Response to Flooding of the Snow Layer in Future Warming Scenarios	37
Uncertainties, Limits, and Benefits of Climate Change Mitigation for Soil Moisture Drought in Southwestern North America	37

Land‐Atmosphere Coupling Constrains Increases to Potential Evaporation in a Warming Climate: Implications at Local and Global Scales	37
An Action‐Oriented Approach to Make the Most of the Wind and Solar Power Complementarity	36
Inequalities in Air Pollution Exposure and Attributable Mortality in a Low Carbon Future	36
Deciphering China's Complex Pattern of Summer Precipitation Trends	36
Global Wet/Dry Patterns and Mechanisms Since the Last Glacial Maximum: A Key to Future Projection	35
Carbon Footprint Differentiation in the Japanese Residential Sector Due To Income‐Driven Divergences in Consumption and Time Allocation	35
The Effects of Model Complexity on Model Output Uncertainty in Co‐Evolved Coupled Natural‐Human Systems	35
Coupling GEDI LiDAR and Optical Satellite for Revealing Large‐Scale Maize Lodging in Northeast China	34
Decomposing Three Decades of Nitrogen Emissions in Canada	34
Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge‐Based Flood Risk Assessment Under Combined Scenarios of High Tides and Sea‐Level Rise: A Case Study of Hainan Island, China	34
Shifting Contribution of Climatic Constraints on Evapotranspiration in the Boreal Forest	34
Agent‐Based Model to Manage Household Water Use Through Social‐Environmental Strategies of Encouragement and Peer Pressure	34
A New Method of Diagnosing the Historical and Projected Changes in Permafrost on the Tibetan Plateau	34
Towards a Less Habitable Ocean	34
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Evolution and Drivers of Energy Embodied in Intermediate and Final Trade Between China and the World	33
Large Divergence of Projected High Latitude Vegetation Composition and Productivity Due To Functional Trait Uncertainty	33
Past, Present, and Future Pacific Sea‐Level Change	33
Impacts of Forest Management‐Induced Productivity Changes on Future Land Use and Land Cover Change	33
Extreme Hydrometeorological Events, a Challenge for Gravimetric and Seismology Networks	32
Vegetation Greening Mitigates the Impacts of Increasing Extreme Rainfall on Runoff Events	32
Fusion of Probabilistic Projections of Sea‐Level Rise	31
Future Pathways of Water, Energy, and Food in the Eastern Nile Basin	31
Earthquake Iso‐Nuisance and Iso‐Damage Mapping for Alberta: Applications for Choosing Magnitude Thresholds to Manage Induced Seismicity	31
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Do Vegetation Fuel Reduction Treatments Alter Forest Fire Severity and Carbon Stability in California Forests?	30
Increased Risk of Extreme Precipitation Over an Urban Agglomeration With Future Global Warming	30
Illustrative Multi‐Centennial Projections of Global Mean Sea‐Level Rise and Their Application	29
Bringing Social Science Into Critical Zone Science: Exploring Smallholder Farmers' Learning Preferences in Chinese Human‐Modified Critical Zones	29
Multi‐Centennial Variability of Yangtze Delta Growth Over the Last 2000 Years: Interplay of Climate and People	29
Remote Sensing of Seasonal Climatic Constraints on Leaf Phenology Across Pantropical Evergreen Forest Biome	29
Cyclone Gabrielle as a Design Storm for Northeastern Aotearoa New Zealand Under Anthropogenic Warming	29
Anthropogenic Effects on the Contemporary Sediment Budget of the Lower Rhine‐Meuse Delta Channel Network	29
Hydroclimatic Vulnerability of Wetlands to Upwind Land Use Changes	28
Simulated Abrupt Shifts in Aerobic Habitats of Marine Species in the Past, Present, and Future	28
How May the Choice of Downscaling Techniques and Meteorological Reference Observations Affect Future Hydroclimate Projections?	28
Defining the “Ice Shed” of the Arctic Ocean's Last Ice Area and Its Future Evolution	28
Climatology of the Soil Surface Diurnal Temperature Range in a Warming World: Annual Cycles, Regional Patterns, and Trends in China	28
A Cost Model for Ocean Iron Fertilization as a Means of Carbon Dioxide Removal That Compares Ship‐ and Aerial‐Based Delivery, and Estimates Verification Costs	27
Shift in Peaks of PAH‐Associated Health Risks From East Asia to South Asia and Africa in the Future	27
Exposure of Global Rail and Road Infrastructures in Future Record‐Breaking Climate Extremes	27
