OOIR: Observatory of International Research

Papers

(The TQCC of Earths Future is 15. The table below lists those papers that are above that threshold based on CrossRef citation counts [max. 250 papers]. The publications cover those that have been published in the past four years, i.e., from 2021-12-01 to 2025-12-01.)

Article	Citations
	202
	190
Combined Meteorological and Hydrologic Uncertainties Shape Projections of Future Soil Moisture in the Eastern United States	188
Discovering the Multisectoral Impacts of Global Energy Sector Outcomes Through Multiple Ensemble Aggregation Measures	163
Past Precipitation Stored in Deep Soils Sustains Greening of Dryland Tree Plantations in Northern China	157
Vegetation Greening Mitigates the Impacts of Increasing Extreme Rainfall on Runoff Events	146
Large Divergence of Projected High Latitude Vegetation Composition and Productivity Due To Functional Trait Uncertainty	132
Sustainable Development Pathways for Chinese Cities: An Assessment of the Advanced Inclusive Wealth Index	123
Marine Heatwaves Contribute More to Changing Air‐Water Exchange of Semi‐Volatile Organic Compounds Than Mean Sea Surface Temperature Rise	111
Irreversible Land Water Availability Changes From a Potential ITCZ Shift During Temperature Overshoot	96
Inorganic Nitrogen Nutrition in Boreal Plants Is Underestimated and Insensitive to Environmental Changes	96
Issue Information	95
Issue Information	95
Has Hydropower Made the World More Flood‐Prone?	95
Is Reservoir Storage Effectively Utilized in the Southeastern US? A Regional Assessment to Improve Water Supply Availability Considering Potential Storage and Flood Scenarios	94
Fusion of Probabilistic Projections of Sea‐Level Rise	91
Multi‐Centennial Variability of Yangtze Delta Growth Over the Last 2000 Years: Interplay of Climate and People	90
Quantifying the Impact of Climate Change and Forest Management on Swedish Forest Ecosystems Using the Dynamic Vegetation Model LPJ‐GUESS	87
Wetland Gain and Loss in the Mississippi River Bird‐Foot Delta	83
Future Extreme Climate Events Threaten Alpine and Subalpine Woody Plants in China	83
Distinguishing Direct Human‐Driven Effects on the Global Terrestrial Water Cycle	83
Forest Carbon Storage in the Western United States: Distribution, Drivers, and Trends	80
Revisiting the Global Methane Cycle Through Expert Opinion	76
Is There Sufficient Information to Reliably Estimate Return Periods for Very Rare Heat Extremes in Event Attribution?	74
Projecting Changes in the Drivers of Compound Flooding in Europe Using CMIP6 Models	73

Increasing Heat‐Stress Inequality in a Warming Climate	72
Historical and Projected Cropland Impacts of Heatwaves in Central Asia Under Climate Change	72
Changes in Compound Extreme Events and Their Impacts on Cropland Productivity in China, 1985–2019	71
The Weight of New York City: Possible Contributions to Subsidence From Anthropogenic Sources	69
Delimiting China's Urban Growth Boundaries Under Localized Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Various Urban Expansion Modes	68
The Role of Anthropogenic Forcings on Historical Sea‐Level Change in the Indo‐Pacific Warm Pool Region	68
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Assessing the Time of Emergence of Marine Ecosystems From Global to Local Scales Using IPSL‐CM6A‐LR/APECOSM Climate‐To‐Fish Ensemble Simulations	65
Temporal Scaling Characteristics of Sub‐Daily Precipitation in Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau	65
Knowns and Unknowns in Future Human Pressures on the Ocean	64
Issue Information	63
Issue Information	62
Issue Information	62
Research Priorities for Climate Litigation	61
A Demonstration of a Simple Methodology of Flood Prediction for a Coastal City Under Threat of Sea Level Rise: The Case of Norfolk, VA, USA	60
Large‐Scale Evaluation of Beach Morphodynamic Evolution and Environmental Drivers Along China's Eastern Coast Through Long‐Term Landsat Analysis	60
Quantifying the Impact of Internal Variability on the CESM2 Control Algorithm for Stratospheric Aerosol Injection	58
Different Strategies of Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Would Significantly Affect Climate Extreme Mitigation	57
Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Could Prevent Future Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Decline, But Injection Location is Key	57
A Convergence Science Approach to Understanding the Changing Arctic	57
High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Preserve the Arctic	57
Characterizing Compound Inland Flooding Mechanisms and Risks in North America Under Climate Change	56
Will Anthropogenic Warming Increase Evapotranspiration? Examining Irrigation Water Demand Implications of Climate Change in California	53
Meteorological Influences on Anthropogenic PM_2.5 in Future Climates: Species Level Analysis in the Community Earth System Model v2	53
Weather Index Insurance Can Offset Heat‐Induced Rice Losses Under Global Warming	52
Measuring and Attributing Sedimentary and Geomorphic Responses to Modern Climate Change: Challenges and Opportunities	52
Projecting Future Fire Regimes in a Semiarid Watershed of the Inland Northwestern United States: Interactions Among Climate Change, Vegetation Productivity, and Fuel Dynamics	50
Net‐Zero CO₂ Germany—A Retrospect From the Year 2050	50
Fire and Ice: The Impact of Wildfire‐Affected Albedo and Irradiance on Glacier Melt	48
Evaluating Adaptation Pathways in a Complex Multi‐Risk System	48
Using Machine Learning to Cut the Cost of Dynamical Downscaling	48
Global Lake Health in the Anthropocene: Societal Implications and Treatment Strategies	47
Balancing Physical and Human‐Driven Morphodynamic Changes: Insights From the Pearl River Estuary	47
The Need for Multi‐Century Projections of Sea Level Rise	46
Controls of Ecohydrological Grassland Dynamics in Agrivoltaic Systems	46
Hysteretic Behavior of Global to Regional Monsoon Area Under CO₂ Ramp‐Up and Ramp‐Down	46
Climate‐Driven Sea Level Rise Exacerbates Alaskan and Cascadian Tsunami Hazards in Southern California: Implications to Design Parameters	46
Widespread Unquantified Conversion of Old Boreal Forests to Plantations	45
Aotearoa New Zealand's 21st‐Century Wildfire Climate	45
Remote Sensing Big Data for Water Environment Monitoring: Current Status, Challenges, and Future Prospects	45
Hydrological Intensification Will Increase the Complexity of Water Resource Management	45
Accounting for Compound Flooding Can Prevent Maladaptation—A Baltic Sea Case Study	44
Incorporating Intensity Distance Attenuation Into PLUM Ground‐Motion‐Based Earthquake Early Warning in the United States: The APPLES Configuration	44
Globally Increasing Atmospheric Aridity Over the 21st Century	44
Extension of Large Fire Emissions From Summer to Autumn and Its Drivers in the Western US	43
Enhancing Urban Thermal Environment and Energy Sustainability With Temperature‐Adaptive Radiative Roofs	43
Future Changes in δ¹³C of Dissolved Inorganic Carbon in the Ocean	43
The Contribution of Microrefugia to Landscape Thermal Inertia for Climate‐Adaptive Conservation Strategies	43
Issue Information	42
Issue Information	42

Deep Root Loss and Regeneration in the Anthropocene Drive Continental‐Scale Changes in Deep Soil Structure	41
Methane Emissions in Asian Wetlands During 2010–2020: Insights From an Online‐Coupled Microbial Functional‐Group‐Based Model	41
Escalating High Tide Flooding Along the Atlantic and Gulf Coast of the United States Due To Sea Level Rise	41
Interacting Sea‐Level Rise, Sea‐Ice Loss, Storm Flooding, Erosion, and Permafrost Thaw Threaten Ecosystems, Wildlife, and Communities on the Yukon‐Kuskokwim Delta	40
Soil Moisture Memory of Land Surface Models Utilized in Major Reanalyses Differ Significantly From SMAP Observation	40
Recent Acceleration of Wetland Accretion and Carbon Accumulation Along the U.S. East Coast	40
Natural Hazards in a Changing World: Methods for Analyzing Trends and Non‐Linear Changes	40
Predicting the Start of the Growing Season in Boreal Forest Under High and Low Emission Scenarios	40
Relationship of Atmospheric Nitrogen Deposition to Soil Nitrogen Cycling Along an Elevation Gradient in the Colorado Front Range	40