A Refined Supply‐Demand Framework to Quantify Variability in Ecosystem Services Related to Surface Water in Support of Sustainable Development Goals	27
Probabilistic Risk Assessment of the Economy‐Wide Impacts From a Changing Wildfire Climate on a Regional Rural Landscape	27
Observational Evidence for Multivariate Drought Hazard Amplifications Across Disparate Climate Regimes	27
A Review of Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty Applications Using Green Infrastructure for Flood Management	27
Carbon Footprint of Railway Projects Under the Belt and Road Initiative and the Future Low‐Carbon Pathways	26
Enabling Climate Change Adaptation in Coastal Systems: A Systematic Literature Review	26
High Spatial Variability of Biomass Burning Emissions Observed at Three Tibetan Plateau Sites	26
Research to Confront Climate Change Complexity: Intersectionality, Integration, and Innovative Governance	26
Crop Yield Loss Risk Is Modulated by Anthropogenic Factors	25
Recent Water Constraints Mediate the Dominance of Climate and Atmospheric CO2 on Vegetation Growth Across China	25
Agricultural Adaptation to Reconcile Food Security and Water Sustainability Under Climate Change: The Case of Cereals in Iran	25
Potential of Land‐Neutral Negative Emissions Through Biochar Sequestration	25
Global Cooling Hiatus Driven by an AMOC Overshoot in a Carbon Dioxide Removal Scenario	24
Melting Alpine Water Towers Aggravate Downstream Low Flows: A Stress‐Test Storyline Approach	24
Does Transfer Payments Promote Low‐Carbon Development of Resource‐Exhausted Cities in China?	24
Uncertain Spatial Pattern of Future Land Use and Land Cover Change and Its Impacts on Terrestrial Carbon Cycle Over the Arctic–Boreal Region of North America	24
Climatic Drivers of Extreme Sea Level Events Along the Coastline of Western Australia	23
Observations Over a Century Underscore an Increasing Likelihood of Compound Dry‐Hot Events in China	23
Quantifying Global Wetland Methane Emissions With In Situ Methane Flux Data and Machine Learning Approaches	23
The Streamflow Response to Multi‐Day Warm Anomaly Events: Sensitivity to Future Warming and Spatiotemporal Variability by Event Magnitude	23
Evaluating Knowledge Gaps in Sea‐Level Rise Assessments From the United States	23
Global Wetland Methane Emissions From 2001 to 2020: Magnitude, Dynamics and Controls	23
Impact‐Based Skill Evaluation of Seasonal Precipitation Forecasts	23
Accelerating the Renewable Energy Revolution to Get Back to the Holocene	22
Heterogeneous Spatial Effects of FDI on CO2 Emissions in China	22
Reduced Tropical Cyclone Genesis in the Future as Predicted by a Machine Learning Model	22
Urbanization Amplified Asymmetrical Changes of Rainfall and Exacerbated Drought: Analysis Over Five Urban Agglomerations in the Yangtze River Basin, China	22
Distinguishing Direct Human‐Driven Effects on the Global Terrestrial Water Cycle	22
Material Hide‐and‐Seek: Looking for the Resource Savings Due to International Trade of Food Products	22
Do Derived Drought Indices Better Characterize Future Drought Change?	22
Persistently Elevated High‐Latitude Ocean Temperatures and Global Sea Level Following Temporary Temperature Overshoots	22
Uncertainty in Simulating Twentieth Century West African Precipitation Trends: The Role of Anthropogenic Aerosol Emissions	22
The COVID‐19 Pandemic Not Only Poses Challenges, but Also Opens Opportunities for Sustainable Transformation	22
Increasing Heat‐Stress Inequality in a Warming Climate	21
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Developing a Southern Ocean Marine Ecosystem Model Ensemble to Assess Climate Risks and Uncertainties	21
An Integrated Global‐To‐Regional Scale Workflow for Simulating Climate Change Impacts on Marine Ecosystems	21
Changes in Compound Extreme Events and Their Impacts on Cropland Productivity in China, 1985–2019	21
Robust Changes in North America's Hydroclimate Variability and Predictability	21

Future Soil Erosion Risk in China: Differences in Erosion Driven by General and Extreme Precipitation Under Climate Change	21
Process Synchrony a Key Control of Resilience in a Subarctic Freshwater System	21
Multivariate Analysis of Compound Flood Hazard Across Canada's Atlantic, Pacific and Great Lakes Coastal Areas	20
Non‐Stationary Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessments Incorporating Climate‐Change‐Driven Sea Level Rise	20