Quantifying the Safe Operating Space for Land‐System SDG Achievement via Machine Learning and Scenario Discovery	40
Quantifying Meltwater Contributions and Socio‐Economy Impacts of Future Third Pole Transboundary Fluvial Floods	39
Integrating Multi‐Level Sustainability and Ecosystem Integrity for Adaptive Scenario Planning in China	39
A Multivariate Scaling System Is Essential to Characterize the Tropical Cyclones' Risk	39
High‐Temperature Exposure and Land Transactions in China	39
Antarctic Biosecurity Policy Effectively Manages the Rates of Alien Introductions	38
Global and Regional Drivers of Power Plant CO₂Emissions Over the Last Three Decades Revealed From Unit‐Based Database	38
Estimating the Global Influence of Cover Crops on Ecosystem Service Indicators in Croplands With the LPJ‐GUESS Model	37
Mass Extinctions and Their Relationship With Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Concentration: Implications for Earth's Future	37
Rainfall and Salinity Effects on Future Pacific Climate Change	37
Predicting Food‐Security Crises in the Horn of Africa Using Machine Learning	37
El Niño Intensified Fog Formation in the Namib Desert	37
Storylines for Global Hydrologic Drought Within CMIP6	36
Drivers of Future Indian Ocean Warming and Its Spatial Pattern in CMIP Models	36
Active Layer Thickness and Permafrost Area Projections for the 21st Century	36
Projecting Future Chronic Coastal Hazard Impacts, Hotspots, and Uncertainty at Regional Scale	36
Ice Sheet and Climate Processes Driving the Uncertainty in Projections of Future Sea Level Rise: Findings From a Structured Expert Judgement Approach	36
Current and Future Patterns of Global Wildfire Based on Deep Neural Networks	35
Water Availability in China's Oases Decreased Between 1987 and 2017	35
Heat and Moisture Anomalies During Crop Failure Events in the Southeastern Australian Wheat Belt	35
Top‐Down Versus Bottom‐Up Atmospheric Emission Estimates From Oil and Natural Gas Operations	34
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The Critical Role of Hydrological Distance in Shaping Nutrient Dynamics Along the Watershed‐Lake Continuum	34
Balancing Productivity and Climate Impact: A Framework to Assess Climate‐Smart Irrigation	34
The Limited Effect of Reduced Typhoon Frequency on Stream Hydrochemistry in a Subtropical Forest Watershed	34
Assessing the Socio‐Economic Effects of Carbon Capture, Utility and Storage Investment From the Perspective of Carbon Neutrality in China	34
Projecting Multiscale River Flood Changes Across Japan at +2°C and +4°C Climates	34
Responses of the Natural Phytoplankton Assemblage to Patagonian Dust Input and Anthropogenic Changes in the Southern Ocean	34
Small Ponds as Carbon Emission and Burial Hotspots in Lowland Agricultural Landscape	33
Reply to Comment on “Improved Water Savings and Reduction in Moist Heat Stress Caused by Efficient Irrigation” by Meetpal S. Kukal	33
Comment on “Improved Water Savings and Reduction in Moist Heat Stress Caused by Efficient Irrigation” by Anukesh Krishnankutty Ambika and Vimal Mishra	33
Old‐Growth Forest Area Projected to Increase on United States Federal Lands Under Alternative Future Scenarios	32
A Bioeconomic Projection of Climate‐Induced Wildfire Risk in the Forest Sector	32
A Comparative Study of the Argo‐Era Ocean Heat Content Among Four Different Types of Data Sets	32
STAR‐ESDM: A Generalizable Approach to Generating High‐Resolution Climate Projections Through Signal Decomposition	32
Analyzing the Spatiotemporal Patterns of Forests Carbon Sink and Sources Between 2000 and 2019	32
Upper Bounds of Maximum Land Surface Temperatures in a Warming Climate and Limits to Plant Growth	31
Large Ensemble Exploration of Global Energy Transitions Under National Emissions Pledges	31
A Review of Advances in Flash Drought Research: Challenges and Future Directions	31
An Analytical Framework for Determining the Ecological Risks of Wastewater Discharges in River Networks Under Climate Change	31
Forest Dieback in Drinking Water Protection Areas—A Hidden Threat to Water Quality	31
Land Cover Changes Redistribute China's Water Resources Through Atmospheric Moisture Recycling	31
Understanding Europe's Forest Harvesting Regimes	30
A High‐End Estimate of Sea Level Rise for Practitioners	30
Pan‐Arctic Assessment of Coastal Settlements and Infrastructure Vulnerable to Coastal Erosion, Sea‐Level Rise, and Permafrost Thaw	30
Understanding the Drivers of Coastal Flood Exposure and Risk From 1860 to 2100	30
Dryland Watersheds in Flux: How Nitrogen Deposition and Changing Precipitation Regimes Shape Nitrogen Export	30
Anthropogenic Climate Change Negatively Impacts Vegetation and Forage Conditions in the Greater Four Corners Region	30
2021 Heatwave Over Western North America: Structural Uncertainty and Internal Variability in GCM Projections of Humidex and Temperature Extremes	30
Projected Changes to Characteristics of El Niño‐Southern Oscillation, Indian Ocean Dipole, and Southern Annular Mode Events in the CMIP6 Models	30
The Anthropocene Is More Than a Time Interval	30
Performance of Fire Danger Indices and Their Utility in Predicting Future Wildfire Danger Over the Conterminous United States	29
Inflated Negative Impacts of Temperature On Global Agricultural Yields Due To Ozone Omission	29
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Pervasive Permafrost Thaw Exacerbates Future Risk of Water Shortage Across the Tibetan Plateau	29
Thank You to Our 2024 Reviewers	29
Urbanization Contributes Little to Global Warming but Substantially Intensifies Local and Regional Land Surface Warming	29
Issue Information	29
An Empirical Social Vulnerability Map for Flood Risk Assessment at Global Scale (“GlobE‐SoVI”)	28
Potential Impacts on Ozone and Climate From a Proposed Fleet of Supersonic Aircraft	28
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Geophysical Uncertainties in Air Pollution Exposure and Benefits of Emissions Reductions for Global Health	28
Advancing the Modeling of Future Climate and Innovation Impacts on Perennial Crops to Support Adaptation: A Case Study of California Almonds	28
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Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Stabilize Northern Hemisphere Terrestrial Permafrost Under the ARISE‐SAI‐1.5 Scenario	28
Projections of Lightning‐Ignited Wildfire Risk in the Western United States	28
Tracking Interprovincial Flows of Atmospheric PAH Emissions Through Downscaling Estimates With Province‐Specific Emission Factors	28
Increased Significance of Global Concurrent Hazards From 1981 to 2020	27
Assessment of Global Dengue Transmission Risk Under Future Climate Scenarios	27
Understanding Climate Change and Anthropogenic Impacts on the Salinization of Low‐Lying Coastal Groundwater Systems	27
Climate Controls on River Chemistry	27

Recent Accelerated Decadal Shift in Winter North American Temperature Patterns Under Pacific‐Atlantic Decadal Variability	27
Land Reclamation Controls on Multi‐Centennial Estuarine Evolution	27
Assessing the Effect of Glacier Runoff Changes on Basin Runoff and Agricultural Production in the Indus, Amu Darya, and Tarim Interior Basins	27
Socio‐Ecological Impacts of the Investment of Urban Nature in Heat Mitigation for Two Megacities	27
Simulated Impact of Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement on Atmospheric CO₂ Removal in the Bering Sea	27
Interpretable Machine Learning Reveals Potential to Overcome Reactive Flood Adaptation in the Continental US	26
Planning for Climate Migration in Great Lake Legacy Cities	26
Persistent Extreme Surface Solar Radiation and Its Implications on Solar Photovoltaics	26
Potential Vorticity Dynamics Explain How Extratropical Oceans and the Arctic Modulate Wintertime Land‐Temperature Variations	26
Anthropogenic Dust as a Significant Source of Ice‐Nucleating Particles in the Urban Environment	26
Partitioning the Uncertainties in Compound Hot and Dry Precipitation, Soil Moisture, and Runoff Extremes Projections in CMIP6	26
Conflict or Coordination? The Spatiotemporal Relationship Between Humans and Nature on the Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau	26