Human Settlement Pressure Drives Slow‐Moving Landslide Exposure	20
The Weight of New York City: Possible Contributions to Subsidence From Anthropogenic Sources	20
A Hierarchical Framework for Unpacking the Nitrogen Challenge	20
The Ocean System Pathways (OSPs): A New Scenario and Simulation Framework to Investigate the Future of the World Fisheries	20
Key Uncertainties and Modeling Needs for Managing Living Marine Resources in the Future Arctic Ocean	20
Historical and Projected Cropland Impacts of Heatwaves in Central Asia Under Climate Change	20
Shrinking Habitats and Native Species Loss Under Climate Change: A Multifactorial Risk Assessment of China's Inland Wetlands	20
Transient and Quasi‐Equilibrium Climate States at 1.5°C and 2°C Global Warming	20
Power and Pathways: Exploring Robustness, Cooperative Stability, and Power Relationships in Regional Infrastructure Investment and Water Supply Management Portfolio Pathways	20
The Future Climate and Air Quality Response From Different Near‐Term Climate Forcer, Climate, and Land‐Use Scenarios Using UKESM1	20
Predicting Flood Event Class Using a Novel Class Membership Function and Hydrological Modeling	19
Heatwave Characteristics in the Recent Climate and at Different Global Warming Levels: A Multimodel Analysis at the Global Scale	19
Coral Reef Exposure to Damaging Tropical Cyclone Waves in a Warming Climate	19
Impact of Rocket Launch and Space Debris Air Pollutant Emissions on Stratospheric Ozone and Global Climate	19
Heatwaves in Southeast Asia and Their Changes in a Warmer World	19
Deep Learning for Bias‐Correcting CMIP6‐Class Earth System Models	19
Land Policy for Flood Risk Management—Toward a New Working Paradigm	19
Increased Global Vegetation Productivity Despite Rising Atmospheric Dryness Over the Last Two Decades	19
Uncertainty in Projected Critical Soil Moisture Values in CMIP6 Affects the Interpretation of a More Moisture‐Limited World	19
Uncovering the Dynamics of Multi‐Sector Impacts of Hydrological Extremes: A Methods Overview	19
Assessing Current Coastal Subsidence at Continental Scale: Insights From Europe Using the European Ground Motion Service	19
Environmental Co‐Benefits of Maintaining Native Vegetation With Solar Photovoltaic Infrastructure	18
Assessing Assisted Natural Regeneration as a Cost‐Efficient Mitigation for Climate Change and Biodiversity Loss in China	18
Application of Hollow Glass Microspheres in the Arctic Ocean Would Likely Lead to a Deceleration of Arctic Sea Ice Loss” ‐ A Critique of the Paper by Webster and Warren (2022)	18
Wind Speed and Vegetation Coverage in Turn Dominated Wind Erosion Change With Increasing Aridity in Africa	18
Time Evolution of the Surface Urban Heat Island	18
Evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet Over the Next Three Centuries From an ISMIP6 Model Ensemble	18
Continued Warming of the Permafrost Regions Over the Northern Hemisphere Under Future Climate Change	18
Increasing Risk of Ecological Change to Major Rivers of the World With Global Warming	18
Delimiting China's Urban Growth Boundaries Under Localized Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Various Urban Expansion Modes	18
Quantifying Sources, Sinks and Mitigation of Macroplastic and Other River Debris: A Trash Balance Model	18
Asymmetrical Impact of Daytime and Nighttime Warming on the Interannual Variation of Urban Spring Vegetation Phenology	18
Uncovering the Past and Future Climate Drivers of Wheat Yield Shocks in Europe With Machine Learning	18
2021 February Texas Ice Storm Induced Spring GPP Reduction Compensated by the Higher Precipitation	18
Significant Increase of the Global Population Exposure to Increased Precipitation Extremes in the Future	18
Critical Role of Irrigation Efficiency for Cropland Expansion in Western China Arid Agroecosystems	18
New Insights Into Multi‐Component Atmospheric Wet Deposition Across China: A Multidimensional Analysis	18
Nutrient Loading From a Sustainably Certified Aquaculture Operation Dwarfs Annual Nutrient Inputs From a Large Multi‐Use Watershed, Lake Yojoa, Honduras	18
Can Restoring Tidal Wetlands Reduce Estuarine Nuisance Flooding of Coasts Under Future Sea‐Level Rise?	18
Fates and Use Efficiency of Nitrogen Fertilizer in Maize Cropping Systems and Their Responses to Technologies and Management Practices: A Global Analysis on Field 15N Tracer Studies	18