Assessing Global and Regional Trends in Spatially Co‐Occurring Hot or Wet Annual Maxima Under Climate Change	26
Investigating Potential Ecological Benefits From Mariculture	26
Reduced Crop Yield Stability Is More Likely to Be Associated With Heat Than With Moisture Extremes in the US Midwest	26
Uncovering the Dynamic Drivers of Floods Through Interpretable Deep Learning	26
Issue Information	25
Projected Changes in Socioeconomic Exposure to Heatwaves in South Asia Under Changing Climate	25
Unprecedented Historical Erosion of US Gulf Coast: A Consequence of Accelerated Sea‐Level Rise?	25
Marked Impacts of Pollution Mitigation on Crop Yields in China	25
Identifying Robust Decarbonization Pathways for the Western U.S. Electric Power System Under Deep Climate Uncertainty	25
Projections of Peak Water Timing From the East Rongbuk Glacier, Mt. Everest, Using a Higher‐Order Ice Flow Model	25
Non‐Stationary Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessments Compounding Tides and Sea Level Rise	25
Evaluating How Climate Adaptation Measures Affect the Interconnected Water‐Energy Resource Systems of the Western United States	24
Quantifying Past and Future Terrestrial Water Storage Scarcity Across China Through Midcentury	24
How Low Should We Alert? Quantifying Intensity Threshold Alerting Strategies for Earthquake Early Warning in the United States	24
Drivers of Future Physical Water Scarcity and Its Economic Impacts in Latin America and the Caribbean	24
Sensitivity to Data Choice for Index‐Based Flood Insurance	24
Natural Denudation Versus Anthropogenically Accelerated Erosion in Central Brazil: A Confrontation of Time and Space Scales	24
The Critical Role of Snowmelt Onset‐Driven Vapor Pressure Deficit Variations in Wildfire Dynamics of Northern Latitudes	24
Reviving the Aral Sea: A Hydro‐Eco‐Social Perspective	24
A Climate Science Toolkit for High Impact‐Low Likelihood Climate Risks	24
Change in Wind Renewable Energy Potential Under Stratospheric Aerosol Injections	24
Carbon Cycle Response to Stratospheric Aerosol Injection With Multiple Temperature Stabilization Targets and Strategies	24
Spatio‐Temporal Dynamics of Aboveground Biomass in China's Oasis Grasslands Between 1989 and 2021	24
The Case for the Anthropocene Epoch Is Stronger Than the Case for the Holocene Epoch	23
Elevated Forest Canopy Loss After Wildfires in Moist and Cool Forests in the Pacific Northwest	23
Projected Impact of Increased Global Warming on Heat Stress and Exposed Population Over Africa	23
Sustainability Evaluation of the Doughnut Economics: A Bibliometric Analysis	23
Characterizing Climatic Socio‐Environmental Tipping Points in Coastal Communities: A Conceptual Framework for Research and Practice	23
Centennial Memory of the Arctic Ocean for Future Arctic Climate Recovery in Response to a Carbon Dioxide Removal	23
Regional Impacts Poorly Constrained by Climate Sensitivity	23
Mapping Water, Energy and Carbon Footprints Along Urban Agglomeration Supply Chains	23
Systemic Financial Risk Arising From Residential Flood Losses	23
A Global Increase in Nearshore Tropical Cyclone Intensification	23
Sea Level Rise Learning Scenarios for Adaptive Decision‐Making Based on IPCC AR6	23
Accelerating the Renewable Energy Revolution to Get Back to the Holocene	22
Landslide Hazard Is Projected to Increase Across High Mountain Asia	22
Caught Between Extremes: Understanding Human‐Water Interactions During Drought‐To‐Flood Events in the Horn of Africa	22
A National‐Scale Coastal Flood Hazard Assessment for the Atoll Nation of Tuvalu	22
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Impacts of Idealized Land Use and Land Management Changes on Weather Extremes in West Africa	22
Global‐Scale Shifts in Rooting Depths Due To Anthropocene Land Cover Changes Pose Unexamined Consequences for Critical Zone Functioning	22
Satellite Observed Land Surface Greening in Summer Controlled by the Precipitation Frequency Rather Than Its Total Over Tibetan Plateau	22
Thank You to Our 2022 Reviewers	22