Climate Warming Consistently Reduces Grassland Ecosystem Productivity	18
Future Amplification of Multivariate Risk of Compound Drought and Heatwave Events on South Asian Population	18
Influence of Hillslope Flow on Hydroclimatic Evolution Under Climate Change	18
The 2018–2020 Multi‐Year Drought Sets a New Benchmark in Europe	18
The Need for Multi‐Century Projections of Sea Level Rise	17
New LiDAR‐Based Elevation Model Shows Greatest Increase in Global Coastal Exposure to Flooding to Be Caused by Early‐Stage Sea‐Level Rise	17
Climate and Substrate Stoichiometry Co‐Regulate Free‐Living Nitrogen Fixation at Regional and Global Scales	17
Rising Seas, Rising Inequity? Communities at Risk in the San Francisco Bay Area and Implications for Adaptation Policy	17
Global Pattern of Ecosystem Respiration Tendencies and Its Implications on Terrestrial Carbon Sink Potential	17
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How Should Diverse Stakeholder Interests Shape Evaluations of Complex Water Resources Systems Robustness When Confronting Deeply Uncertain Changes?	17
Increasing Risk of a “Hot Eastern‐Pluvial Western” Asia	17
Future Flood Risk Exacerbated by the Dynamic Impacts of Sea Level Rise Along the Northern Gulf of Mexico	17
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Climate Change Will Impact Surface Water Extents and Dynamics Across the Central United States	17
CMIP6 Earth System Models Project Greater Acceleration of Climate Zone Change Due To Stronger Warming Rates	17
Improving Satellite Monitoring of Armed Conflicts	17
The Influence of Future Changes in Tidal Range, Storm Surge, and Mean Sea Level on the Emergence of Chronic Flooding	17
Leveraging Governance Performance to Enhance Climate Resilience	17
30 m Resolution Global Maps of Forest Soil Respiration and Its Changes From 2000 to 2020	17
The Realistic Potential of Soil Carbon Sequestration in U.S. Croplands for Climate Mitigation	17
Structuring Climate Service Co‐Creation Using a Business Model Approach	17
Satellites Reveal Spatial Heterogeneity in Dryland Photovoltaic Plants' Effects on Vegetation Dynamics	17
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Weather Index Insurance Can Offset Heat‐Induced Rice Losses Under Global Warming	16
Trajectory Simulation and Prediction of COVID‐19 via Compound Natural Factor (CNF) Model in EDBF Algorithm	16
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Knowns and Unknowns in Future Human Pressures on the Ocean	16
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The Dichotomy of Wet and Dry Trends Over India by Aerosol Indirect Effects in CMIP5 Models	16
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A Subjective Bayesian Framework for Synthesizing Deep Uncertainties in Climate Risk Management	16
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Compound Post‐Fire Flood Hazards Considering Infrastructure Sedimentation	16
Meteorological Influences on Anthropogenic PM2.5 in Future Climates: Species Level Analysis in the Community Earth System Model v2	16
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Accelerated Sea‐Level Rise Limits Vegetation Capacity to Sequester Soil Carbon in Coastal Wetlands: A Study Case in Southeastern Australia	16
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Understanding the Contributions of Paleo‐Informed Natural Variability and Climate Changes to Hydroclimate Extremes in the San Joaquin Valley of California	16
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Deciphering the Biophysical Impact of Permafrost Greening on Summer Surface Offset	15
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Quantifying the Impact of Internal Variability on the CESM2 Control Algorithm for Stratospheric Aerosol Injection	15
Projecting Changes in the Frequency and Magnitude of Ozone Pollution Events Under Uncertain Climate Sensitivity	15
Integrating Values to Improve the Relevance of Climate‐Risk Research	15
Temporal Scaling Characteristics of Sub‐Daily Precipitation in Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau	15
Biodiversity Conservation Strategies From No Net Loss to Net Gain. A Multidimensional Accounting Method	15
Learning About Sea Level Rise Uncertainty Improves Coastal Adaptation Decisions	15
Reconstruction of the Hydro‐Thermal Behavior of Regulated River Networks of the Columbia River Basin Using Satellite Remote Sensing and Data‐Driven Techniques	15