New Insights Into Multi‐Component Atmospheric Wet Deposition Across China: A Multidimensional Analysis	22
The Poverty Impacts of Labor Heat Stress in West Africa Under a Warming Climate	22
Adaptation Strategies Strongly Reduce the Future Impacts of Climate Change on Simulated Crop Yields	22
Global Agricultural Water Scarcity Assessment Incorporating Blue and Green Water Availability Under Future Climate Change	22
Multi‐Model Simulation of Solar Geoengineering Indicates Avoidable Destabilization of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet	21
Probabilistic Risk Assessment of the Economy‐Wide Impacts From a Changing Wildfire Climate on a Regional Rural Landscape	21
Low‐Altitude High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Is Feasible With Existing Aircraft	21
Hydroclimatic Vulnerability of Wetlands to Upwind Land Use Changes	21
The Streamflow Response to Multi‐Day Warm Anomaly Events: Sensitivity to Future Warming and Spatiotemporal Variability by Event Magnitude	21
Exposure of Global Rail and Road Infrastructures in Future Record‐Breaking Climate Extremes	21
The Effects of Model Complexity on Model Output Uncertainty in Co‐Evolved Coupled Natural‐Human Systems	21
What Does Global Land Climate Look Like at 2°C Warming?	21
Future Pathways of Water, Energy, and Food in the Eastern Nile Basin	21
High Spatial Variability of Biomass Burning Emissions Observed at Three Tibetan Plateau Sites	21
Decomposing Three Decades of Nitrogen Emissions in Canada	21
Extratropical Climate Change During Periods Before and After an Arctic Ice‐Free Summer	21
Recent Water Constraints Mediate the Dominance of Climate and Atmospheric CO₂ on Vegetation Growth Across China	21
Heterogeneities in Regional Air Pollutant Emission Mitigation Across China During 2012–2020	20
Long‐Term Variability in the Arabian Peninsula Droughts Driven by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation	20
Critical Role of Irrigation Efficiency for Cropland Expansion in Western China Arid Agroecosystems	20
Research to Confront Climate Change Complexity: Intersectionality, Integration, and Innovative Governance	20
Consumption‐Based Carbon Emissions of 85 Federal Entities in Russia	20
Quantifying Global Wetland Methane Emissions With In Situ Methane Flux Data and Machine Learning Approaches	20
Urbanization Amplified Asymmetrical Changes of Rainfall and Exacerbated Drought: Analysis Over Five Urban Agglomerations in the Yangtze River Basin, China	20
Relic Groundwater and Prolonged Drought Confound Interpretations of Water Sustainability and Lithium Extraction in Arid Lands	20
CMIP6 Earth System Models Project Greater Acceleration of Climate Zone Change Due To Stronger Warming Rates	20
Satellites Reveal Spatial Heterogeneity in Dryland Photovoltaic Plants' Effects on Vegetation Dynamics	20
Developing a Southern Ocean Marine Ecosystem Model Ensemble to Assess Climate Risks and Uncertainties	19
Continued Warming of the Permafrost Regions Over the Northern Hemisphere Under Future Climate Change	19
Waning Greenhouse Gas Emissions From U.S. Federal Lease Coal Production by the Mid‐21st Century	19
Connecting the Past and the Future to Build Regional Sea‐Level Projections	19
Melting Alpine Water Towers Aggravate Downstream Low Flows: A Stress‐Test Storyline Approach	19
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Replacing Corn on Sloping Farmland by Bioenergy Crops With Optimized Harvest Frequencies: Implications for Soil and Water Conservation and Biofuel Production	19
Inference of Wildfire Causes From Their Physical, Biological, Social and Management Attributes	19
Future Soil Erosion Risk in China: Differences in Erosion Driven by General and Extreme Precipitation Under Climate Change	19
Key Uncertainties and Modeling Needs for Managing Living Marine Resources in the Future Arctic Ocean	19
Plant‐Level Emissions and Synergistic Control of Pollutants and Carbon Dioxide in China's Cement Industry Based on Real‐Time Monitoring Data	19
Temporally Compound Heatwave and Its Interaction With Urban Heat Island Over Mainland China	19
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